Trasandino 1–2 Brujas de Salamanca | Segunda División | 11 July 2026

Result Summary

Brujas de Salamanca claimed a vital away victory at Trasandino, winning 2–1 in a Segunda División fixture that defied the statistical narrative. Despite Trasandino dominating virtually every possession-based metric on the night, it was the visitors who showed the clinical edge that ultimately decided the contest.

Match Analysis

From the opening whistle, Trasandino asserted themselves as the dominant force. They controlled 67% of ball possession, generated 74 attacks compared to Brujas de Salamanca's 36, and registered 71 dangerous attacks to the visitors' 28. On paper, this reads like a comfortable home performance — yet the scoreboard told an entirely different story.

The key narrative of this match was efficiency versus volume. Brujas de Salamanca carved out only 8 total shots, but crucially placed 5 of those on target. Trasandino, by contrast, fired 9 total shots but only managed 2 on target — a conversion rate that proved fatal to their ambitions. The hosts' 9 corners also reflect a side that pushed relentlessly but too often failed in the final decisive moment.

Brujas de Salamanca drew first blood in the 19th minute, establishing early control of the scoreline despite sitting deep. They successfully protected and extended their lead in the 63rd minute, doubling their advantage and putting the game firmly in their hands. Trasandino responded with urgency, and Javier Antonio Quiñones Navarro pulled one back in the 71st minute, setting up a tense closing period. However, the visitors held firm to secure all three points.

The disciplinary record reflected a competitive and increasingly fractious contest. Brujas de Salamanca picked up four yellow cards across the match — at the 29th, 44th, 70th minutes, and a late booking for Javier Meléndez in the 89th minute. Trasandino also saw two of their players cautioned, including Alan Riquelme in the 76th minute, highlighting the tension that gripped the game in the final quarter-hour.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called this correctly, predicting a Brujas de Salamanca win, which ultimately came to pass. The model assigned a 41% probability to an away victory against a 31.5% chance for the home side, reflecting a slight lean toward the visitors — a lean that proved justified. The confidence level of 53/100 was appropriately measured, acknowledging the genuine uncertainty in the fixture.

What the statistical model perhaps captured was Brujas de Salamanca's ability to be dangerous despite lower possession — a trait that was borne out emphatically in the shots-on-target differential. The low confidence score also acknowledged that Trasandino, playing at home, were far from a foregone loser.

Key Takeaways

• Shot efficiency was the defining factor: Brujas de Salamanca's 5 shots on target from 8 total represents a conversion efficiency that Trasandino's 2 from 9 simply could not match.
• Trasandino's dominance was cosmetic: High possession and attacking numbers meant little without the composure to test the goalkeeper consistently.
• Quiñones Navarro's 71st-minute goal provided a lifeline, but the hosts left themselves too much to do after conceding twice before the hour mark.
• Brujas de Salamanca proved their away resilience, absorbing pressure intelligently and punishing their hosts on the counter with precision and efficiency.