SK Rapid
SK Rapid
5 vs 1

Admiral Bundesliga · Matchday

2026-10-24 17:30:00 · 01:30 · Allianz Stadion

Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 5-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

SK Rapid
SCR
2 - 0
Austria Lustenau
AUT
73%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
76.0%Home
15.0%Draw
9.0%Away
72.3%Home
16.8%Draw
10.9%Away
**SK Rapid** enter as clear favorites at home, backed by a strong 74% win probability and their superior head-to-head record against **Austria Lustenau**, including a previous away victory over the visitors. With lineups still pending, Rapid's home advantage and attacking depth could prove decisive in breaking down a Lustenau side that has struggled to win in this fixture. AI pick: SK Rapid Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSCR or Draw
91% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
60% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreTonni AdamsenAlso: Ercan Kara, Nicolas Jozepovic

Goal Probability

SCR AUT
0%
61%
0
14%
39%
1
51%
0%
2
34%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

76%
77%
-0.7%
15%
14%
+0.6%
9%
9%
+0.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.206.5010.00-8.8%-2.5%-10.0%
PinnacleVALUE1.217.0610.58-8.0%+5.9%-4.8%
1xbetVALUE1.216.5511.20-8.0%-1.8%+0.8%
WilliamHill1.206.0011.00-8.8%-10.0%-1.0%
Betfair1.186.5011.00-10.3%-2.5%-1.0%
bwin1.256.509.50-5.0%-2.5%-14.5%
Ladbrokes1.225.758.00-7.3%-13.8%-28.0%
MelBetVALUE1.206.5511.20-8.8%-1.8%+0.8%
BetVictorVALUE1.186.5012.00-10.3%-2.5%+8.0%
Coral1.225.758.00-7.3%-13.8%-28.0%
MarathonbetVALUE1.206.5511.50-8.8%-1.8%+3.5%
DafabetVALUE1.227.2011.00-7.3%+8.0%-1.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

SK Rapid 5–1 Austria Lustenau | Admiral Bundesliga | 24 October 2026

Result Summary

SK Rapid delivered a commanding home performance at the Allianz Stadion, dismantling Austria Lustenau 5–1 in a one-sided Admiral Bundesliga encounter. Johannes Hoff Thorup's side were ruthless from the opening whistle, and while Lustenau briefly threatened a comeback early in the second half, Rapid ultimately ran out convincing winners with a scoreline that flattered neither team's expectations — except perhaps those holding a pre-match prediction.

Match Analysis

Rapid set the tone within eight minutes, producing one of the most explosive early spells of the Austrian top flight this season. Ercan Kara opened the scoring in the 6th minute, converting a right-foot finish assisted by Petter Nosa Dahl, before Nenad N. Cvetković doubled the advantage just two minutes later from a Tonni Adamsen delivery. That kind of early intensity left Markus Mader's visitors chasing the game almost immediately.

The statistics tell the full story of Rapid's dominance. Hoff Thorup's men controlled 62% of possession, generated 108 attacks to Lustenau's 63, and registered 19 total shots compared to just 8 for the visitors. With 51 dangerous attacks and a 90% successful pass rate, Rapid were simply in a different gear throughout.

Austria Lustenau's afternoon was further complicated by three yellow cards before the half-hour mark passed into memory — Robin Voisine (34'), Danilo Teodoro Soares (40'), and Albin Gashi (45') were all cautioned for fouls, with Lustenau accumulating 16 fouls in total versus Rapid's 7. That disciplinary record reflected a side under pressure and struggling to cope legally with Rapid's tempo.

A VAR check involving Ercan Kara at the 19th minute added a moment of uncertainty, though the match facts confirm no goal or card resulted from any reversal of the initial decision — Rapid's rhythm was uninterrupted.

Lustenau showed brief signs of life after the break. Substitute Haris Ismailcebioglu, introduced in the 56th minute, pulled one back in the 67th via Fabian Gmeiner's assist to make it 3–1, momentarily threatening to turn the match into a contest. Rapid responded swiftly. Yusuf Demir restored the three-goal cushion in the same minute — the 67th — assisted by Jannes Horn, effectively ending any realistic prospect of a Lustenau revival.

Substitute Marco Tilio, who came on in the 75th minute replacing Kara, added gloss to the scoreline with Rapid's fifth in the 85th minute, again benefiting from a Tonni Adamsen assist — Adamsen's second of the afternoon, underlining the midfielder's influential display.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a 2–0 home win with a 76% probability of a Rapid victory and a confidence level of 73/100. The outcome — a Rapid win — was correct, validating the directional call. The margin, however, was significantly underestimated; a 5–1 scoreline rather than 2–0 suggests Rapid's attacking firepower, particularly in those blistering opening minutes, was even more potent than modelled. The away team's disciplinary issues and limited attacking output (just 8 shots, 4 on target) aligned with the low probability assigned to a Lustenau win.

Key Takeaways

  • Ercan Kara and Nenad N. Cvetković set the platform with a stunning two-goal opening salvo inside eight minutes.
  • Tonni Adamsen's two assists were crucial in linking Rapid's attacking play throughout.
  • Lustenau's three first-half yellow cards reflected a side that struggled to contain Rapid through disciplined defending.
  • Yusuf Demir's 67th-minute strike was the decisive moment that killed off Lustenau's brief resurgence after Ismailcebioglu's consolation goal.
  • Rapid's **10 corners to Lus

SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head

Last 4 meetings between SK Rapid and Austria Lustenau: SK Rapid 1W · 3D · Austria Lustenau 0W.

1

3

0

Sun, Mar 3, 2024SK Rapid1-1Austria Lustenau
Sat, Oct 7, 2023Austria Lustenau0-5SK Rapid
Sat, Oct 29, 2022Austria Lustenau3-3SK Rapid
Sun, Aug 7, 2022SK Rapid1-1Austria Lustenau

SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau?

PredictNext's AI model favours SK Rapid with a 76% win probability — SK Rapid 76%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 9%.

What is the predicted score for SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau, generated with 73% model confidence.

Will SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau.

How accurate was the SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 5-1. The winner call was correct.

More Admiral Bundesliga AI Predictions