San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
0 vs 2

Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Matchday

2026-08-09 00:00:00 · 08:00

Huracán
Huracán

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 0-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

San Lorenzo
SAN
1 - 0
Huracán
HUR
37%
Confidence
Unpredictable
35.0%Home
34.0%Draw
31.0%Away
33.2%Home
34.4%Draw
32.4%Away
**San Lorenzo** hold a slight edge over **Huracán** in this closely contested Buenos Aires derby, with probabilities separating all three outcomes by just a few percentage points. The key battleground will be midfield control, where San Lorenzo's ability to dominate possession and limit Huracán's transition play could prove decisive in a low-scoring affair. AI pick: San Lorenzo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
69% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
72% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
67% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

San Lorenzo Huracán
42%
46%
0
45%
54%
1
12%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

35%
33%
+1.8%
34%
35%
-0.4%
31%
32%
-1.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI Contrarian Pick: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Match Report

San Lorenzo 0–2 Huracán | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | August 9, 2026

Result Summary

A dominant second-half performance from Huracán sealed a well-deserved 2–0 victory over San Lorenzo in this Liga Profesional clash. Jordy Josué Caicedo Medina was the undisputed match-winner, netting twice to hand Diego Hernán Martínez's side all three points and leaving Néstor Raúl Gorosito's squad with serious questions to answer.

Match Analysis

San Lorenzo began with the statistical edge in possession — holding 54% of the ball compared to Huracán's 46% — and generated 113 recorded attacks to their opponent's 99. On paper, those numbers suggest a competitive home side. In reality, the Ciclón were frustratingly toothless in the final third, managing just 2 shots on target across the entire match versus Huracán's 5, and producing only 4 key passes compared to Huracán's impressive 11.

The first decisive moment arrived in first-half stoppage time (45+2'), when Caicedo Medina struck with a composed right-foot finish to send Huracán into the break with a crucial lead. It was a sucker punch that undermined whatever control San Lorenzo had manufactured.

The second half unravelled quickly for the home side. Caicedo Medina doubled the advantage at 57', converting from a right-foot effort after being set up by Facundo Kalinger di Napoli — a goal that effectively ended the contest. The Ecuadorian forward picked up a yellow card moments later for unsportsmanlike conduct, but by then the damage was done.

The match then took a significant disciplinary turn. Orlando Gill was booked at 57' for arguing, then — following a VAR review at the 60th minute — received a second yellow and red card at 62' for violent conduct, reducing San Lorenzo to ten men. That dismissal killed any realistic prospect of a comeback. San Lorenzo's indiscipline was a recurring theme throughout, with Mathías De Ritis booked as early as the 2nd minute and Rodrigo Auzmendi collecting a late yellow in stoppage time. Huracán were not without fault either, accumulating 21 fouls in total, but they managed the game far more intelligently after taking the lead.

San Lorenzo's coaching staff responded with multiple substitutions — Teo Rodríguez Pagano, Gustavo Javier Del Prete, Juan Rattalino, and José Antonio Devecchi all entered — but the numerical disadvantage and Huracán's defensive discipline made a revival impossible. Huracán's corner count (4 vs 2) and total shots (14 vs 8) further underscored their clinical superiority on the night.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a narrow San Lorenzo win at 1–0, with only 31% probability assigned to an away victory and a low confidence rating of 37/100. The prediction proved incorrect, and in hindsight, that low confidence was well-placed. Huracán's attacking efficiency — particularly Caicedo Medina's clinical finishing and Kalinger di Napoli's creative contribution in midfield — was not adequately weighted. San Lorenzo's high attack volume masked a lack of genuine end-product, a pattern reflected in their meager shots-on-target return.

Key Takeaways

  • Caicedo Medina was exceptional, scoring both goals and proving to be the difference-maker on the night.
  • San Lorenzo's discipline problems were costly — the Gill red card after VAR review was a turning point that extinguished any hope of a comeback.
  • Despite controlling possession, San Lorenzo lacked creativity, generating just 4 key passes versus Huracán's 11.
  • Huracán's efficiency in front of goal — 5 shots on target from 14 total — tells the story of a side that punished every opportunity presented to them.

San Lorenzo vs Huracán — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Huracán?

PredictNext's AI model favours San Lorenzo with a 35% win probability — San Lorenzo 35%, draw 34%, Huracán 31%.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Huracán?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for San Lorenzo vs Huracán, generated with 37% model confidence.

Will San Lorenzo vs Huracán have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for under 2.5 goals in San Lorenzo vs Huracán.

How accurate was the San Lorenzo vs Huracán prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 0-2. The winner call was incorrect.

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