Alanyaspor 1–0 Beşiktaş | Super Lig | 23 August 2026

Result Summary

Alanyaspor produced a disciplined and resolute performance to claim all three points against a heavily favoured Beşiktaş side at home. Nuno Miguel Reis Lima's 73rd-minute header, assisted by Florent Hadërgjonaj, proved to be the decisive moment, as the hosts withstood sustained pressure from Vincenzo Italiano's men to secure a memorable 1–0 victory.

Match Analysis

The statistics tell a story of Beşiktaş domination that ultimately went unrewarded. Beşiktaş controlled 65% of possession, generated 101 attacks to Alanyaspor's 66, and registered 14 shots in total — six of which were on target — compared to Alanyaspor's nine shots and three on target. Their 87% successful pass rate, compared to Alanyaspor's 73%, underlined just how thoroughly Italiano's side controlled the ball.

Yet control and conversion are two different things entirely. Alanyaspor's coach Natanael João Pereira Costa set up his team to absorb pressure and strike on the counter, and that approach yielded the game's only goal. With 18 minutes remaining, Hadërgjonaj delivered a decisive assist that Nuno Lima converted with a clinical header — a moment of quality that rewarded Alanyaspor's patience and pragmatism.

Beşiktaş's afternoon was further complicated by a busy substitution bench. Italiano made five changes, introducing Junior Olaitan, Kassoum Ouattara, Dušan Vlahović, Ilhan Fakili, and Michael Murillo Bermudez in an effort to unlock the Alanyaspor defence. Vlahović's introduction at the 57th minute in place of Hyeon-gyu Oh was particularly telling — a clear signal that Beşiktaş were searching for a creative spark up front. Despite these changes, the visitors could not find a way through, with their four shots off target and the home side's resilience ultimately telling.

Alanyaspor also made proactive changes, with Omar Ben Ali, Meschak Elia, and Enes Keskin all introduced in the 65th minute to help manage the game after the breakthrough. The equal corner count — seven apiece — and Beşiktaş's 61 dangerous attacks to Alanyaspor's 34 suggest the visitors were far from passive, but the home side defended with tremendous organisation and resolve to see the result through.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast assigned Beşiktaş a 50% probability of winning, making them clear favourites for this fixture, with Alanyaspor given only a 24% chance of victory. The prediction carried a confidence level of 61/100, and the outcome — an Alanyaspor home win — proved our forecast incorrect.

In hindsight, the model accurately captured Beşiktaş's statistical superiority, which was borne out across nearly every category. However, football — particularly in the Super Lig — frequently defies raw numbers. Alanyaspor's ability to stay compact, limit Beşiktaş's conversion opportunities, and take their single moment of clinical quality underscores the limitations of possession-based forecasting models in matches of this nature.

Key Takeaways

• Alanyaspor's defensive resilience was the defining factor — absorbing 61 dangerous attacks and limiting Beşiktaş to just one goal conversion despite six shots on target.
• Nuno Lima's header was a reminder that in tight, low-scoring matches, a single moment of quality from a set-piece or crossing situation can be decisive.
• Beşiktaş will be frustrated — the statistics strongly favoured them, and five substitutions could not unlock a determined home side.
• Our prediction was overconfident in Beşiktaş's ability to convert dominance into goals, a recurring theme to factor into future Super Lig analysis.