Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-07-12 15:00:00 · 23:00 · Komplett Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-2
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.82 | 3.91 | -6.0% | -4.5% | -2.2% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.88 | 3.74 | 4.01 | -6.0% | -6.5% | +0.2% |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -4.5% | -12.5% | -10.0% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.75 | -4.5% | -5.0% | -6.3% |
| bwin | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.60 | -2.5% | -10.0% | -10.0% |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 3.60 | 3.55 | -3.0% | -10.0% | -11.3% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 | -4.5% | -15.0% | -15.0% |
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.65 | -5.0% | -7.5% | -8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.66 | 3.92 | -8.0% | -8.5% | -2.0% |
| MelBet | 1.87 | 3.72 | 3.98 | -6.5% | -7.0% | -0.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -8.5% | -10.0% | -7.5% |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -4.5% | -12.5% | -10.0% |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.85 | -4.0% | -7.5% | -3.7% |
| MansionBet | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.50 | -4.5% | -7.5% | -12.5% |
| Sbo | 1.90 | 3.28 | 3.37 | -5.0% | -18.0% | -15.7% |
| CloudBet | 1.84 | 3.75 | 3.80 | -8.0% | -6.3% | -5.0% |
| Interwetten | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.80 | -5.0% | -7.5% | -5.0% |
| Coral | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.40 | -4.5% | -15.0% | -15.0% |
| Macauslot | 1.92 | 3.50 | 3.15 | -4.0% | -12.5% | -21.3% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Sandefjord 2–2 HamKam | Eliteserien | 12 July 2026
A pulsating encounter at Sandefjord ended in a share of the spoils, as HamKam's Mame Alassane Niang struck deep into stoppage time to deny the hosts all three points. It was a result that felt cruel for Sandefjord, who had played with ten men for the final 35 minutes yet still managed to retake the lead before being pegged back in the fourth minute of added time.
Match Analysis
Sandefjord burst out of the blocks, with Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen breaking the deadlock as early as the 4th minute, finishing with his right foot from an assist by Vetle Walle Egeli. It was the ideal start for Andreas Tegström's side, and the home team looked composed in the opening exchanges.
However, the complexion of the match changed dramatically in the 55th minute, when Jakob Vester Nielsen was shown a red card, leaving Sandefjord to navigate more than a third of the contest a man down. HamKam, who already held a marginal 53% possession advantage and had generated more dangerous attacks (59 to Sandefjord's 51), were well-positioned to exploit the numerical advantage.
Thomas Myhre's side duly levelled through Aksel Baran Potur on 61 minutes, the midfielder converting a left-foot shot after good work from Patrick Metcalfe. With momentum firmly in HamKam's favour, Sandefjord's response was all the more remarkable. Substitute Edvard Sundbö Pettersen, introduced just ten minutes earlier, produced arguably the moment of the match — a composed left-foot finish on 74 minutes to restore the home side's lead against the run of play.
Sandefjord dug deep in the closing stages, reshaping their reduced side with further substitutions, including Håkon Krogelien and Sebastian Holm Mathisen coming on in the 78th minute. The defensive effort looked set to hold, but fate intervened in the 90+4th minute when Mame Alassane Niang, assisted by fellow substitute Loris Mettler, drove home a left-foot shot to make it 2–2 and break Sandefjord hearts.
The statistics underline how closely contested this match was. Both sides registered 13 and 14 total shots respectively, with three shots on target each. Sandefjord's 9 key passes edged HamKam's 6, suggesting the hosts created quality opportunities despite their disadvantage, while HamKam's 7 corners to Sandefjord's 4 reflected the pressure they applied, particularly in the second half.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Sandefjord win, carrying a 50% home probability and a confidence rating of 60/100. That prediction proved incorrect, with the match ending 2–2. While the model correctly identified Sandefjord as the more likely winners, it could not account for the pivotal red card, the late equaliser, or HamKam's resilience when pressed. The draw outcome, which we assigned a 25% probability, ultimately reflected the competitive balance between these two sides more accurately than our headline prediction.
Key Takeaways
- Berntsen's early goal set a positive tone, but Sandefjord's red card effectively changed the match's trajectory.
- Pettersen's impact from the bench was outstanding — scoring within ten minutes of coming on — but ultimately his effort could not secure the win.
- HamKam's late substitutions paid dividends, with Mettler assisting Niang's equaliser seconds after entering the pitch.
- A point apiece feels fair given the circumstances, though Sandefjord's ten-man resilience deserves significant credit.
Sandefjord vs HamKam Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Sandefjord and HamKam: Sandefjord 2W · 1D · HamKam 7W.
2
Sandefjord wins
1
Draws
7
HamKam wins
Sandefjord vs HamKam — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sandefjord vs HamKam?
PredictNext's AI model favours Sandefjord with a 50% win probability — Sandefjord 50%, draw 25%, HamKam 25%.
What is the predicted score for Sandefjord vs HamKam?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Sandefjord vs HamKam, generated with 60% model confidence.
Will Sandefjord vs HamKam have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Sandefjord vs HamKam.
How accurate was the Sandefjord vs HamKam prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.