
Admiral Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-10-24 17:30:00 · 01:30 · Allianz Stadion

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 5-1
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.20 | 6.50 | 10.00 | -8.8% | -2.5% | -10.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.21 | 7.06 | 10.58 | -8.0% | +5.9% | -4.8% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.21 | 6.55 | 11.20 | -8.0% | -1.8% | +0.8% |
| WilliamHill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 | -8.8% | -10.0% | -1.0% |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 6.50 | 11.00 | -10.3% | -2.5% | -1.0% |
| bwin | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 | -5.0% | -2.5% | -14.5% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.22 | 5.75 | 8.00 | -7.3% | -13.8% | -28.0% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.20 | 6.55 | 11.20 | -8.8% | -1.8% | +0.8% |
| BetVictorVALUE | 1.18 | 6.50 | 12.00 | -10.3% | -2.5% | +8.0% |
| Coral | 1.22 | 5.75 | 8.00 | -7.3% | -13.8% | -28.0% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.20 | 6.55 | 11.50 | -8.8% | -1.8% | +3.5% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.22 | 7.20 | 11.00 | -7.3% | +8.0% | -1.0% |
Polymarket Odds
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Match Report
SK Rapid 5–1 Austria Lustenau | Admiral Bundesliga | 24 October 2026
Result Summary
SK Rapid delivered a commanding home performance at the Allianz Stadion, dismantling Austria Lustenau 5–1 in a one-sided Admiral Bundesliga encounter. Johannes Hoff Thorup's side were ruthless from the opening whistle, and while Lustenau briefly threatened a comeback early in the second half, Rapid ultimately ran out convincing winners with a scoreline that flattered neither team's expectations — except perhaps those holding a pre-match prediction.
Match Analysis
Rapid set the tone within eight minutes, producing one of the most explosive early spells of the Austrian top flight this season. Ercan Kara opened the scoring in the 6th minute, converting a right-foot finish assisted by Petter Nosa Dahl, before Nenad N. Cvetković doubled the advantage just two minutes later from a Tonni Adamsen delivery. That kind of early intensity left Markus Mader's visitors chasing the game almost immediately.
The statistics tell the full story of Rapid's dominance. Hoff Thorup's men controlled 62% of possession, generated 108 attacks to Lustenau's 63, and registered 19 total shots compared to just 8 for the visitors. With 51 dangerous attacks and a 90% successful pass rate, Rapid were simply in a different gear throughout.
Austria Lustenau's afternoon was further complicated by three yellow cards before the half-hour mark passed into memory — Robin Voisine (34'), Danilo Teodoro Soares (40'), and Albin Gashi (45') were all cautioned for fouls, with Lustenau accumulating 16 fouls in total versus Rapid's 7. That disciplinary record reflected a side under pressure and struggling to cope legally with Rapid's tempo.
A VAR check involving Ercan Kara at the 19th minute added a moment of uncertainty, though the match facts confirm no goal or card resulted from any reversal of the initial decision — Rapid's rhythm was uninterrupted.
Lustenau showed brief signs of life after the break. Substitute Haris Ismailcebioglu, introduced in the 56th minute, pulled one back in the 67th via Fabian Gmeiner's assist to make it 3–1, momentarily threatening to turn the match into a contest. Rapid responded swiftly. Yusuf Demir restored the three-goal cushion in the same minute — the 67th — assisted by Jannes Horn, effectively ending any realistic prospect of a Lustenau revival.
Substitute Marco Tilio, who came on in the 75th minute replacing Kara, added gloss to the scoreline with Rapid's fifth in the 85th minute, again benefiting from a Tonni Adamsen assist — Adamsen's second of the afternoon, underlining the midfielder's influential display.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a 2–0 home win with a 76% probability of a Rapid victory and a confidence level of 73/100. The outcome — a Rapid win — was correct, validating the directional call. The margin, however, was significantly underestimated; a 5–1 scoreline rather than 2–0 suggests Rapid's attacking firepower, particularly in those blistering opening minutes, was even more potent than modelled. The away team's disciplinary issues and limited attacking output (just 8 shots, 4 on target) aligned with the low probability assigned to a Lustenau win.
Key Takeaways
- Ercan Kara and Nenad N. Cvetković set the platform with a stunning two-goal opening salvo inside eight minutes.
- Tonni Adamsen's two assists were crucial in linking Rapid's attacking play throughout.
- Lustenau's three first-half yellow cards reflected a side that struggled to contain Rapid through disciplined defending.
- Yusuf Demir's 67th-minute strike was the decisive moment that killed off Lustenau's brief resurgence after Ismailcebioglu's consolation goal.
- Rapid's **10 corners to Lus
SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau Head-to-Head
Last 4 meetings between SK Rapid and Austria Lustenau: SK Rapid 1W · 3D · Austria Lustenau 0W.
1
SK Rapid wins
3
Draws
0
Austria Lustenau wins
SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau?
PredictNext's AI model favours SK Rapid with a 76% win probability — SK Rapid 76%, draw 15%, Austria Lustenau 9%.
What is the predicted score for SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau?
The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau, generated with 73% model confidence.
Will SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau.
How accurate was the SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 5-1. The winner call was correct.