San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
0 vs 0

Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Matchday

2026-10-24 22:15:00 · 06:15 · Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

Newell's Old Boys
Newell's Old Boys

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 0-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

San Lorenzo
SLO
1 - 0
Newell's Old Boys
NOB
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
38.0%Home
32.0%Draw
30.0%Away
36.9%Home
32.8%Draw
30.3%Away
*Note: The predicted score of 1-1 conflicts with a "Win" prediction — our model favors a narrow San Lorenzo victory based on overall match probabilities.* San Lorenzo hold a slim home advantage over Newell's Old Boys in what projects as a tightly contested Liga Profesional clash. Control of the midfield battle will be decisive, as both sides rely on structured defensive shapes that can be unlocked through quick transitions. AI pick: San Lorenzo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSLO or Draw
70% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
72% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreRodrigo AuzmendiAlso: Matias Coccaro, Ignacio Ramirez

Goal Probability

SLO NOB
39%
50%
0
46%
50%
1
16%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

38%
36%
+1.6%
32%
33%
-0.8%
30%
31%
-0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3652.552.873.10-3.1%-8.2%-7.0%
1xbetVALUE2.642.893.06+0.3%-7.5%-8.2%
WilliamHill2.502.752.90-5.0%-12.0%-13.0%
Betfair2.402.883.10-8.8%-7.8%-7.0%
bwin2.602.853.00-1.2%-8.8%-10.0%
Ladbrokes2.602.873.00-1.2%-8.2%-10.0%
MelBet2.632.893.05-0.1%-7.5%-8.5%
Dafabet2.492.803.10-5.4%-10.4%-7.0%
Coral2.622.873.00-0.4%-8.2%-10.0%
Marathonbet2.582.832.99-2.0%-9.4%-10.3%
BetVictor2.602.803.00-1.2%-10.4%-10.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

San Lorenzo 0-0 Newell's Old Boys | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 24 October 2026

A hard-fought stalemate at the Estadio Pedro Bidegain saw San Lorenzo and Newell's Old Boys cancel each other out across 90 minutes, with neither side able to convert a share of opportunities that, on another night, might have separated the two teams. The goalless draw leaves both clubs with a point apiece from a contest that was competitive throughout but ultimately lacking in the final execution that matters most.

Match Analysis

San Lorenzo, under Rubén Darío Insúa, were the busier side in terms of attacking volume, registering 118 attacks compared to Newell's 88, while also edging the corner count 6-5. Yet territory and intent alone proved insufficient. The hosts managed 12 total shots — including 4 on target — but found no way past Newell's backline when it counted. Nicolás Tripichio picked up the only yellow card of the first half in the 37th minute for a foul, a moment that offered a snapshot of San Lorenzo's frustrated physicality as the scoreboard remained blank.

The second half brought a flurry of changes from both benches. Agustín Ladstatter and Gustavo Javier Del Prete came on at the break for San Lorenzo, replacing Rodrigo Auzmendi and Gonzalo Alassia respectively, with Martín Río and Uriel Ojeda introduced later to add fresh legs. Despite the reshaping, the home side's 68% successful pass rate compared to Newell's 72% highlighted a slight technical edge for the visitors in ball retention.

Frank Darío Kudelka's Newell's Old Boys held 52% possession and were no less threatening, producing 11 shots and 50 dangerous attacks — marginally more than San Lorenzo's 47. The visitors, however, were undone on three occasions by the offside trap and accumulated bookings in the second period, with Luca Regiardo (64'), Alejo Montero (78'), and Lucas Eduardo Carrizo (84') all entering the referee's book for fouls. The Alejo Montero booking came particularly soon after his introduction at half-time, underscoring a disciplined edge that occasionally gave way under pressure.

The fact that both sides finished level on shots on target — 4 each — and were separated by only one key pass in the final third (9 for San Lorenzo, 8 for Newell's) reflects just how evenly matched this encounter truly was.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis favoured a San Lorenzo victory with a 38% probability, making it the most likely single outcome, though the draw at 32% was acknowledged as a credible alternative. The final 0-0 result proved our forecast incorrect, with the actual draw sitting well within the range our model considered. A confidence score of 59/100 appropriately signalled the uncertainty involved, and in retrospect, the near-parity across attacking statistics, possession, and shots on target suggested a draw was entirely consistent with how the match unfolded. The model's directional lean toward the home side was not unreasonable given San Lorenzo's attacking volume, but it underestimated Newell's defensive resilience and their ability to match the hosts' threat on goal.

Takeaways

  • Neither goalkeeper was truly tested in a decisive moment, with 4 shots on target apiece failing to produce the telling save or goal.
  • San Lorenzo's high foul count (17) compared to Newell's 13 indicates the hosts' frustration grew as the game progressed.
  • Newell's three yellow cards in the final 30 minutes hint at mounting pressure they were forced to absorb late on.
  • A point each continues what looks like a tight, competitive Liga Profesional fixture, with both coaches likely to feel a win was within reach.

San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between San Lorenzo and Newell's Old Boys: San Lorenzo 3W · 6D · Newell's Old Boys 2W.

3

6

2

Sun, Apr 12, 2026Newell's Old Boys0-0San Lorenzo
Sat, Jul 27, 2024San Lorenzo1-1Newell's Old Boys
Mon, Mar 20, 2023Newell's Old Boys1-0San Lorenzo
Thu, Jun 9, 2022Newell's Old Boys0-0San Lorenzo
Wed, Apr 27, 2022Newell's Old Boys1-2San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys?

PredictNext's AI model favours San Lorenzo with a 38% win probability — San Lorenzo 38%, draw 32%, Newell's Old Boys 30%.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for under 2.5 goals in San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys.

How accurate was the San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.

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