Admiral Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-10-24 15:00:00 · 23:00 · Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-1
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.62 | -12.3% | -8.2% | -5.7% |
| Pinnacle | 2.56 | 3.36 | 2.76 | -5.3% | -9.3% | -0.6% |
| 1xbet | 2.48 | 3.34 | 2.69 | -8.2% | -9.8% | -3.2% |
| WilliamHill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | -7.5% | -16.3% | -2.8% |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.63 | -9.3% | -5.5% | -5.3% |
| bwin | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.65 | -11.2% | -5.5% | -4.6% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.60 | -14.9% | -10.9% | -6.4% |
| MelBet | 2.48 | 3.34 | 2.69 | -8.2% | -9.8% | -3.2% |
| Coral | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.60 | -14.9% | -10.9% | -6.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.70 | -9.3% | -10.9% | -2.8% |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.70 | -5.7% | -5.5% | -2.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.34 | 2.69 | -8.2% | -9.8% | -3.2% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
WSG Tirol 1–1 Grazer AK | Admiral Bundesliga | 24 October 2026
Result Summary
A hard-fought Austrian Bundesliga encounter at WSG Tirol ended in a share of the spoils, with the hosts and Grazer AK cancelling each other out in a 1–1 draw. The lone WSG Tirol goal arrived in the 63rd minute through substitute Nikolai Baden Frederiksen, assisted by fellow substitute Michael Olakigbe from a free kick. The match statistics paint a picture of a game where WSG Tirol were the dominant force for long stretches, yet were unable to convert that superiority into a winning margin.
Match Analysis
WSG Tirol controlled large portions of this contest, finishing with 57% possession against Grazer AK's 43%, and generating a considerably higher attacking threat — 120 attacks to 88 and a striking 60 dangerous attacks compared to just 27 from the visitors. Coach Philipp Semlic's side also produced more total shots (19 vs 12) and key passes (16 vs 9), reflecting a sustained dominance in the attacking third.
An early VAR review in the 15th minute involving Grazer AK's Leon Klassen added some early intrigue, though the game remained tight heading into the break. Grazer AK's discipline came under scrutiny before half-time, with Tim Trummer receiving a yellow card in the 45+4th minute for a foul — a booking that came just minutes after being introduced as a substitute in the 39th minute, replacing Anderson dos Santos Gomes.
WSG Tirol coach Semlic made a bold triple substitution at the hour mark, introducing Nikolai Baden Frederiksen, Lukas Hinterseer, and Michael Olakigbe simultaneously. The move paid immediate dividends: just four minutes later, Frederiksen broke the deadlock with a free-kick goal, Olakigbe providing the assist in what was a swift and effective impact from the bench. Grazer AK's Leon Klassen then collected a second yellow card in the 67th minute for time wasting — though notably, this was a separate booking and not a second yellow leading to dismissal — further highlighting the visitors' growing frustration. Despite their statistical inferiority, Grazer AK — guided by coach Gerald Scheiblehner — managed to respond with an equaliser to secure a point, with their five shots on target (compared to WSG Tirol's four) proving just enough to keep them in the game at crucial moments.
Grazer AK's Souleyman Mandey was brought on in the 77th minute in a bid to shift momentum, replacing Mark Grosse, but neither side could find the decisive second goal. The corners tally — 8 for WSG Tirol, 9 for Grazer AK — reflects how tightly contested the set-piece battle remained throughout.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis had forecast a 1–1 draw, with a 27% probability assigned to that outcome, alongside near-equal chances for either side to win (Home 37%, Away 36%). This was correctly identified as a highly unpredictable fixture, reflected in a confidence rating of just 55/100. The prediction proved accurate, and the match itself validated that low-confidence assessment — a genuinely competitive, balanced encounter where fine margins separated the sides.
Key Takeaways
- WSG Tirol dominated possession and attacking metrics but were unable to convert their superiority into a victory, a recurring concern for Semlic's side.
- Substitute impact was decisive: Frederiksen and Olakigbe combined for the opening goal within minutes of coming on, underscoring the value of a deep squad.
- Grazer AK's resilience earned them a point despite being second-best in most statistical categories, with their shots on target tally keeping them competitive.
- The draw leaves both sides with something to reflect on, though WSG Tirol will likely feel the greater sense of missed opportunity.
WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between WSG Tirol and Grazer AK: WSG Tirol 1W · 4D · Grazer AK 3W.
1
WSG Tirol wins
4
Draws
3
Grazer AK wins
WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK?
PredictNext's AI model favours WSG Tirol with a 37% win probability — WSG Tirol 37%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 36%.
What is the predicted score for WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK, generated with 55% model confidence.
Will WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK.
How accurate was the WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.