
Serie B · Matchday
2026-08-29 17:00:00 · 01:00 · Stadio Comunale Chiavari

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.25 | -3.2% | -14.7% | -7.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.35 | 3.39 | -3.6% | -7.9% | -3.4% |
| 1xbet | 2.14 | 3.34 | 3.32 | -5.8% | -8.2% | -5.4% |
| WilliamHill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.30 | -5.4% | -14.7% | -6.0% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -3.2% | -9.3% | -11.7% |
| Unibet | 2.17 | 3.25 | 3.30 | -4.5% | -10.6% | -6.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 | -5.4% | -14.7% | -14.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.34 | 3.32 | -6.7% | -8.2% | -5.4% |
| CloudBet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.30 | -5.8% | -10.6% | -6.0% |
| MansionBet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.15 | -5.8% | -10.6% | -10.2% |
| Coral | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 | -5.4% | -14.7% | -14.5% |
| 10Bet | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.35 | -6.7% | -9.3% | -4.5% |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | -1.0% | -9.3% | -6.0% |
| MelBet | 2.14 | 3.34 | 3.32 | -5.8% | -8.2% | -5.4% |
| Sbo | 2.18 | 2.91 | 2.87 | -4.1% | -20.0% | -18.2% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Virtus Entella 1–2 Cesena | Serie B | 29 August 2026
Result Summary
Cesena claimed a hard-fought away victory at Virtus Entella, registering a 2–1 win despite facing a home side that dominated large portions of the contest. Goals from Antonio Fiori (25') and Cristian Shpendi (36') gave the visitors a commanding first-half lead, before Andrea Tiritiello pulled one back for Entella just before the interval (42'). Despite a second-half push from the hosts, Cesena held firm to secure all three points under coach Alessandro Diamanti.
Match Analysis
The scoreline tells only part of the story. Virtus Entella, under Andrea Chiappella, were the more active side across the 90 minutes by a considerable margin. The hosts registered 14 total shots compared to Cesena's 7, launched 123 attacks to the visitors' 49, and generated 59 dangerous attacks versus just 21 for Cesena. Ball possession firmly favoured Entella at 59% to 41%, and their 85% successful pass rate underpinned a composed, patient style of play. They also recorded 11 key passes to Cesena's 4, emphasising how thoroughly they controlled the creative tempo.
And yet, the clinical reality is that Cesena converted their moments with ruthless efficiency. Antonio Fiori opened the scoring with a precise header in the 25th minute, catching Entella's backline off guard. Just eleven minutes later, Cristian Shpendi doubled the advantage with a composed right-foot finish, assisted by Xavello Druiventak, effectively punishing Entella's inability to protect their early exposure in behind.
Entella did respond before the break — Tiritiello netting from a Luca Vignali assist in the 42nd minute — but the half-time deficit of 2–1 remained. The second half saw Chiappella make bold changes at the interval, introducing Luigi Cuppone for Mattia Tirelli, and Entella continued to press forward. However, despite their 6 corners and sustained pressure, the equaliser never arrived. Cesena's defensive discipline, combined with a willingness to commit fouls when needed — the visitors were booked four times and conceded 18 fouls — helped disrupt Entella's rhythm and soak up pressure effectively.
Shpendi himself received a yellow card at the end of the first half, shortly after scoring, and Matteo Guidi followed with a booking of his own in the 50th minute, highlighting Cesena's pragmatic approach. Both were subsequently substituted off, with Diamanti managing their fitness and risk profiles sensibly through the second half.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast pointed to a 1–0 home win for Virtus Entella, with a confidence rating of just 54/100 — reflecting genuine uncertainty in this fixture. The prediction ultimately proved incorrect, as Cesena took the points with a disciplined counter-attacking display. Ironically, the statistics would have supported backing an Entella win; the home side out-shot, out-attacked, and out-possessed their opponents comprehensively. This match serves as a reminder that efficiency and timing matter as much as volume — Cesena scored twice in a pivotal 11-minute window and defended their lead with grit.
Key Takeaways
- Cesena's clinical edge in the first half proved decisive — two goals from limited opportunities underlined their quality in the final third.
- Virtus Entella's statistical dominance ultimately went unrewarded, pointing to a finishing and conversion problem that Chiappella must address.
- Shpendi and Fiori were the key contributors for Cesena before being managed off in the second half, suggesting Diamanti is mindful of squad rotation.
- With this result, Cesena demonstrate they can grind out wins on the road — a valuable trait in a competitive Serie B campaign.
Virtus Entella vs Cesena Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Virtus Entella and Cesena: Virtus Entella 4W · 3D · Cesena 2W.
4
Virtus Entella wins
3
Draws
2
Cesena wins
Virtus Entella vs Cesena — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Cesena?
PredictNext's AI model favours Virtus Entella with a 44% win probability — Virtus Entella 44%, draw 28%, Cesena 28%.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Cesena?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Virtus Entella vs Cesena, generated with 54% model confidence.
Will Virtus Entella vs Cesena have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for under 2.5 goals in Virtus Entella vs Cesena.
How accurate was the Virtus Entella vs Cesena prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.