Vicenza 1–1 Juve Stabia | Serie B | 12 September 2026

Result Summary

A hard-fought point was shared at Vicenza as the hosts and Juve Stabia played out a 1–1 draw in Serie B. Tommaso Corazza's second-half strike gave Vicenza the lead, but Juve Stabia's greater overall pressure throughout the contest ensured they left with a share of the spoils, with the visitors' equaliser confirmed following a VAR review at the 70-minute mark.

Match Analysis

The statistics tell a clear story of Juve Stabia's dominance in possession and territory. Pietro De Giorgio's side controlled 57% of the ball, registered 14 total shots compared to Vicenza's 7, and placed 7 shots on target against just 2 for the home side. Their 11 key passes to Vicenza's 5 underlined a consistent quality in the final third, while their pass accuracy of 86% was notably superior to Vicenza's 76%.

Yet Fabio Gallo's Vicenza proved efficient in the moments that mattered. The opening goal arrived in the 52nd minute, when Silvio Merkaj's assist released Tommaso Corazza, who finished with a composed right-foot shot to give the hosts the advantage. It was a classic counter-punching moment — 48 dangerous attacks generated by Vicenza compared to 23 for Juve Stabia suggests the home side were effective in the threat they posed when transitioning, even if they conceded the lion's share of possession.

Discipline was a minor concern for Vicenza. Giuseppe Cuomo picked up a yellow card in the 49th minute for a foul, just moments before Corazza's opener. Corazza himself was then cautioned in the 76th minute, minutes after scoring, a booking that will rule him out of his team's next fixture should he accumulate further cards.

The VAR decision at the 70th minute involving Nermin Karic proved pivotal — directly connected to Juve Stabia's equaliser — and reflected the fine margins that separated the two sides. Gallo responded with a triple substitution at the 69th minute, introducing Andrea Papetti, Giulio Pellizzari, and Alessandro Pietrelli to freshen things up, while De Giorgio also made his adjustments, bringing on Federico Artioli, Giuseppe Sibilli, Thomas Battistella, and Fabio Maistro across two waves of changes. Despite the attacking reinforcements on both sides, neither team could find a winner, and the match settled into its final result of parity.

Vicenza's 8 corners to Juve Stabia's 5 and their 20 fouls — compared to the visitors' 14 — paint a picture of a home side working hard physically, sometimes to excess, to keep a technically superior opponent at bay.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a 1–1 draw, which proved to be the exact correct result. The prediction carried a confidence rating of 52/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty around the match — and rightfully so, given how competitive and evenly contested the final scoreline appeared. The statistical dominance of Juve Stabia was anticipated in our probability model, yet Vicenza's resilience and clinical edge in their limited opportunities was a key factor that aligned with the draw projection. A satisfying outcome for the forecast.

Key Takeaways

• Juve Stabia dominated the statistical metrics but lacked the ruthlessness to convert their superiority into three points.
• Corazza's goal was Vicenza's standout moment — a well-taken finish from a disciplined counter-attack.
• The VAR intervention proved decisive in shaping the final outcome, highlighting the increasing importance of officiating technology at this level.
• Vicenza's yellow card count and the booking for Corazza could have implications for upcoming fixtures.
• A point apiece reflects an honest outcome given the balance of play across 90 minutes.