
Eliteserien · Matchday
2026-10-18 12:30:00 · 20:30 · Sarpsborg Stadion

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-3
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.50 | -10.0% | -11.2% | 0.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.53 | 3.93 | 2.51 | -8.9% | -5.7% | +0.4% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.61 | 3.74 | 2.52 | -6.0% | -10.2% | +0.8% |
| WilliamHill | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.45 | -10.0% | -13.6% | -2.0% |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.50 | -10.0% | -8.8% | 0.0% |
| bwin | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.40 | -8.2% | -11.2% | -4.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.37 | -11.8% | -16.0% | -5.2% |
| MelBetVALUE | 2.59 | 3.70 | 2.51 | -6.8% | -11.2% | +0.4% |
| Coral | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.37 | -11.8% | -16.0% | -5.2% |
| MansionBet | 2.51 | 3.65 | 2.46 | -9.6% | -12.4% | -1.6% |
| Macauslot | 2.33 | 3.78 | 2.32 | -16.1% | -9.3% | -7.2% |
| Sbo | 2.42 | 3.31 | 2.30 | -12.9% | -20.6% | -8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.64 | 2.46 | -8.6% | -12.6% | -1.6% |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.48 | -6.4% | -8.8% | -0.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 | -11.8% | -13.6% | -4.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Rosenborg Cruise to Comfortable Victory in Sarpsborg
Rosenborg delivered a composed and clinical performance at Sarpsborg's ground on Sunday, dismissing the hosts 3-0 to claim a commanding three points in Eliteserien. Coached by Freyr Alexandersson, the away side proved far more efficient in front of goal despite a relatively even contest on paper, with the scoreline ultimately flattering neither the dominant narrative nor the home side's effort.
Match Analysis
The opening half told the true story of this contest. Sarpsborg 08, managed by Even Sel, began brightly enough — they would eventually finish the match with 51% possession and 101 total attacks — but failed to convert that industry into meaningful threat when it mattered most.
Rosenborg struck with purpose in a crucial ten-minute spell. Aslak Fonn Witry opened the scoring in the 29th minute, finishing with a right-foot shot from a well-crafted move assisted by Adrian Pereira. Just seven minutes later, the roles were neatly reversed: Pereira headed home in the 36th minute, this time set up by Witry, doubling Rosenborg's advantage before the break. The one-two combination between the pair was the defining moment of the match and effectively settled the contest before half-time.
Sarpsborg attempted to respond after the interval, with Even Sel making double substitutions at the break — Anders Hiim and Aimar Sher introduced to inject fresh energy. A third change followed in the 60th minute with Claus Babo Niyukuri entering the fray, and further alterations were made through the second half. Despite accumulating 14 total shots and generating 8 key passes, the home side lacked the cutting edge to trouble Leopold Wahlstedt consistently, managing only 5 shots on target across 90 minutes.
Rosenborg, for their part, managed the game intelligently. Alexandersson rotated wisely, bringing on Dino Islamovic, Jesper Reitan-Sunde, Tobias Solheim Dahl, and Iver Fossum between the 61st and 70th minutes. Substitute Jonas Søgaard Mortensen, who had received a yellow card in the 83rd minute, wrapped up proceedings emphatically in the 90+7th minute, converting a right-foot shot after a fine assist from Emil Konradsen Ceide to seal a 3-0 win. It was a fitting finale — efficient, composed, and symbolic of Rosenborg's evening.
The visitors finished with 20 total shots and 12 key passes compared to Sarpsborg's 8, underlining their superior quality in the final third despite the home side edging possession and attack counts. Rosenborg's clinical edge — converting 3 of their 6 shots on target — proved the decisive factor.
Discipline was a talking point throughout, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides. Notably, Mathias Ullereng Kjølø was booked for Rosenborg in the 34th minute, and Sarpsborg saw Sander Johan Christiansen and Daniel Seland Karlsbakk both cautioned in the second half.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis had forecast a 1-2 Rosenborg victory, assigning a 40% probability to an away win against a 36% chance for the hosts. With a confidence rating of 54/100, the outcome was considered plausible rather than certain — and the prediction proved correct. Rosenborg's quality told, though the final margin of 3-0 exceeded our forecast scoreline.
Key Takeaways
- Witry and Pereira's first-half partnership was decisive, combining for both opening goals inside 36 minutes.
- Sarpsborg's statistical activity masked a lack of cutting efficiency in front of goal.
- Rosenborg's substitute depth allowed Alexandersson to control tempo and add a late third through Mortensen.
- This result underlines Rosenborg's credentials as genuine Eliteserien title contenders heading into the final stretch of the 2026 campaign.
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Sarpsborg 08 and Rosenborg: Sarpsborg 08 7W · 7D · Rosenborg 15W.
7
Sarpsborg 08 wins
7
Draws
15
Rosenborg wins
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
PredictNext's AI model favours Rosenborg with a 40% win probability — Sarpsborg 08 36%, draw 24%, Rosenborg 40%.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg, generated with 54% model confidence.
Will Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg.
How accurate was the Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.