
Eredivisie · Matchday
2026-08-15 14:30:00 · 22:30

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 1-4
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Match Report
Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie Match Analysis
Result Summary
NEC Nijmegen delivered a commanding performance at Willem II's ground on Saturday afternoon, running out emphatic 4–1 winners to claim three points with authority. A late first-half header from Adam Tahaui set the tone, and a clinical second-half blitz effectively settled the contest long before Thomas Verheydt's late consolation for the hosts.
Match Analysis
The statistics tell a damning story for John Stegeman's side. NEC dominated virtually every measurable category, holding 68% possession to Willem II's 32%, completing passes at an 85% success rate compared to a modest 62% for the hosts, and generating 138 attacks to Willem II's 77. Most tellingly, NEC recorded 21 total shots with 10 on target, while Willem II managed just 9 shots overall and only 2 on target — a clear reflection of a match played heavily on NEC's terms.
The contest's defining period came either side of half-time. Tahaui headed home from a Clement Bischoff assist in first-half stoppage time to give NEC the advantage they thoroughly deserved. The second half then turned into a rout. Tjaronn Chery struck with a right-footed finish on 54 minutes, Bryan Linssen added a third on 64 minutes, and — remarkably — moments after being introduced as a substitute, Kaj Sierhuis converted a fourth on 67 minutes, assisted by Chery to complete a whirlwind ten-minute spell that put the match beyond any doubt.
Willem II's difficult afternoon was compounded by Nathan Tjoe-A-On's yellow card as early as the 16th minute for a foul, and he was eventually withdrawn at the 69-minute mark alongside two teammates as Stegeman rang the changes. One of those substitutes, Hidde ter Avest, did provide the assist for Thomas Verheydt's consolation on 77 minutes, but it amounted to little more than a footnote on what was an otherwise sobering home defeat. With just 23 dangerous attacks generated across 90 minutes — compared to NEC's 72 — Willem II offered Dick Schreuder's side very little to concern themselves with.
For NEC, Tjaronn Chery was the standout creative force, contributing a goal and an assist and providing the platform for Sierhuis to make an immediate impact off the bench. The 19 key passes NEC registered underlined how consistently they threatened and created throughout the afternoon.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a NEC Nijmegen win, with a predicted scoreline of 0–2 and a 62% probability assigned to an away victory. The outcome was correct — NEC did win — though the actual 4–1 scoreline significantly exceeded our projected margin. The forecast carried a confidence rating of 60/100, which in hindsight proved appropriately cautious in terms of scoreline precision, even if the directional call was well-founded. The sheer dominance of NEC's dangerous attack numbers (72 vs 23) and shot volume suggested the winning margin could have been even greater.
Key Takeaways
- NEC Nijmegen's collective depth showed clearly, with substitutes Sierhuis and Emre Mor making immediate contributions after coming on.
- Willem II struggled badly for possession and creation, managing only 2 shots on target across 90 minutes.
- The four-goal second-half burst in under 25 minutes highlighted NEC's ability to put teams away when in the ascendancy.
- Stegeman will need rapid answers as Willem II look to address what was a thoroughly one-sided opening Eredivisie fixture.
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Willem II and NEC Nijmegen: Willem II 4W · 7D · NEC Nijmegen 11W.
4
Willem II wins
7
Draws
11
NEC Nijmegen wins
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
PredictNext's AI model favours NEC Nijmegen with a 62% win probability — Willem II 17%, draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen 62%.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen, generated with 60% model confidence.
Will Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen.
How accurate was the Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 1-4. The winner call was correct.