Start
Start
0 vs 3

Eliteserien · Matchday

2026-07-18 14:00:00 · 22:00 · Sparebanken Sør Arena

Rosenborg
Rosenborg

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Start
IKS
0 - 2
Rosenborg
RBK
50%
Confidence
Low Confidence
29.0%Home
26.0%Draw
45.0%Away
31.0%Home
26.8%Draw
42.2%Away
**Rosenborg** enter this Eliteserien clash as clear favorites, backed by four wins in the last five H2H meetings against **Start** and buoyed by a key player returning to contention. However, the confirmed absence of D. Islamovic through injury is a notable blow to their attacking options. Whether Rosenborg's depth can compensate in the final third will be decisive. AI pick: Rosenborg Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredIKS or RBK
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreDino IslamovicAlso: Amin Chiakha, Simen Nordli

Goal Probability

IKS RBK
45%
0%
0
55%
40%
1
0%
47%
2
0%
14%
3+

Odds Comparison

29%
31%
-2.4%
26%
27%
-0.8%
45%
42%
+3.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3653.003.502.15-13.0%-9.0%-3.2%
PinnacleVALUE3.073.562.26-11.0%-7.4%+1.7%
1xbetVALUE3.063.562.27-11.3%-7.4%+2.2%
WilliamHillVALUE2.903.302.25-15.9%-14.2%+1.2%
Betfair2.903.602.20-15.9%-6.4%-1.0%
bwinVALUE2.903.502.25-15.9%-9.0%+1.2%
UnibetVALUE3.003.402.23-13.0%-11.6%+0.4%
Ladbrokes2.803.302.15-18.8%-14.2%-3.2%
BetVictor3.003.402.15-13.0%-11.6%-3.2%
CloudBet3.003.502.20-13.0%-9.0%-1.0%
10Bet3.003.552.20-13.0%-7.7%-1.0%
Marathonbet2.993.482.22-13.3%-9.5%-0.1%
MelBetVALUE3.043.542.26-11.8%-8.0%+1.7%
Sbo2.833.072.21-17.9%-20.2%-0.5%
MansionBetVALUE2.833.502.26-17.9%-9.0%+1.7%
Coral2.803.302.15-18.8%-14.2%-3.2%
Macauslot2.833.432.09-17.9%-10.8%-5.9%
DafabetVALUE3.053.552.25-11.6%-7.7%+1.2%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Start 0–3 Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 18 July 2026

Result Summary

Rosenborg claimed a convincing 3–0 victory away at Start in this Eliteserien fixture, though the scoreline was not fully settled until the dying moments of the contest. Despite Start generating the greater volume of efforts on goal, Rosenborg's superior composure and clinical finishing in stoppage time proved the decisive factors in what had been a tight, competitive match for the majority of its 90 minutes.

Match Analysis

For much of the afternoon at Start's ground, the two sides were locked in a closely fought contest that the statistics alone partially tell. Start edged the shot count 14 to 9, and their 5 corners to Rosenborg's 3 suggested they were pushing for openings. However, the quality of those efforts was markedly inferior — Start managed just 3 shots on target compared to Rosenborg's 6, a disparity that ultimately proved fatal to the home side's prospects.

Rosenborg controlled the ball with 55% possession and demonstrated greater efficiency with it, completing passes at a 79% success rate against Start's 71%. That extra sharpness in transition would eventually make the difference.

The match was not without its flashpoints. A Start player was cautioned in the 36th minute for an argument, setting an early combative tone. The second half continued in the same vein, with Steve Regis Mvoue picking up a yellow card in the 73rd minute for a foul, before Rosenborg's own Simen Bolkan Nordli and Jesper Reitan-Sunde were both booked on 74 and 77 minutes respectively, reflecting a fractious and increasingly physical closing period. Notably, Mvoue was subsequently withdrawn from the action in the 78th minute, with Deni Dashaev introduced in his place.

Rosenborg's coaching staff made proactive use of their bench, with Simen Bolkan Nordli entering the field in the 65th minute — a substitution that would prove highly significant. Deep into added time, it was Bolkan Nordli who broke the deadlock in the 90+3rd minute, converting a chance assisted by Emil Konradsen Ceide. Just two minutes later, Amin Chiakha added a second with a left-foot finish, again set up by the impressive Emil Konradsen Ceide, before the scoreline was confirmed at 3–0. The third goal, credited in the final score, underlines how completely Rosenborg seized their moment when Start's resistance crumbled.

Coach Azar Karadas will be frustrated that his side — who generated 52 dangerous attacks to Rosenborg's 48 and fired 10 shots off target — could not convert their pressure into goals. Freyr Alexandersson's Rosenborg side, by contrast, maximised every opportunity when the game was at its most vulnerable for the hosts.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 0–2 Rosenborg win, with a 45% probability assigned to an away victory and a confidence rating of 50/100. The direction of the prediction proved correct — Rosenborg did win, and did so without conceding — though the final margin of 3–0 exceeded our projected scoreline. The late flurry of goals, all arriving in stoppage time, was difficult to anticipate, but the underlying logic of backing Rosenborg held firm.

Key Takeaways

  • Emil Konradsen Ceide was decisive in the closing stages, registering two assists in the dying minutes.
  • Start's shot conversion was deeply problematic — 14 total shots yielding zero goals will concern Coach Karadas.
  • Rosenborg's substitutions transformed the game, with Bolkan Nordli coming off the bench to score the opener.
  • Start must improve their shots-on-target ratio if they are to compete in future home fixtures.

Start vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Start and Rosenborg: Start 4W · 4D · Rosenborg 16W.

4

4

16

Sun, Nov 1, 2020Rosenborg1-0Start
Thu, Jul 16, 2020Start0-0Rosenborg
Sun, Nov 11, 2018Start0-1Rosenborg
Sun, Apr 22, 2018Rosenborg2-0Start
Sun, Sep 18, 2016Rosenborg2-0Start

Start vs Rosenborg — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Start vs Rosenborg?

PredictNext's AI model favours Rosenborg with a 45% win probability — Start 29%, draw 26%, Rosenborg 45%.

What is the predicted score for Start vs Rosenborg?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Start vs Rosenborg, generated with 50% model confidence.

Will Start vs Rosenborg have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Start vs Rosenborg.

How accurate was the Start vs Rosenborg prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.

More Eliteserien AI Predictions