San Marino
San Marino
0 vs 3

UEFA Nations League · Matchday

2026-09-29 18:45:00 · 02:45

Albania
Albania

AI Predicted: 0-3|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

San Marino
SAN
0 - 3
Albania
ALB
58%
Confidence
Low Confidence
1.0%Home
4.0%Draw
95.0%Away
Albania enter as heavy favorites against San Marino, buoyed by dominant H2H history, though the absence of K. Çeka (ruled out) is a notable blow to their attacking options. The key matchup will be Albania's disciplined defensive structure against San Marino's limited offensive threat, where quality difference should tell quickly. AI pick: Albania Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
99% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
72% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
82% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

San Marino Albania
87%
0%
0
13%
0%
1
0%
21%
2
0%
79%
3+

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Match Report

San Marino 0–3 Albania | UEFA Nations League | 29 September 2026

Result Summary

Albania delivered a composed and commanding performance in San Marino, securing a comfortable 3–0 victory that was never truly in doubt. Goals from Anis Mehmeti, Myrto Uzuni, and Rey Manaj sealed all three points for Rolando Maran's side, with the match effectively decided before the hour mark.

Match Analysis

Albania took control almost immediately, and the statistics tell a clear story of dominance. The visitors enjoyed 72% ball possession to San Marino's 28%, completed passes at a 90% success rate compared to San Marino's 68%, and generated 142 attacks versus just 68 from the hosts. With 14 total shots and 8 on target, Albania's attacking intent was consistent throughout.

The opening goal arrived on 21 minutes, when Anis Mehmeti converted with a left-foot finish, assisted by Rey Manaj. The move was clinical and confirmed Albania's early territorial superiority. Just six minutes later, Myrto Uzuni doubled the advantage with a right-foot effort on 27 minutes, effectively ending San Marino's hopes of any kind of contest before the half-hour mark.

The only notable disciplinary moment of the first half saw Kristjan Asllani pick up a yellow card on 34 minutes for a foul, followed by San Marino's Nicola Nanni receiving the same punishment five minutes later.

Coach Roberto Cevoli made three simultaneous changes at half-time — bringing on Balda Enea Della, Filippo Fabbri, and Christian Meloni — in an attempt to inject fresh energy, but Albania's grip on the match never loosened. Rey Manaj added the third goal on 65 minutes with a left-foot strike, completing a thoroughly professional display before being substituted off almost immediately after, replaced by Cristian Shpendi. Albania also introduced Arbër Hoxha, Klevi Qefalija, and Luis Hasa in the latter stages, managing the game with confidence.

San Marino finished with just 1 shot on target across the entire 90 minutes, underlining how limited their attacking threat truly was. Despite registering 5 corners — only one fewer than Albania — the hosts could rarely turn set-piece situations into genuine danger, reflected in their tally of just 5 key passes compared to Albania's 11.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for an Albania win at 3–0, with a 95% probability assigned to an Albanian victory. The prediction proved correct, and the scoreline matched exactly. The confidence rating of 58/100 reflected some uncertainty around the exact margin, but Albania's quality gap over San Marino was ultimately reflected in every statistical category. This was the kind of professional, controlled victory that Maran's squad needed to produce.

Key Takeaways

  • Albania were dominant in every measurable area, from possession and passing accuracy to shots and dangerous attacks.
  • Mehmeti and Uzuni struck early to kill the contest, with Manaj's late third adding gloss to the scoreline.
  • San Marino's triple substitution at half-time failed to produce any meaningful improvement, highlighting the significant quality gap between the two sides.
  • Albania's pass accuracy of 90% and volume of attacks suggest a disciplined, well-organised unit under Maran capable of controlling Nations League fixtures at this level.
  • For San Marino, the challenge remains building competitive resilience — a 1 on-target shot across the match underlines how much development is still needed.

San Marino vs Albania — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win San Marino vs Albania?

PredictNext's AI model favours Albania with a 95% win probability — San Marino 1%, draw 4%, Albania 95%.

What is the predicted score for San Marino vs Albania?

The AI forecasts a 0-3 scoreline for San Marino vs Albania, generated with 58% model confidence.

Will San Marino vs Albania have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for under 2.5 goals in San Marino vs Albania.

How accurate was the San Marino vs Albania prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-3; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.

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