
Europa Conference League · Matchday
2026-08-26 16:45:00 · 00:45

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 2-2
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Match Report
SK Rapid 2–2 Hearts | Europa Conference League | 26 August 2026
Second Leg, Play-Off Round
In one of the most breathless European ties of the summer, SK Rapid and Hearts played out a remarkable 2–2 draw in Vienna that sent the match to extra time before Rapid ultimately survived to progress — or fell short depending on the aggregate picture from the first leg. What unfolded at the Weststadion was nothing short of extraordinary: eight goals across 120 minutes between the two legs, a sending off, VAR interventions, and a dramatic late leveller in extra time.
Match Analysis
The game erupted almost immediately. Louis Schaub put Rapid ahead in the 4th minute, only for Rogers Mato to level for Hearts just sixty seconds later. Sabah Kerjota then gave the Scottish side the lead in the 7th minute, before Yusuf Demir restored parity for the hosts in the 8th minute. Four goals in the opening eight minutes set the tone for an evening of relentless intensity.
Rapid gradually asserted control, and the statistics reflect their dominance — 71% possession, 158 attacks to Hearts' 88, and 26 key passes compared to just 8 from the visitors. Ercan Kara converted that pressure into a goal at the 34th minute with a right-footed finish to give Rapid a 3–2 lead on the night.
Hearts' discipline began to fray. Oisin McEntee was booked in the 18th minute for a foul, and Tómas Bent Magnússon — introduced as an early substitute for the injured Tom Renaud in the 15th minute — picked up a first yellow in the 41st minute, setting up his inevitable second yellow and dismissal in the 76th minute, leaving Hearts a man down for the final stages of normal time.
Despite the numerical disadvantage, substitute Pierre Landry Kabore pulled Hearts level at 79 minutes with a field goal assisted by Blair Spittal, a goal that was reviewed by VAR before being confirmed. Rapid then had their own VAR moment involving Yusuf Demir in the 89th minute.
Into extra time, Calvin Miller struck in the 100th minute — assisted by Rogers Mato — to give Hearts the lead again. It appeared it might be enough, but Rapid's relentless pressure told when Nenad N. Cvetković, assisted by substitute Moulaye Haïdara, struck in the 119th minute to level once more and bring the tie level on the night at 2–2.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast backed SK Rapid to win at 57% probability, with a predicted scoreline of 2–1. While we correctly identified Rapid as the stronger side — borne out by their overwhelming statistical dominance — we underestimated Hearts' resilience and capacity to score from minimal chances. Hearts registered just 1 shot on target all match, yet converted crucial moments to repeatedly find parity. The result was a draw, making our prediction incorrect, though the underlying analytical case for Rapid's superiority was clearly supported by the game's data.
Key Takeaways
- Rapid dominated possession and territory yet were repeatedly punished by a Hearts side that were ruthlessly efficient on the counter.
- The early eight-minute goal-fest set a frantic tempo that shaped the entire contest.
- Magnússon's dismissal in the 76th minute left Hearts severely exposed, yet they still managed to take the lead in extra time.
- Cvetković's 119th-minute equaliser underlined Rapid's refusal to yield, capping a night of extraordinary European drama.
SK Rapid vs Hearts — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SK Rapid vs Hearts?
PredictNext's AI model favours SK Rapid with a 57% win probability — SK Rapid 57%, draw 22%, Hearts 21%.
What is the predicted score for SK Rapid vs Hearts?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for SK Rapid vs Hearts, generated with 67% model confidence.
Will SK Rapid vs Hearts have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for under 2.5 goals in SK Rapid vs Hearts.
How accurate was the SK Rapid vs Hearts prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.