St. Gallen
St. Gallen
5 vs 1

Europa Conference League · Matchday

2026-08-13 18:00:00 · 02:00

Sheriff
Sheriff

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 5-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

St. Gallen
ST.
2 - 0
Sheriff
SHE
72%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
72.0%Home
17.0%Draw
11.0%Away
70.3%Home
16.6%Draw
13.1%Away
St. Gallen enter this Europa Conference League clash as clear favorites, buoyed by their winning record against Sheriff in their only previous meeting, while Sheriff are undermined by confirmed absences — Scherrer, Neziri, and Gaal all ruled out through injury. The visitors' depleted squad limits their attacking threat, making St. Gallen's defensive structure a decisive tactical advantage on home soil. AI pick: St. Gallen Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
89% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

St. Gallen Sheriff
0%
58%
0
17%
42%
1
52%
0%
2
32%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

72%
74%
-1.5%
17%
16%
+0.8%
11%
10%
+0.7%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

St. Gallen 5–1 Sheriff | Europa Conference League | Second Leg

St. Gallen delivered a commanding performance to advance through their Europa Conference League playoff tie in emphatic fashion, dismantling Sheriff 5–1 at home in the second leg to seal an aggregate victory that was never in serious doubt after the opening exchanges.


Match Analysis

The Swiss side took the game by the scruff of the neck almost immediately. Diego Besio opened the scoring inside the first minute, converting with a right-foot finish from a Lukas Görtler assist, setting the tone for what would become a thoroughly dominant evening. Sheriff responded with purpose, however, and Danila Forov levelled at 9 minutes, finishing from Arli Përgjoni's assist to give the Moldovan side brief hope of turning the tie around.

That hope proved short-lived. Andrin Hunziker took control of the match, netting twice to effectively kill the tie — first at 34 minutes with a right-foot finish assisted by Besio, and again at 59 minutes with a second right-foot strike. By the time Hunziker's second landed, Sheriff were chasing shadows on the night and facing an insurmountable aggregate deficit.

The statistics tell the story of complete St. Gallen dominance. Coach Enrico Maaßen's side controlled 65% of possession, completed passes at an 85% success rate compared to Sheriff's 69%, and generated 21 total shots to the visitors' 13. Crucially, St. Gallen registered 11 shots on target against just 2 from Sheriff — a ratio that underscores how one-sided the contest truly was. The home side also edged corners 6–3 and dangerous attacks 53–42, reflecting relentless pressure throughout.

Sheriff's discipline frayed under the pressure. Four yellow cards were distributed to Victor Mihailov's side — Baye Assane Ciss (36'), Rai Lopes de Oliveira (48'), Arli Përgjoni (52'), and Samba Koné (81') — reflecting a side struggling to cope with St. Gallen's fluency. Lukas Daschner picked up the home side's only booking at 27 minutes, though he was subsequently replaced at half-time by Mihailo Stevanovic.

Besio completed a brace at 76 minutes, curling home a left-foot strike from Corsin Konietzke's assist, before Stevanovic rounded off the scoring at 87 minutes with a composed left-foot finish. The second half substitutions from Maaßen refreshed the attack effectively, with both Stevanovic and Konietzke directly contributing to goals after coming on.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a St. Gallen win at 72% probability, with a predicted score of 2–0. The outcome validated the directional call — a comfortable home victory — though the 5–1 scoreline significantly surpassed expectations. The confidence rating of 72/100 proved well-placed in terms of the result, reflecting St. Gallen's clear quality advantage, even if the margin of victory exceeded our modelled projection.


Key Takeaways

  • Diego Besio and Andrin Hunziker were the standout performers, combining for four of the five goals between them across assists and strikes.
  • St. Gallen's 85% passing accuracy and 65% possession highlight a side that controlled every phase of the contest.
  • Sheriff's four bookings and 18 fouls reflect the difficulty they faced in disrupting a fluid home side through legitimate means.
  • St. Gallen advance convincingly into the next round of the Europa Conference League, with this second-leg performance serving as a serious statement of intent.

St. Gallen vs Sheriff — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win St. Gallen vs Sheriff?

PredictNext's AI model favours St. Gallen with a 72% win probability — St. Gallen 72%, draw 17%, Sheriff 11%.

What is the predicted score for St. Gallen vs Sheriff?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for St. Gallen vs Sheriff, generated with 72% model confidence.

Will St. Gallen vs Sheriff have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in St. Gallen vs Sheriff.

How accurate was the St. Gallen vs Sheriff prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 5-1. The winner call was correct.

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