Amed SK 2–1 Trabzonspor | Super Lig | 31 August 2026

Result Summary

In one of the Super Lig's more compelling upsets of the season, Amed SK claimed a memorable 2–1 home victory over Trabzonspor, overturning an early deficit through late strikes either side of half-time and at the death. Despite being the side with less possession and fewer attacking actions across the ninety minutes, Besnik Hasi's side showed exceptional composure and clinical finishing when it mattered most.

Match Analysis

Trabzonspor, coached by Fatih Tekke, took control of proceedings early. Mohamed Salah Ghaly opened the scoring in the 11th minute, converting from a left-foot effort assisted by Ernest Muci, and that goal appeared to validate what looked like a comfortable visiting performance. Trabzonspor dominated possession — 60% to Amed SK's 40% — and generated significantly more attacks, 121 to Amed SK's 70, with five corners to Amed SK's two.

Yet the numbers told a subtler story on shots. Amed SK registered 17 shots in total — more than double Trabzonspor's eight — and crucially matched them in shots on target, putting seven on goal to Trabzonspor's five. Despite only 40% possession, Amed SK produced nine key passes to Trabzonspor's seven, suggesting Hasi's side were far more dangerous in transition than the headline possession figures implied.

Trabzonspor's discipline also began to slip. Sidny Lopes Cabral was booked in the 39th minute for a foul, followed by Chibuike Nwaiwu receiving a yellow just five minutes later. Those cards preceded a pivotal moment: Yira Collins Sor equalised on the stroke of half-time in the fifth minute of added time, a right-foot finish that completely altered the complexion of the match.

Trabzonspor made adjustments — notably bringing on Ozan Tufan for Fabinho at the 59th minute — but Amed SK's energy levels remained high. Hasi introduced Gift Emmanuel Orban for Sor at the 50th minute, and that substitution proved decisive. In the 90th minute, Orban converted a left-foot effort assisted by Mehmet Yeşil — himself a second-half substitute — to complete the turnaround and secure all three points. A flurry of yellow cards in injury time, including one for Orban for unsportsmanlike conduct and one for Trabzonspor's Stefan Savić, capped a tense but exhilarating finish.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis predicted a Trabzonspor win (0–2), assigning the visitors a 50% probability against Amed SK's 26%, with a modest confidence rating of 53/100. That forecast reflected Trabzonspor's superior resources and league standing, which the early game patterns seemed to support. However, the prediction proved incorrect. Amed SK's shot volume and on-target accuracy — areas our model may have underweighted in favour of possession-based metrics — ultimately defined the match. It is a reminder that shot efficiency and tactical resilience under pressure can override structural dominance.

Key Takeaways

• Amed SK's clinical edge: 17 shots and seven on target against a defensively organised opponent demonstrates genuine attacking threat despite lower possession.
• Trabzonspor's lack of discipline: Four yellow cards across the two halves disrupted rhythm and contributed to defensive vulnerability late on.
• Orban's impact off the bench: The substitute striker scored the decisive goal in the 90th minute, immediately justifying Hasi's second-half gamble.
• Possession does not guarantee results: Trabzonspor's dominance on the ball yielded only one goal — a cautionary statistical tale for any model relying heavily on territory-based projections.