Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem
2 vs 1

Pro League · Matchday

2026-08-09 14:00:00 · 22:00

Genk
Genk

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 2-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Zulte-Waregem
ZUL
1 - 2
Genk
GEN
54%
Confidence
Low Confidence
28.0%Home
25.0%Draw
47.0%Away
30.1%Home
26.8%Draw
43.1%Away
**Genk** enter this Pro League fixture as clear favorites against **Zulte-Waregem**, with nearly double the win probability of their hosts. The key tactical factor will be Genk's ability to control midfield progression and exploit Zulte's defensive transitions on the counter. AI pick: Genk Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
60% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
54% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Zulte-Waregem Genk
21%
0%
0
47%
35%
1
32%
65%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

28%
29%
-0.7%
25%
26%
-1.3%
47%
45%
+2.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

Zulte-Waregem 2–1 Genk | Pro League | 9 August 2026

Result Summary

In a compelling Pro League fixture at Zulte-Waregem, Michael Beale's side produced a stunning late comeback to overturn Genk's first-half lead and claim all three points. Rafiu Durosinmi's 39th-minute header gave Jess Thorup's visitors what appeared to be a deserved advantage, only for Zulte-Waregem to respond brilliantly in the closing stages through Marley Ake (82') and substitute Serxho Ujka (86'), sealing a 2–1 victory that will live long in the memory of the home support.

Match Analysis

The statistics paint a picture of a Genk side that dominated large portions of this contest without being able to convert that dominance into a winning result. Genk controlled 62% of possession, completed passes at a 90% success rate, and registered 128 attacks compared to Zulte-Waregem's 99. Yet, when it mattered most, it was the home side who proved more clinical.

The opening goal reflected Genk's period of control, with Junya Ito providing the assist for Durosinmi to power home a header just before the break — a fine combination that rewarded the visitors' superiority in the first half. Genk then saw the goalscorer withdrawn at the 61st minute, bringing on Aaron Bibout, a change that arguably disrupted their rhythm at a crucial stage of the game.

Zulte-Waregem, despite being second best on the ball, showed commendable resilience and a sharper edge in front of goal when opportunities arose. Their 5 shots on target to Genk's 3 tells a telling story of efficiency versus control. The home side also held the edge in corners, winning 6 to Genk's 3, providing additional set-piece threats as the game progressed.

Genk's frustration began to show in the final quarter. Josue Ndenge Kongolo was booked at 81', just moments before Ake drew the hosts level with a composed right-footed finish. The equaliser opened the floodgates: substitute Serxho Ujka, introduced at the 76th minute, then latched onto an assist from Anosike Ementa — who had himself been cautioned earlier in the second half — to fire home a left-footed winner at 86'. A frantic finale saw Christian Akpan and Yaimar Abel Medina Ortiz both booked for Genk as Thorup's side desperately chased an equaliser that never came. In total, Genk collected five yellow cards across the match, reflecting the mounting pressure and indiscipline that accompanied their collapse.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis favoured Genk, forecasting a 1–2 away win with a 47% probability, against a 28% chance of a home victory. With a confidence score of just 54/100, uncertainty was already baked into the forecast — and so it proved. While Genk's statistical dominance aligned with our expectations, Zulte-Waregem's efficiency in the final third and their ability to find a winning goal from the substitutes' bench were factors that proved decisive. This result is a reminder that possession and attacking volume do not always translate into points.

Key Takeaways

  • Zulte-Waregem's substitutions proved decisive — Ujka came off the bench to score the winner within ten minutes of entering the pitch.
  • Genk's 62% possession yielded only one goal, highlighting a lack of clinical finishing that will concern Jess Thorup.
  • Five yellow cards for Genk underline the disciplinary breakdown that often accompanies a team chasing a result.
  • For Michael Beale's Zulte-Waregem, this comeback victory sends an early-season statement of intent.

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Zulte-Waregem and Genk: Zulte-Waregem 9W · 10D · Genk 27W.

9

10

27

Sat, Jan 17, 2026Zulte-Waregem2-1Genk
Sun, Aug 31, 2025Genk3-2Zulte-Waregem
Sat, Jan 14, 2023Genk1-0Zulte-Waregem
Sun, Aug 14, 2022Zulte-Waregem1-4Genk
Sun, Feb 6, 2022Genk2-0Zulte-Waregem

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Zulte-Waregem vs Genk?

PredictNext's AI model favours Genk with a 47% win probability — Zulte-Waregem 28%, draw 25%, Genk 47%.

What is the predicted score for Zulte-Waregem vs Genk?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Zulte-Waregem vs Genk, generated with 54% model confidence.

Will Zulte-Waregem vs Genk have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 60% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for under 2.5 goals in Zulte-Waregem vs Genk.

How accurate was the Zulte-Waregem vs Genk prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was incorrect.

More Pro League AI Predictions