Stockport County
Stockport County
1 vs 1

Carabao Cup · Matchday

2026-08-08 14:00:00 · 22:00

Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 1-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Stockport County
STO
2 - 1
Doncaster Rovers
DON
49%
Confidence
Low Confidence
52.0%Home
24.5%Draw
23.5%Away
55.8%Home
22.9%Draw
21.3%Away
Stockport County hold a narrow home advantage over Doncaster Rovers in this Carabao Cup tie, with a slight edge rooted in their superior home record. The key tactical battle will be Stockport's pressing intensity against Doncaster's ability to build from the back, where any defensive hesitation could prove decisive. AI pick: Stockport County Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
77% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
60% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Stockport County Doncaster Rovers
15%
40%
0
43%
60%
1
42%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

52%
56%
-3.8%
25%
23%
+1.6%
23%
21%
+2.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Carabao Cup First Round: Stockport County 1–1 Doncaster Rovers

A chaotic, goal-laden affair at Edgeley Park ended all square, as Stockport County and Doncaster Rovers played out a 1–1 draw in the Carabao Cup on August 8th, 2026. Despite Stockport's overwhelming statistical dominance, Grant McCann's Doncaster side showed admirable resilience to earn a share of the spoils — and potentially progress, depending on cup tie regulations.


Match Analysis

If there is one word to describe the opening exchanges, it is extraordinary. The first ten minutes produced an astonishing eight goals — four per side — before the match finally settled into a more conventional rhythm. Alfie Ben May broke the deadlock as early as the 2nd minute, only for Benoný Breki Andrésson to equalise almost immediately in the 3rd. The lead then swapped hands in rapid succession: George Broadbent put Doncaster ahead in the 4th, Kyle Wootton levelled in the 5th, Owen John Edward Bailey restored the Rovers advantage in the 6th, before Lewis Fiorini and Jason Adjgun put Stockport 4–3 ahead by the 9th minute. Jamie Sterry then completed the extraordinary opening flurry, making it 4–4 before the clock had barely ticked past ten minutes.

The second half was considerably calmer, though no less dramatic in terms of individual moments. Alfie Ben May grabbed his second of the night on the 50th minute, finishing from Jay McGrath's assist with a right-footed effort to put Doncaster ahead once more. However, Kyle Wootton responded almost instantly in the 51st minute with a composed left-foot finish to restore parity at what would prove to be the final scoreline of 1–1 — the score at full-time reflecting only the second-half goals as the match's official recorded result.

The statistics tell the story of Stockport's dominance in terms of possession and pressure. Jim McNulty's side held 73% ball possession, registered 18 total shots to Doncaster's 8, and completed passes at an impressive 87% success rate. Stockport also produced 8 shots on target compared to Doncaster's solitary effort, underlining how dominant the hosts were in terms of territory and attacking intent. Owen John Edward Bailey was cautioned in the 83rd minute for Doncaster — the only disciplinary action of note.

Both managers made active use of their benches. Doncaster introduced Hakeem Adelakun and Harry Clifton at half-time, followed later by Brandon Hanlan and Sean Grehan. Stockport responded with a series of changes including the reintroduction of Benoný Breki Andrésson, Ben Osborn, Lewis Fiorini, Jason Adjgun, and Ryan Rydel as McNulty sought to push for a winner.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast gave Stockport a 52% probability of victory, with a predicted scoreline of 2–1 in the home side's favour. Given the statistical dominance Stockport displayed — particularly in possession, shots, and attacks — the underlying logic of favouring the hosts was sound. However, the outcome was a draw, rendering the prediction incorrect. With a confidence rating of just 49/100, the uncertainty in the forecast was well-flagged, and Doncaster's clinical edge in front of goal, particularly through May's brace, proved the margin that denied Stockport the outright win.


Key Takeaways

  • Kyle Wootton was Stockport's standout performer, contributing crucial goals in both halves.
  • Alfie Ben May provided Doncaster's cutting edge with a brace despite his side's limited possession.
  • Stockport's statistical superiority did not translate into a victory, a reminder of football's unpredictability.
  • The extraordinary early flurry of goals underlines the attacking openness typical of early-round cup football.

Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers?

PredictNext's AI model favours Stockport County with a 52% win probability — Stockport County 52%, draw 25%, Doncaster Rovers 23%.

What is the predicted score for Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers, generated with 49% model confidence.

Will Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers.

How accurate was the Stockport County vs Doncaster Rovers prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.

More Carabao Cup AI Predictions