Südtirol
Südtirol
1 vs 1

Serie B · Matchday

2026-10-24 13:00:00 · 21:00 · Stadio Marco Druso

Sampdoria
Sampdoria

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Südtirol
SUD
1 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
39%
Confidence
Unpredictable
40.0%Home
28.0%Draw
32.0%Away
37.6%Home
29.5%Draw
32.8%Away
Südtirol hold a narrow edge at home, bolstered by Sampdoria's mounting injury crisis — Lorenzo Insigne (hamstring) and Sebastiano Esposito (muscular) are both ruled out, significantly weakening the visitors' attacking options. Südtirol's defensive solidity, reflected in the predicted 1-0 scoreline, could prove decisive against a depleted Sampdoria frontline. AI pick: Südtirol Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSUD or SAM
72% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreTobias LauritsenAlso: Lorenzo Insigne, Gennaro Tutino

Goal Probability

SUD SAM
15%
44%
0
47%
56%
1
38%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

40%
33%
+7.4%
28%
31%
-2.8%
32%
36%
-4.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI Contrarian Pick: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet365VALUE2.623.102.60+4.8%-13.2%-16.8%
PinnacleVALUE3.102.912.61+24.0%-18.5%-16.5%
1xbetVALUE2.912.952.55+16.4%-17.4%-18.4%
WilliamHillVALUE2.803.002.50+12.0%-16.0%-20.0%
BetfairVALUE2.803.102.50+12.0%-13.2%-20.0%
bwinVALUE2.753.102.55+10.0%-13.2%-18.4%
LadbrokesVALUE2.702.902.45+8.0%-18.8%-21.6%
MelBetVALUE2.912.952.55+16.4%-17.4%-18.4%
CoralVALUE2.702.902.45+8.0%-18.8%-21.6%
DafabetVALUE2.953.052.60+18.0%-14.6%-16.8%
MarathonbetVALUE2.912.952.55+16.4%-17.4%-18.4%
SboVALUE2.702.922.29+8.0%-18.2%-26.7%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Südtirol 1–1 Sampdoria: Points Shared in Bolzano

A hard-fought Serie B contest at the Stadio Druso on October 24th ended all square, with both Südtirol and Sampdoria taking a point apiece in what proved to be a competitive and closely contested afternoon. Despite Sampdoria taking the lead through Yari Verschaeren midway through the first half, the hosts battled back to level and secure a share of the spoils.

Match Analysis

The statistical picture of this fixture tells an interesting story of contrasting styles. Südtirol dominated possession, holding 70% of the ball across the ninety minutes while completing passes at an impressive 89% success rate — figures that reflect coach Davide Possanzini's evident preference for controlled, patient build-up play. Despite generating 117 attacks compared to Sampdoria's 73, the hosts found it difficult to consistently threaten in dangerous areas when it mattered most.

Sampdoria, under Bernardo Corradi, set up in a more compact and direct manner, working with just 30% possession but remaining dangerous on the counter. The visitors earned five corners to Südtirol's two, suggesting their threat came primarily through wide areas and transitions. Both teams registered 11 shots in total, though Sampdoria edged the shots on target count 3–2, indicative of their efficiency despite seeing less of the ball.

The opening goal arrived in the 34th minute, when Yari Verschaeren converted with a right-foot shot, assisted by Tjaš Begić — a well-worked move that rewarded Sampdoria's disciplined defensive structure and clinical use of their attacking opportunities. Südtirol responded and eventually levelled proceedings, preventing what would have been a painful defeat given their territorial dominance throughout.

From a disciplinary standpoint, the match carried a physical edge. Manuel Cicconi was booked early for Sampdoria in the 18th minute — notable also because he had entered the pitch just minutes earlier as an early replacement for Fabio Depaoli at the 12th minute mark. Giacomo Stabile was cautioned for Südtirol in the 61st minute, and Stefan Gartenmann, who himself had just come on as a substitute, was yellow-carded moments later in the 68th minute for Sampdoria. Both coaches were active in reshaping their sides in the second half, with Südtirol making five substitutions including Kevin Zeroli and Dhirar Brik, while Sampdoria introduced Gennaro Tutino and Yann Karamoh in search of a winning goal.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Südtirol home win at 40%, with the draw at 28% and a Sampdoria victory at 32%. The confidence rating of just 39/100 reflected genuine uncertainty about this fixture — and rightly so. The final 1–1 result means our prediction was incorrect, as the draw materialised rather than the expected home victory. The low confidence rating at least acknowledged the inherent unpredictability of this encounter, and in hindsight the balanced shot count and Sampdoria's counter-attacking efficiency made a shared result a logical outcome.

Key Takeaways

  • Südtirol's possession dominance did not translate into victory, highlighting the gap between territorial control and clinical finishing at this level.
  • Verschaeren's 34th-minute strike was the defining moment of quality in the match, but Südtirol's resilience earned them a deserved point.
  • Sampdoria's compactness with only 30% possession but 3 shots on target underlines Corradi's pragmatic away approach.
  • A point each leaves both sides with work to do, but the draw is arguably a fairer reflection of a tightly contested Serie B encounter.

Südtirol vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Südtirol and Sampdoria: Südtirol 4W · 1D · Sampdoria 2W.

4

1

2

Fri, May 1, 2026Sampdoria1-0Südtirol
Sun, Aug 31, 2025Südtirol3-1Sampdoria
Sat, Feb 15, 2025Südtirol2-1Sampdoria
Sat, Sep 21, 2024Sampdoria1-0Südtirol
Sat, Apr 13, 2024Sampdoria0-1Südtirol

Südtirol vs Sampdoria — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Südtirol vs Sampdoria?

PredictNext's AI model favours Südtirol (also known as Sudtirol) with a 40% win probability — Südtirol 40%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 32%.

What is the predicted score for Südtirol vs Sampdoria?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Südtirol vs Sampdoria, generated with 39% model confidence.

Will Südtirol vs Sampdoria have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Südtirol vs Sampdoria.

How accurate was the Südtirol vs Sampdoria prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.

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