Vietnam
Vietnam
3 vs 1

ASEAN Championship · Matchday

2026-08-07 13:00:00 · 21:00

Cambodia
Cambodia

AI Predicted: 3-0|Actual: 3-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Vietnam
VNM
3 - 0
Cambodia
KHM
48%
Confidence
Low Confidence
68.0%Home
20.0%Draw
12.0%Away
Vietnam enter this ASEAN Championship fixture as clear favorites, backed by a commanding 72% win probability and home advantage against a Cambodia side historically outmatched at this level. Vietnam's attacking depth and superior pressing structure should overwhelm Cambodia's defensive shape, with the midfield battle likely proving decisive in creating the predicted gulf in class. AI pick: Vietnam Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredVNM or Draw
88% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

VNM KHM
0%
64%
0
13%
36%
1
43%
0%
2
43%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Vietnam 3–1 Cambodia | ASEAN Championship | August 7, 2026

Result Summary

Vietnam secured a commanding 3–1 victory over Cambodia in the ASEAN Championship, with Đình Bắc Nguyễn delivering a match-winning brace to underline his side's dominance. Despite a brief wobble midway through the second half, coach Sang-Sik Kim's side showed the composure and quality to close out the win convincingly.


Match Analysis

Vietnam controlled this fixture from the first whistle. An extraordinary 75% ball possession advantage, backed by a 92% successful pass completion rate, reflected a side entirely at ease with the tempo of the game. Cambodia, by contrast, managed just 25% possession and completed passes at a 73% rate, struggling to build any sustained rhythm under pressure.

The opening goal arrived early and set the tone. In the 18th minute, Đình Bắc Nguyễn converted with a right-foot finish, assisted by Hoàng Đức Nguyễn, giving Vietnam the platform to control the remainder of the first half. The Golden Stars generated 16 total shots to Cambodia's 6, with 11 key passes compared to Cambodia's 5, illustrating their consistent attacking intent throughout.

Cambodia's tactical switch at half-time — introducing Iago Bento Fernandes and reshaping the attack — proved temporarily effective. In the 71st minute, Fernandes made an immediate impact, finishing with his left foot from an assist by Yudai Ogawa to pull Cambodia back to 1–1 and briefly inject drama into the contest. However, Ogawa himself was then booked in the 74th minute for a foul, reflecting Cambodia's increasingly physical approach as their foul count climbed to 12 compared to Vietnam's 5.

The response from Vietnam was clinical. In the 84th minute, Cambodia defender Vakhim Im turned the ball into his own net, restoring Vietnam's lead in unfortunate circumstances. Then, five minutes later in the 89th minute, Đình Bắc Nguyễn sealed his brace and the three points with another right-foot finish, this time assisted by Pham Thanh Long Le, killing off any remaining Cambodian hope.

Vietnam's substitutions maintained energy at key moments — notably Rafaelson Bezerra Fernandes arriving at the start of the second half, and Geovane Magno Cândido Silveira adding width after the hour mark — ensuring the side never lost their attacking intensity despite Cambodia's brief resurgence.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 3–0 Vietnam win correctly identified the outcome — a Vietnam victory — earning a correct prediction call. The final scoreline of 3–1 deviated only marginally from the forecast, with Cambodia's single goal through Iago Bento Fernandes providing the minor discrepancy. Our model assigned 68% probability to a home Vietnam win, which proved well-calibrated given the clear statistical dominance Vietnam displayed. The relatively modest confidence score of 48/100 reflected appropriate uncertainty around the margin, and that caution was justified given Cambodia's second-half response.


Key Takeaways

  • Đình Bắc Nguyễn was the standout performer, contributing both goals and demonstrating clinical finishing throughout.
  • Vietnam's possession-based dominance — 75% possession, 92% pass accuracy, 64 dangerous attacks — was the defining feature of the match.
  • Cambodia's second-half reorganisation caused a temporary disruption, but the own goal from Vakhim Im and a late brace killed their momentum entirely.
  • Coach Félix Agustín González Dalmás will need to address his side's defensive vulnerability, particularly from set-piece situations and late-game pressure.

Vietnam vs Cambodia Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Vietnam and Cambodia: Vietnam 5W · 0D · Cambodia 0W.

5

0

0

Sun, Dec 19, 2021Vietnam4-0Cambodia
Sat, Nov 24, 2018Vietnam3-0Cambodia
Tue, Oct 10, 2017Vietnam5-0Cambodia
Tue, Sep 5, 2017Cambodia1-2Vietnam
Sat, Nov 26, 2016Vietnam2-1Cambodia

Vietnam vs Cambodia — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Vietnam vs Cambodia?

PredictNext's AI model favours Vietnam with a 68% win probability — Vietnam 68%, draw 20%, Cambodia 12%.

What is the predicted score for Vietnam vs Cambodia?

The AI forecasts a 3-0 scoreline for Vietnam vs Cambodia, generated with 48% model confidence.

Will Vietnam vs Cambodia have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Vietnam vs Cambodia.

How accurate was the Vietnam vs Cambodia prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 3-0; the match finished 3-1. The winner call was correct.

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