Super Lig · Matchday
2026-10-17 13:00:00 · 21:00 · Diyarbakır Atatürk Stadyumu
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 1-0
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 | -8.2% | -13.3% | -3.7% |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.64 | 3.84 | -1.6% | -7.2% | -9.8% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.87 | +1.0% | -4.9% | -9.1% |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.70 | -2.6% | -13.3% | -13.1% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 | -2.6% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| bwin | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.90 | -3.1% | -13.3% | -8.4% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.90 | -2.6% | -10.7% | -8.4% |
| MelBet | 1.94 | 3.64 | 3.78 | -1.1% | -7.2% | -11.2% |
| Sbo | 1.95 | 3.16 | 3.43 | -0.6% | -19.4% | -19.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.58 | 3.72 | -3.1% | -8.7% | -12.6% |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.55 | 4.00 | -1.1% | -9.5% | -6.0% |
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Match Report
Amed SK 1–0 Konyaspor | Super Lig | 17 October 2026
Result Summary
A dramatic late header from substitute Mbaye Diagne — set up by Dia Saba in the 86th minute — secured a hard-fought and thoroughly deserved 1–0 home victory for Amed SK over Konyaspor. Besnik Hasi's side dominated the statistical contest from start to finish, converting their superiority into three vital points thanks to a moment of clinical quality deep into the closing stages.
Match Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story of Amed SK's authority on the day. The hosts controlled 52% of possession, outshot Konyaspor by a commanding 13 shots to 4, and registered 4 shots on target compared to their visitors' solitary effort. The corner count — 7 to 2 in Amed SK's favour — further underlined the directional flow of the game, as did the key passes tally of 10 to 3.
Konyaspor's disciplinary record compounded their difficulties. Melih Ibrahimoglu was booked in the 18th minute for a foul, and Deniz Türüç followed in the 37th for dissent, restricting İlhan Palut's team in both physicality and composure. Both players were eventually withdrawn via substitution, with Palut turning to Enis Bardhi, Ebrima Colley, and Mamadou Jean-Luc Diarra Dompé to inject fresh energy — but the changes failed to alter the game's momentum.
Amed SK's own substitutions proved more impactful. The triple change at the 63rd minute brought on Ali Turap Bülbül and Gökhan Gül, and then the introduction of Mbaye Diagne in the 72nd minute for Gift Orban proved to be the decisive tactical call of the match. Within 14 minutes of his arrival, Diagne rose to meet a delivery from Dia Saba and powered a header into the net, sending the home crowd into raptures with time nearly up.
Amed SK's 17 fouls — including a 51st-minute yellow card for Furkan Soyalp, who had already been substituted off by that point — reflected a combative if at times overeager approach, though it never cost them dearly. Konyaspor's Arthur Masuaku was cautioned in the 88th minute, adding a frustrated postscript to a thoroughly miserable afternoon for the visitors.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 home win, assigning Amed SK a 51% probability of victory against Konyaspor's 23.5%. While the predicted scoreline was slightly more expansive than the actual 1–0 result, the directional outcome was correct — Amed SK were identified as favourites and duly delivered. With a confidence level of 56/100, this was by no means a straightforward call, and the fact that the winning goal arrived as late as the 86th minute underlines just how fine the margins were. The statistical dominance Amed SK demonstrated, however, validated the analytical framework underpinning the forecast.
Key Takeaways
- Mbaye Diagne proved his worth as an impact substitute, delivering the decisive moment within 14 minutes of coming on.
- Amed SK's attacking volume — 13 shots, 10 key passes, 35 dangerous attacks — was the foundation of a fully merited win.
- Konyaspor struggled to threaten meaningfully, registering just 4 shots and 3 key passes across 90 minutes.
- Coach Besnik Hasi made the right call with his substitutions, while İlhan Palut's changes failed to reverse the tide.
- The victory reinforces Amed SK's credentials as a competitive Super Lig outfit on home soil.
Amed SK vs Konyaspor — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Amed SK vs Konyaspor?
PredictNext's AI model favours Amed SK with a 51% win probability — Amed SK 51%, draw 26%, Konyaspor 23%.
What is the predicted score for Amed SK vs Konyaspor?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Amed SK vs Konyaspor, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Amed SK vs Konyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in Amed SK vs Konyaspor.
How accurate was the Amed SK vs Konyaspor prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 1-0. The winner call was correct.