St. Louis City
St. Louis City
3 vs 3

Major League Soccer · Matchday

2026-08-30 23:00:00 · 07:00

Dallas
Dallas

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 3-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

St. Louis City
ST.
1 - 0
Dallas
DAL
60%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
49.0%Home
25.0%Draw
26.0%Away
49.4%Home
24.7%Draw
25.9%Away
*Note: With a predicted score of 1-1 and only 48% home win probability, this is a tight contest — insights reflect a marginal lean.* --- **St. Louis City** hold a narrow home advantage against **Dallas** in what projects as a closely contested MLS fixture. The key battleground will be midfield control, where St. Louis's pressing structure at home can limit Dallas's transition opportunities. AI pick: St. Louis City Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

St. Louis City Dallas
15%
41%
0
48%
59%
1
37%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

49%
49%
-0.3%
25%
25%
+0.2%
26%
26%
+0.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

St. Louis City 3–3 Dallas | MLS | August 30, 2026

Result Summary

A breathtaking six-goal thriller at St. Louis City ended all square, as Dallas snatched a dramatic point deep into stoppage time. Logan Farrington's left-foot strike in the 90+7th minute denied the hosts what would have been a vital three points, completing a remarkable Dallas comeback from a two-goal deficit. The draw will sting for Yoann Damet's side, while Eric Quill's Dallas will take enormous encouragement from their resilience.


Match Analysis

St. Louis City came flying out of the blocks. Simon Becher opened the scoring in just the third minute with a right-foot shot, setting the tone for an electric evening. Dallas responded through Shaquell Moore in the 18th minute — also via his right foot — to level matters, but the home side reasserted control before the break. Daniel Ethan Edelman restored St. Louis City's advantage in the 43rd minute with a composed left-foot finish, sending the teams into half-time with the hosts narrowly ahead.

The second half saw the momentum shift decisively after a flurry of substitutions. Yoann Damet introduced Carlo Holse in the 59th minute, and the impact was immediate — Holse struck in the 64th minute, assisted by Conrad Wallem, to put St. Louis City 3–1 up and seemingly in command.

Dallas, however, refused to capitulate. Eric Quill's triple substitution at the 59-minute mark — bringing on Ran Binyamin and Christian Cappis — injected fresh energy into the visitors' play. Sebastien Ibeagha pulled one back in the 81st minute, heading home a cross from Joaquín Valiente to set up a nervy finale. Then, in the seventh minute of stoppage time, substitute Logan Farrington, who had entered in the 68th minute, delivered the sucker punch — a left-foot shot, assisted by fellow substitute Sam Sarver, to complete the stunning comeback.

The statistics reflect a competitive contest. Dallas edged the shot count 12 to 10, and their 7 shots on target compared to St. Louis City's 5 ultimately told the story of a side that kept pressing despite the scoreline. Dallas also generated 117 attacks to St. Louis City's 88, underlining their persistent threat throughout. Possession was relatively balanced at 52% to 48% in St. Louis City's favour, while both teams passed efficiently, with St. Louis City completing 83% of their passes to Dallas's 81%. Dallas were the more ill-disciplined side, committing 15 fouls to St. Louis City's 8, earning yellow cards for Ramiro Moschen Benetti in the 14th minute and Petar Musa in the 89th minute.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a St. Louis City win at 1–0, with a 49% probability assigned to a home victory and a confidence rating of just 60 out of 100 — correctly flagging this as a genuinely uncertain contest. While St. Louis City did indeed take a commanding lead and the goal tally far exceeded our conservative 1–0 forecast, the prediction outcome was incorrect, with Dallas salvaging a draw that our model did not identify as the most likely result. The 25% draw probability in our forecast was the element that ultimately proved accurate in terms of outcome, though the match's dramatic arc — particularly Dallas's late resilience — was not anticipated.


Key Takeaways

  • Dallas's substitutes were decisive: Farrington and Sarver combined for the equalizer after entering late in the match — a testament to Dallas's squad depth.
  • St. Louis City's inability to manage a two-goal lead in the final stages is a concern for Damet's side.
  • Conrad Wallem contributed meaningfully with an assist for Holse's goal, reinforcing his value in build-up play.
  • Both sides head into their next fixtures knowing this point may prove significant — or painfully insufficient — depending on the standings picture.

St. Louis City vs Dallas — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win St. Louis City vs Dallas?

PredictNext's AI model favours St. Louis City with a 49% win probability — St. Louis City 49%, draw 25%, Dallas 26%.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Dallas?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for St. Louis City vs Dallas, generated with 60% model confidence.

Will St. Louis City vs Dallas have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in St. Louis City vs Dallas.

How accurate was the St. Louis City vs Dallas prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 3-3. The winner call was incorrect.

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