Football Predictions This Week: June 22 - June 28, 2026
Welcome to another packed week of football predictions, with 30 matches spanning the 2026 FIFA World Cup and Chile's Segunda División. Our AI model has crunched the numbers across every fixture, and the picture that emerges is a fascinating mix of heavy favourites, genuine toss-ups, and a few genuine upsets lurking in the data. Let's break it all down.
Monday, June 22 — World Cup Kicks Off the Week
The week opens with three World Cup fixtures. France vs Iraq is the standout, with our model projecting a commanding 3-0 France victory and assigning an 87% home-win probability — the highest single-match probability of the entire week. It is also the AI's most confident call, registering 63 out of 100 on the confidence scale. France look formidable on paper here.
Argentina vs Austria sees the South American giants installed as clear favourites at 60%, with a predicted 1-0 win. The confidence sits at a modest 53/100, though, so there is more uncertainty than the headline probability might suggest.
Meanwhile, New Zealand vs Egypt points toward an Egyptian victory. The model predicts 0-1, with Egypt holding a 57% away-win probability versus just 17% for the hosts. A competitive opening day, but the direction of travel is fairly clear.
Tuesday, June 23 — A Full Slate of Fixtures
Five World Cup matches land on Tuesday, and the headline act is England vs Ghana. The model forecasts a 2-0 England win, backed by a 69% probability — matching Portugal's forecast against Uzbekistan exactly, with both sides predicted to win 2-0. England's confidence rating of 57/100 is the higher of the two, making it one of the more reliable calls of the day.
Panama vs Croatia is similarly straightforward on paper: the model gives Croatia a 59% away-win probability with a predicted 0-2 scoreline. Panama will need to defy expectations to take anything from this one.
The closest contest of the day looks to be Norway vs Senegal, where the home-win (43%) and away-win (30%) probabilities are separated by just 13 percentage points. The model still leans toward a 1-0 Norway win, but with a confidence level of only 48/100, this is firmly in unpredictable territory.
Wednesday, June 24 — Five More Contests
Wednesday delivers five matches, and Scotland vs Brazil predictably sees Brazil heavily favoured at 62% away-win probability, with a predicted 0-2 scoreline. The model's confidence of 54/100 is reasonable without being overwhelming.
Morocco vs Haiti and Colombia vs Congo DR both see confident predictions for the higher-ranked sides — Morocco at 65% and Colombia at 60% — with identical 2-0 scorelines projected. Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar follows a similar pattern, with a 2-0 home win forecast at 56%.
The tightest match of the day is Switzerland vs Canada, where the model only narrowly favours Switzerland (44% home vs 28% away) in a predicted 1-0 result. Confidence here is just 48/100 — approach with caution.
Thursday, June 25 — The Biggest Day of the Week
Six World Cup fixtures make Thursday the most loaded day of the week. Curacao vs Côte d'Ivoire stands out immediately: the model assigns Côte d'Ivoire an 83% away-win probability — the highest away-win figure of the entire week — predicting a 0-2 result with a confidence of 66/100, making it the week's single most confident forecast. For a team of Côte d'Ivoire's calibre facing Curacao, the numbers speak clearly.
Tunisia vs Netherlands similarly points one way, with the Netherlands at 70% and a predicted 0-2 win at 60/100 confidence.
Japan vs Sweden and Ecuador vs Germany offer more intrigue. Germany are predicted to win 0-1 in Ecuador with a 56% probability, but Japan and Sweden look genuinely close — the model calls 1-0 Japan but with only 48/100 confidence and a probability split of 45/27/28. Either result would surprise nobody.
Friday, June 26 — Draws and Drama
Friday's three fixtures are among the week's most evenly contested. Both Paraguay vs Australia and Türkiye vs United States are predicted to end 1-1, and both carry the week's joint-lowest confidence rating of 46/100. The probability distributions are remarkably balanced across all three outcomes in each game — these are genuine coin-flip contests.
Norway vs France shifts things slightly, with France predicted to win 1-2 as the away side. A 50% away-win probability and 51/100 confidence makes this a lean rather than a conviction.
Senegal vs Iraq is the clearest call of the day, with Senegal at 68% and a predicted 1-0 win at 55/100 confidence.
Saturday, June 27 — Week Finale
The week closes with six World Cup fixtures and two Segunda División matches. New Zealand vs Belgium is the most lopsided, with Belgium at 69% and a predicted 0-2 win (57/100 confidence).
Uruguay vs Spain sees Spain favoured at 56% for a 0-1 away win, while Croatia vs Ghana points to a 1-0 Croatia victory at 55%.
The Segunda División pair — Deportes Rengo vs Colchagua and Concón National vs Colina — add some domestic flavour to close out the weekend. Colchagua are predicted to win away (60%, 53/100 confidence), while Concón National vs Colina is projected as a narrow 1-0 home win at only 44/100 confidence, the week's least certain prediction.
Egypt vs Iran and Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia both end in predicted 1-1 draws, each carrying a 45/100 confidence rating — treat both as genuinely open affairs.
Weekly Summary
This is a week where a handful of matches stand out as high-confidence calls — France vs Iraq, Curacao vs Côte d'Ivoire, and Tunisia vs Netherlands top that list — while a cluster of fixtures, particularly on Friday and Saturday, are too close to call with any conviction. Our AI model's confidence ratings range from 44 to 66 out of 100 across all 30 matches, which is a useful reminder that even in a week dominated by World Cup football, uncertainty is never far away. Use the probability distributions as a guide, stay selective, and enjoy the action.