
Admiral Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-10-16 17:30:00 · 01:30 · Allianz Stadion

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 3-1
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.50 | -6.4% | -5.5% | -5.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.29 | 6.08 | 8.51 | -7.1% | +9.4% | -14.9% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.60 | -7.1% | +0.8% | -14.0% |
| WilliamHill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 | -6.4% | -10.0% | -25.0% |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 | -7.1% | -1.0% | -15.0% |
| bwinVALUE | 1.32 | 5.75 | 7.50 | -5.0% | +3.5% | -25.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.00 | -6.4% | -5.5% | -30.0% |
| MansionBet | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.60 | -6.4% | -1.0% | -24.0% |
| Sbo | 1.27 | 5.13 | 6.95 | -8.6% | -7.7% | -30.5% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.60 | -7.1% | +0.8% | -14.0% |
| MacauslotVALUE | 1.20 | 5.80 | 8.40 | -13.6% | +4.4% | -16.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 | -7.1% | -1.0% | -15.0% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.28 | 5.60 | 8.70 | -7.8% | +0.8% | -13.0% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.31 | 6.00 | 8.60 | -5.7% | +8.0% | -14.0% |
| Coral | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.00 | -6.4% | -5.5% | -30.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
SK Rapid 3–1 Hartberg | Admiral Bundesliga | 16 October 2026
Result Summary
SK Rapid delivered a commanding home performance at the Weststadion, defeating Hartberg 3–1 to claim all three points in the Admiral Bundesliga. Petter Nosakhare Dahl was the standout performer, netting a brace either side of half-time, before Jannes-Kilian Horn sealed the win late on. A second-half header from Magnus Dalpiaz gave Hartberg brief hope, but Johannes Hoff Thorup's side proved too composed to be threatened.
Match Analysis
Rapid wasted no time making their intentions clear. Just five minutes in, Dahl opened the scoring with a left-foot finish, assisted by Bendegúz Bolla, setting the tone for what would be a controlled, purposeful display. The hosts held 54% possession across the match and generated 115 attacks to Hartberg's 93, with 44 dangerous attacks underlining their territorial dominance in key phases.
Hartberg, to their credit, were not without ambition. They registered 14 total shots — five more than Rapid — and created five corners to the home side's one. Yet their inability to convert pressure into goals proved costly. A VAR decision at the 15th minute involving Chris Marco Hoffmann disrupted Hartberg's rhythm early, and the visiting side never quite found their footing in the opening half.
Rapid extended their lead just before the break when Dahl struck again at 45+1', this time with his right foot, converting an assist from Ercan Kara to make it 2–0. It was a clinical finish that effectively killed the first-half contest.
Hartberg responded promptly after the interval. A double substitution at half-time — bringing on Tobias Kainz and Oliver Lukic — injected energy, and just four minutes into the second half, Dalpiaz headed home a Lukic assist to make it 2–1 at the 49th minute. Momentum briefly swung toward the visitors, compounded by Luka Maric's yellow card at 50' for dissent and a subsequent booking for Konstantin Schopp at 57' for a foul, which reflected a fraying discipline under pressure.
Rapid's coaching staff responded smartly with their own substitutions, and Horn put the match to bed with a composed left-foot finish in the 81st minute, restoring the two-goal cushion and ending Hartberg's brief flurry of optimism. Both sides' passing efficiency was notably high — 88% successful pass rate for Rapid and 87% for Hartberg — reflecting a technically proficient encounter despite the increasingly competitive nature of the second half.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Rapid win, with a 72% probability assigned to the home side and a confidence rating of 64/100. The result — a 3–1 home victory — validated the directional prediction correctly, even if the scoreline ran slightly beyond the anticipated margin. The model accurately identified Rapid's home advantage and attacking capability, though Hartberg's second-half goal introduced more drama than our analysis anticipated.
Key Takeaways
- Dahl's brace was the defining contribution of the match, demonstrating clinical finishing from both feet across the 90 minutes.
- Despite being outshot 14–9, Rapid's superior conversion and structure allowed them to control the result when it mattered.
- Hartberg's half-time double substitution briefly changed the game's shape, but their disciplinary issues and wastefulness in front of goal proved their undoing.
- Horn's late goal confirmed a well-earned three points for Hoff Thorup's side, who will take significant confidence from this performance.
SK Rapid vs Hartberg Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between SK Rapid and Hartberg: SK Rapid 9W · 6D · Hartberg 9W.
9
SK Rapid wins
6
Draws
9
Hartberg wins
SK Rapid vs Hartberg — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SK Rapid vs Hartberg?
PredictNext's AI model favours SK Rapid with a 72% win probability — SK Rapid 72%, draw 18%, Hartberg 10%.
What is the predicted score for SK Rapid vs Hartberg?
The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for SK Rapid vs Hartberg, generated with 64% model confidence.
Will SK Rapid vs Hartberg have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in SK Rapid vs Hartberg.
How accurate was the SK Rapid vs Hartberg prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 3-1. The winner call was correct.