Yate Town 0–0 Chippenham Town | FA Cup | 19 September 2026

Result Summary

A goalless stalemate at Yate Town's ground sees both sides share the spoils in this FA Cup encounter, with the tie heading to a replay. Despite a dominant attacking display from Yate Town in terms of shots and corners, Paul Britton's side were unable to convert their chances, while Gary Horgan's Chippenham Town proved resolute in defence and will take plenty of encouragement from a hard-fought point on the road.

Match Analysis

On the surface, the statistics paint a picture of Yate Town dominance in the final third — yet the scoreline tells a more complicated story. Yate Town registered 17 shots in total, with 5 on target, and won 7 corners to Chippenham's 2, suggesting sustained pressure and territorial control in key attacking moments. However, 12 shots off target underlines a frustrating lack of cutting edge that ultimately cost Paul Britton's side what could have been a decisive home victory in the cup.

Chippenham Town, by contrast, were remarkably economical. Gary Horgan's men managed just 3 shots in total, with 2 on target — but crucially, they kept their opponents out. Despite generating fewer opportunities in the attacking third by shot count, Chippenham actually led the overall attacks tally at 155 to Yate's 114, and edged the dangerous attacks count 101 to 93. This suggests Chippenham were effective at building possession and probing, even if the final product rarely troubled the Yate goalkeeper in a meaningful way.

The 2 offsides recorded against Chippenham hint at moments where they did push forward ambitiously, only to be caught out by the defensive line. Meanwhile, Yate's clean discipline — 0 offsides registered — reflects a more structured approach in their forward play, even if the end product was lacking. Fouls were minimal on both sides, with Yate committing 8 and Chippenham 7, keeping the game free-flowing and competitive without becoming a bruising affair.

Overall, this was a match where Yate Town created the clearer opportunities but lacked the clinical touch, and Chippenham Town demonstrated the kind of defensive discipline that makes them a tough proposition at any level.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a 1–1 draw, with a 26.5% probability assigned to the draw outcome. While the actual result was a 0–0 rather than a score-draw, the prediction of a shared result proved correct — a pleasing outcome given our confidence level of just 47/100 heading into the game. The relatively balanced dangerous attacks figure (93 vs 101) broadly supported the idea that neither side would pull clear, validating the cautious, draw-leaning forecast.

Key Takeaways

• Yate Town's profligacy in front of goal is the defining storyline — 17 shots, just 5 on target, and no goals is a ratio that must improve if Paul Britton's side are to progress.
• Chippenham Town's defensive resolve was exemplary, limiting Yate to nothing despite significant pressure from the hosts.
• The tie goes to a replay, giving Gary Horgan's side a genuine opportunity to progress on home turf.
• From a forecasting perspective, the draw probability was well-identified, and the low confidence rating appropriately reflected the tight, unpredictable nature of this cup tie.