Football Predictions This Week: July 6 - July 12, 2026
The football calendar is packed this week, with 30 matches spanning the FIFA World Cup, UEFA Champions League qualifying, Europa League, Europa Conference League, and Sweden's Allsvenskan. From marquee international clashes to early European qualifying rounds, here is what our AI forecasting model is predicting across the full slate.
World Cup Highlights
The standout fixtures of the week are firmly at the World Cup, where some genuinely fascinating matchups are on the schedule.
Portugal vs Spain on Monday, July 6 is the tie of the round. Our model forecasts a 1-2 Spain victory, with Spain holding a 50% probability of taking the win compared to Portugal's 24%. This is one of our stronger World Cup predictions this week, backed by a confidence score of 59/100. It is a narrow edge rather than a foregone conclusion, but Spain are clearly the model's preferred side here.
Argentina vs Egypt on Tuesday, July 7 is another fixture where the model leans heavily in one direction. A 2-0 Argentina win is the AI's call, with Argentina commanding a 68% win probability and a confidence score of 57/100. Egypt's chances come in at just 12%, making this one of the more one-sided forecasts of the week.
Mexico vs England, also on Monday, sees the model predict a 0-1 England victory. England's away win probability sits at 45%, while Mexico's home win probability is 27%. The confidence score of 51/100 reflects genuine uncertainty — this is not a slam-dunk forecast by any means.
United States vs Belgium on Tuesday is the tightest World Cup call of the week. Our model predicts a 1-1 draw, and the probabilities back that up almost perfectly: Home 37%, Draw 27%, Away 36%. With a confidence score of just 49/100, this is essentially a coin-flip fixture where any outcome is plausible.
Switzerland vs Colombia rounds out the World Cup schedule on Tuesday, with the model forecasting another 1-1 draw. Colombia actually hold a slight edge in win probability at 42% versus Switzerland's 30%, which adds an interesting layer — the predicted scoreline and the underlying probabilities point in slightly different directions, highlighting the unpredictability of this contest.
Champions League Qualifying
The UEFA Champions League qualifying rounds deliver a busy midweek programme, with several first-leg ties across Tuesday and Wednesday.
The most confident Champions League call is Kairat vs Sutjeska on Wednesday, where the model predicts a 1-0 Kairat win with a strong 69% home win probability and a confidence score of 57/100. Kairat are clearly the model's pick to progress.
Sabah vs The New Saints on Tuesday also sees a dominant home forecast — a 2-0 Sabah win is predicted, with the home side holding a 64% win probability. The New Saints are given just a 14% chance of springing a surprise.
At the other end of the scale, KÍ vs Atert Bissen has the model predicting a 2-0 KÍ home win and assigning KÍ a 68% probability — but the confidence score of only 45/100 means the model is not particularly certain in how it lands. Home dominance in probability, but with caveats.
Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers is an intriguing away-team story. The model calls a 0-1 Shamrock Rovers win, with the Irish side holding a 55% win probability — making them the clearest away favourites in the Champions League slate this week.
Several ties — including Lincoln Red Imps vs Inter Club d'Escaldes, Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia, and Petrocub vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — are forecast as draws with confidence scores of 31-32/100, meaning these are genuinely open games where our model has limited conviction.
Europa Conference League and Europa League
The Conference League qualifying ties also get underway this week, with the majority of home sides tipped to take first-leg advantages.
UNA Strassen vs La Fiorita on Tuesday sees the home side predicted to win 2-0 with a 67% probability — one of the more confident calls in this competition. AF Elbasani vs BATE is another home win forecast, with Elbasani given 53% probability of a 1-0 victory.
Among the away-team forecasts, Differdange 03 vs Ilves and Connah's Quay vs KF Ballkani both see the visiting sides predicted to win, with Ilves and Ballkani each carrying around 46-49% win probability respectively.
The sole Europa League fixture this week is Qarabağ vs Vestri on Thursday. The model is bullish on Qarabağ, predicting a 2-0 home win with a 65% win probability, though the confidence score of 44/100 keeps expectations measured.
Allsvenskan Midweek Action
Sweden's Allsvenskan contributes two Monday fixtures. Häcken vs Djurgården sees the home side favoured with a predicted 2-1 win and a 42% home probability, while Brommapojkarna vs GAIS has the away side tipped for a 1-2 victory with GAIS holding 43% probability. Both matches carry confidence scores around the 51-54 range — competitive but not particularly clear-cut.
Weekly Summary
This is a genuinely varied week of football, headlined by World Cup clashes that include Spain edging Portugal, Argentina expected to dominate Egypt, and a near 50-50 US vs Belgium encounter. European qualifying gets into full swing with a host of Champions League and Conference League first legs, where home sides generally hold the edge but several ties remain wide open. Across the full 30-match slate, confidence scores are largely in the 31-59 range, reflecting the natural unpredictability of early-round qualifying ties and major tournament football alike — a reminder that forecasting football is as much about understanding uncertainty as it is about picking winners.