Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
5 vs 1

Carabao Cup · Matchday

2026-08-25 00:00:00 · 08:00

Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 5-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
2 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CHA
54%
Confidence
Low Confidence
68.0%Home
20.0%Draw
12.0%Away
74.8%Home
15.7%Draw
9.5%Away
**Tottenham Hotspur** enter this Carabao Cup clash as clear favorites against **Charlton Athletic**, with a 68% win probability reflecting the significant gulf in quality between the Premier League side and their Championship opponents. The key tactical factor will be Spurs' ability to control possession and exploit the flanks against a lower-division defensive structure. AI pick: Tottenham Hotspur Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
88% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Tottenham Hotspur Charlton Athletic
0%
65%
0
17%
35%
1
51%
0%
2
32%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

68%
75%
-6.8%
20%
16%
+4.3%
12%
9%
+2.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Tottenham Hotspur 5–1 Charlton Athletic | Carabao Cup | 25 August 2026

Result Summary

Roberto De Zerbi's Tottenham Hotspur produced a commanding Carabao Cup performance at home, dismantling Charlton Athletic 5–1 in what amounted to a highly convincing, largely one-sided contest. Goals from Mikey Moore, Dominic Solanke, Kevin Danso, Sávio Moreira de Oliveira, and Ben Davies secured a comfortable passage into the next round, with Lloyd Jones grabbing a late consolation for Nathan Jones' Championship side.

Match Analysis

Spurs were dominant from the outset, and the statistics tell the story emphatically. Tottenham controlled 73% of ball possession, completed passes at a 90% success rate, and registered 20 shots in total — 11 on target — compared to Charlton's six shots overall. Their 131 attacks to Charlton's 64, and 77 dangerous attacks to 26, underline just how thoroughly De Zerbi's side controlled the contest.

The opening goal arrived just before the break, Mikey Moore finishing from a Rodrigo Bentancur assist in the 41st minute, latching onto a well-timed delivery and slotting home with his left foot. Moore then turned provider moments later, teeing up Dominic Solanke, who added a second on the stroke of half-time with a composed right-footed finish. Charlton had been reduced to firefighting long before the interval, with a yellow card issued to one of their players for arguing in the 24th minute context — though Lucas Bergvall had already picked up a booking for Spurs in the 24th minute for a foul, and Robert Apter was cautioned in second-half added time.

Charlton had made early enforced changes, losing both Billy Koumetio and Collins Sichenje to substitution as early as the 15th minute — disruptions that can only have compounded their difficulties in keeping Spurs at bay.

The second half saw De Zerbi rotate liberally, yet the goals kept coming. Kevin Danso, introduced in the 65th minute, made an immediate impact, heading home from a Mateus Fernandes assist just two minutes after taking the field to make it 3–0. Sávio Moreira de Oliveira extended the lead to four in the 82nd minute with a left-footed effort, assisted by Archie Gray, before Ben Davies completed the scoring in the 85th minute — fittingly assisted by Sávio — capping an evening of polished, professional football from the hosts. Lloyd Jones grabbed a header for Charlton in the 87th minute via a Joe Rankin-Costello assist, but it was nothing more than a footnote on an otherwise difficult evening for the visitors.

Spurs' 11 corners and 13 key passes further illustrate the constant pressure they applied, while their disciplined defensive structure held firm against a Charlton attack that managed just four shots on target.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Tottenham win, with a 68% probability assigned to the home side and an overall confidence rating of 54/100. The predicted outcome — a Tottenham victory — proved correct, though the margin of victory significantly exceeded expectations. The 5–1 scoreline reflects a gulf in class between a Premier League side rotating its squad and a Championship outfit stretched thin from early on. The direction of the result was well-read; the scale was not.

Key Takeaways

  • Mikey Moore's double contribution — a goal and an assist — made him the standout performer in the first half.
  • Kevin Danso's instant impact off the bench highlighted Spurs' considerable squad depth under De Zerbi.
  • Charlton's early defensive disruptions at the 15-minute mark set a difficult tone from which they never recovered.
  • Tottenham's 90% passing accuracy and near-total territorial dominance suggest a well-drilled side already operating with considerable cohesion early in the season.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic?

PredictNext's AI model favours Tottenham Hotspur (also known as Tottenham) with a 68% win probability — Tottenham Hotspur 68%, draw 20%, Charlton Athletic 12%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic, generated with 54% model confidence.

Will Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic.

How accurate was the Tottenham Hotspur vs Charlton Athletic prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 5-1. The winner call was correct.

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