Vicenza
Vicenza
3 vs 2

Serie B · Matchday

2026-08-21 18:30:00 · 02:30 · Stadio Romeo Menti

Catanzaro
Catanzaro

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Vicenza
LRV
1 - 1
Catanzaro
CAT
46%
Confidence
Low Confidence
38.0%Home
29.0%Draw
33.0%Away
36.5%Home
30.1%Draw
33.4%Away
**Vicenza** enter this Serie B clash with injury concerns on both sides, but **Catanzaro** face notable absences with E. Pecorino ruled out due to fitness issues — a significant blow to their attacking threat. The hosts' home advantage and H2H resilience could prove decisive in a tight, low-scoring contest where midfield control shapes the outcome. AI pick: Vicenza Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredLRV or CAT
71% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
52% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

LRV CAT
19%
22%
0
65%
65%
1
15%
13%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

38%
37%
+1.5%
29%
30%
-1.0%
33%
33%
-0.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Vicenza 3–2 Catanzaro: Late Drama Delivers Home Victory

Vicenza claimed a dramatic Serie B victory at home, overturning a second-half deficit to defeat Catanzaro 3–2 in a thoroughly entertaining encounter on August 21. The match was defined by momentum swings, decisive substitutions, and a stunning late winner that left the visitors devastated heading into the early stages of the season.

Match Analysis

Catanzaro made the brighter start, taking the lead through Marco D'Alessandro on 17 minutes, finishing with his right foot after a well-crafted move assisted by Gabriele Alesi. The visitors looked composed in possession, ultimately finishing the match with 53% ball possession, though the home side would more than compensate with raw attacking output.

Vicenza drew level before the break when Giuseppe Cuomo headed home a Filippo Costa cross on 39 minutes, restoring parity at a crucial moment. The equaliser came just before a fiery end to the half — Catanzaro's Pietro Iemmello picked up a yellow card on 42 minutes for an argument, followed by Vicenza's Filippo Alessio carded two minutes later for a foul, adding tension to what was already a combustible contest.

Catanzaro re-established their advantage shortly after the restart. Bruno Verrengia struck on 51 minutes with a right-foot finish, assisted by Matias Antonini, and Catanzaro seemed well-positioned to take control. Jacopo Petriccione and Filippo Costa both received yellow cards in the 53rd and 55th minutes respectively, underlining the ferocity of the battle in midfield.

However, Vicenza coach Fabio Gallo reshaped his side through bold substitutions that ultimately transformed the game. Alessandro Pietrelli entered in the 62nd minute, and it was he who dragged Vicenza level on 80 minutes, powering home a header from Tommaso Corazza's assist — Corazza himself only having come on four minutes earlier. Catanzaro responded with a flurry of changes, bringing on Gabriel Arditi, Federico Di Francesco, and Samuel Giovane in the 82nd minute, but could not stem the tide.

The decisive moment arrived on 89 minutes, when substitute Claudio Morra drilled home a right-foot finish after a perfectly timed assist from Nicola Rauti — himself a substitute — to send the home faithful into raptures. Both of Vicenza's final two goals came from players introduced from the bench, a testament to the depth of Gallo's squad and the quality of his tactical adjustments.

The statistics underline Vicenza's dominance in attack. They registered 23 total shots to Catanzaro's 13, with 9 shots on target apiece, though Vicenza's pressure was reflected in their 59 dangerous attacks compared to Catanzaro's 38. Vicenza also led the corner count 10–6, signalling their sustained territorial ambition despite being without the majority of possession.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 1–1 draw — carrying just 46/100 confidence — did not hold up. The model assigned a 38% probability to a home win, which ultimately proved the correct outcome. The low confidence rating reflected the genuine competitive balance between these sides, and Catanzaro's in-game performance justified the cautious assessment. However, the impact of Vicenza's substitutes, which proved decisive, is a factor difficult to model in advance.

Key Takeaways

  • Vicenza's bench made the difference: Pietrelli, Morra, Rauti, and Corazza all contributed directly to the comeback.
  • Catanzaro were competitive but failed to hold their lead despite spending the majority of the first half and much of the second in a strong position.
  • Coach Fabio Gallo's in-game management deserves significant credit for turning the match around in the final 30 minutes.
  • Both teams played with intensity — 31 combined fouls and five yellow cards underline the competitive nature of this Serie B opener.

Vicenza vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head

Last 2 meetings between Vicenza and Catanzaro: Vicenza 1W · 1D · Catanzaro 0W.

1

1

0

Fri, Jan 6, 2006Vicenza1-0Catanzaro
Fri, Aug 26, 2005Catanzaro1-1Vicenza

Vicenza vs Catanzaro — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Vicenza vs Catanzaro?

PredictNext's AI model favours Vicenza with a 38% win probability — Vicenza 38%, draw 29%, Catanzaro 33%.

What is the predicted score for Vicenza vs Catanzaro?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Vicenza vs Catanzaro, generated with 46% model confidence.

Will Vicenza vs Catanzaro have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Vicenza vs Catanzaro.

How accurate was the Vicenza vs Catanzaro prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.

More Serie B AI Predictions