Trasandino 3–1 Concón National | Segunda División | 25 October 2026

Result Summary

Trasandino delivered a commanding home performance in the Segunda División, defeating Concón National 3–1 at their own ground. Goals from Alan Riquelme, Santiago Bravo, and Lucas Poza gave the hosts a thoroughly deserved victory, with Rodrigo Gattas grabbing a late consolation for the visitors in the dying minutes. Under coach Cristian Alejandro Febre Santis, Trasandino demonstrated clear tactical cohesion and clinical finishing when it mattered most.

Match Analysis

The first half was a competitive, somewhat tense affair, with Trasandino asserting their authority through 56% ball possession and generating the greater share of purposeful attacking play. The deadlock was broken in the 40th minute when Alan Riquelme put the home side ahead, a goal that came just three minutes after Trasandino had been shown a yellow card, suggesting the match was already building in intensity before the break.

The second half opened with further disciplinary flashpoints — Concón National's Valentín Demateis was booked on 46 minutes, followed by another yellow for Trasandino at 51' and Franco Cubillos of Concón National at 53'. Despite the friction, it was Trasandino who kept their composure in front of goal. Substitute Santiago Bravo, introduced on 62 minutes to replace F. A. Abarca Antil, made an immediate impact, doubling the lead just three minutes after his introduction in the 65th minute — a testament to Febre Santis's effective use of his bench.

Concón National attempted to respond through a flurry of substitutions — making five changes across the second half — but struggled to convert their threat into goals. The statistics tell an interesting story: the visitors registered 79 dangerous attacks to Trasandino's 71, and took 14 total shots, yet managed only 5 shots on target compared to Trasandino's 9. This wastefulness in front of goal proved decisive. Lucas Poza sealed the result at the 74th minute, effectively ending any realistic hope of a Concón National comeback. The visitors' late consolation from Rodrigo Gattas in the 89th minute amounted to little more than a statistical footnote, albeit a deserved one given their attacking volume throughout.

Trasandino's discipline — just 5 fouls conceded compared to Concón National's 13 — also highlighted the difference in approach. The home side were organised and focused, rarely needing to resort to cynical stops.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–1 draw, with a home win probability of 40.5%, a draw at 27%, and an away win at 32.5%. The relatively low confidence rating of 52/100 reflected genuine uncertainty about the outcome — and while the scoreline ultimately proved our model wrong, the underlying statistics suggest Concón National were not as dominant as a simple narrative of "the prediction was badly off" might imply. Their dangerous attack count and total shots were competitive numbers; they simply failed to convert. Trasandino, by contrast, were ruthlessly efficient, turning 9 shots on target into 3 goals. The model underestimated the home side's clinical edge.

Key Takeaways

• Alan Riquelme's first-half opener set the tone for a controlled Trasandino display.
• Santiago Bravo's impact off the bench was the defining moment of the second half, scoring within minutes of his introduction.
• Concón National's high foul count and poor conversion rate undermined what was otherwise an energetic attacking effort.
• Trasandino's efficiency in front of goal (9 shots on target, 3 goals) was the decisive factor in a match our model misjudged.