Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Matchday
2026-10-24 20:00:00 · 04:00 · Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.80 | -11.9% | -10.4% | +10.2% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.13 | 3.35 | 3.55 | -8.4% | -6.2% | +2.9% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.16 | 3.30 | 3.47 | -7.1% | -7.6% | +0.6% |
| WilliamHill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.40 | -9.7% | -13.2% | -1.4% |
| BetfairVALUE | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.60 | -11.9% | -9.0% | +4.4% |
| bwinVALUE | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.50 | -9.7% | -10.4% | +1.5% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.60 | -9.7% | -9.0% | +4.4% |
| CoralVALUE | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.60 | -9.7% | -7.6% | +4.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.24 | 3.40 | -8.8% | -9.3% | -1.4% |
| MelBetVALUE | 2.16 | 3.30 | 3.47 | -7.1% | -7.6% | +0.6% |
| DafabetVALUE | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.65 | -12.7% | -10.4% | +5.8% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Talleres Córdoba 1–2 Defensa y Justicia | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 24 October 2026
Result Summary
In a dramatic Saturday night fixture at the Mario Alberto Kempes, Defensa y Justicia pulled off a late comeback victory, overturning Talleres Córdoba's first-half lead to claim all three points. Goals from Leandro Fernández just after the interval and a decisive Juan Manuel Gutiérrez Freire strike in the 88th minute completed the turnaround, handing Julio César Vaccari's side a hard-fought 2–1 win.
Match Analysis
Talleres began the more threatening side, and the statistics broadly reflect a home performance that ultimately went unrewarded. Agustín Álvarez Martínez opened the scoring in the 32nd minute with a well-taken right-foot finish, rewarding a Talleres side that generated significant attacking volume throughout the 90 minutes — accumulating 20 total shots (7 on target) compared to Defensa's 12, and logging 110 attacks to the visitors' 94. Omar De Felippe's men also dominated set-piece territory, earning 8 corners against just 3.
However, dominance in volume did not translate into a commanding lead, and Defensa y Justicia responded clinically. Just two minutes into the second half, Leandro Fernández levelled with a composed left-foot finish, assisted by Juan Gutiérrez, immediately shifting the match's momentum. The equaliser changed the texture of the game, and while Talleres continued to press forward, their 10 shots off target underlined a certain lack of precision in the final third.
The disciplinary picture added further complexity for the hosts. Román Riquelme picked up a yellow card in the 42nd minute for dissent, and Lautaro Ortiz — introduced as a substitute in the 63rd minute — was booked just 11 minutes after coming on. Alexandro Maidana Mendieta also received a late caution deep in stoppage time, reflecting growing frustration as the clock wound down.
Defensa managed their resources well in the closing stages, with Vaccari deploying a series of substitutions — including Aaron Molinas, Maximiliano Porcel, Agustín Hausch, and Tiziano Perrotta — to freshen legs and stabilise the contest. The winning moment arrived in the 88th minute, when Juan Manuel Gutiérrez Freire converted with a left-foot shot, assisted by Valentín Pucheta Loza, to send the away end into celebration. Despite Talleres' late pressure, evidenced by Maidana Mendieta's stoppage-time booking, there was no way back.
Possession was essentially split — 49% Talleres, 51% Defensa — while both sides posted comparable dangerous attack tallies (46 vs 44), underlining just how narrow the margins were. Defensa's greater passing efficiency (85% successful passes vs Talleres' 82%) suggested they retained composure when it mattered most.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–0 home win, placing the highest probability on a Talleres victory at 43%, with an away win assigned 29%. At a confidence level of just 56/100, the model correctly identified this as a genuinely competitive fixture, yet underestimated Defensa y Justicia's counter-punching quality and their ability to absorb pressure and convert efficiently. The prediction outcome was incorrect.
Key Takeaways
- Defensa y Justicia were ruthless when it mattered, converting two of their six shots on target while absorbing sustained Talleres pressure.
- Álvarez Martínez's opener was ultimately insufficient; Talleres' inability to double their advantage proved costly.
- Gutiérrez Freire's late winner underlines how quickly matches can turn in the Liga Profesional, even against a statistically superior opponent.
- For Talleres, De Felippe will need to address clinical finishing, with 10 shots off target representing an opportunity squandered
Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Talleres Córdoba and Defensa y Justicia: Talleres Córdoba 4W · 2D · Defensa y Justicia 5W.
4
Talleres Córdoba wins
2
Draws
5
Defensa y Justicia wins
Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia?
PredictNext's AI model favours Talleres Córdoba (also known as Talleres Cordoba) with a 43% win probability — Talleres Córdoba 43%, draw 28%, Defensa y Justicia 29%.
What is the predicted score for Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia.
How accurate was the Talleres Córdoba vs Defensa y Justicia prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.