Suriname 2–1 Martinique | CONCACAF Nations League | September 28, 2026

Result Summary

Suriname secured a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Martinique in the CONCACAF Nations League, with second-half goals from Justin Lonwijk and Gyrano Kerk proving enough to withstand a late Martinique response. A consolation header from Boris Sébastien Moltenis in the 81st minute gave the scoreline a more competitive look, but Suriname's dominance across the contest was largely beyond question.

Match Analysis

The first half was a cagey, goalless affair, with neither side able to break the deadlock despite Suriname's intent to control proceedings. That control would become increasingly evident in the numbers: 68% ball possession for the home side versus just 32% for Martinique, and a significant edge in attacking output — 102 attacks to 61, and 71 dangerous attacks compared to Martinique's 39.

The game's pivotal moment came with half-time substitutions. Suriname introduced Justin Lonwijk at the break in place of Dhoraso Klas, and the decision paid immediate dividends. Just nine minutes into the second half, Lonwijk broke the deadlock in the 54th minute with a right-foot shot, rewarding Suriname's persistent pressure.

Martinique attempted to respond through their own changes — Ludovic Blas had already been introduced as early as the 30th minute, and further adjustments came at the hour mark with Kévin Appin and Jonathan Varane coming on — but Suriname extended their lead before those changes could take hold. Gyrano Kerk struck in the 69th minute, again via a right-foot finish, to double the advantage and seemingly put the match to bed.

Suriname's shots total of 14 (five on target) outpaced Martinique's 10 (three on target), reinforcing that this was a match played largely on Suriname's terms. With a 87% successful pass rate compared to Martinique's 77%, coach Henk Fraser's side were comfortable in possession and efficient in their build-up.

Martinique did find a late lifeline when Boris Sébastien Moltenis headed home in the 81st minute, assisted by substitute Ludovic Blas, trimming the deficit and setting up a tense closing period. However, Suriname held firm through a handful of late changes — including Gleofilo Vlijter and Radinio Balker coming on — to secure all three points.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast gave this a 38% probability for a Suriname win, with a predicted scoreline of 1–0 and a relatively low confidence rating of 41/100. The outcome confirmed the correct result — a Suriname victory — though the actual scoreline of 2–1 reflected a slightly more eventful match than anticipated. The statistical dominance Suriname displayed ultimately validated the lean toward a home win, even if the margin felt closer than the underlying numbers suggested.

Key Takeaways

• Justin Lonwijk's impact off the bench was decisive — scoring within nine minutes of entering the pitch, he exemplified the value of Henk Fraser's squad depth.
• Gyrano Kerk's 69th-minute strike was a crucial second goal that gave Suriname breathing room against a Martinique side that never stopped working.
• Martinique's reliance on set-piece moments — Moltenis's header highlighted their threat from delivery, a factor future opponents should note.
• Suriname's territorial and possession dominance suggests a well-organized side capable of controlling CONCACAF fixtures at home.