Casa Pia
Casa Pia
0 vs 7

Liga Portugal · Matchday

2026-08-17 19:15:00 · 03:15

Benfica
Benfica

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-7

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Casa Pia
CAS
0 - 2
Benfica
BEN
67%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
9.0%Home
17.0%Draw
74.0%Away
8.8%Home
16.1%Draw
75.1%Away
Benfica enter this Liga Portugal fixture as heavy favorites against a Casa Pia side with significantly limited winning prospects at home. The visitors' superior squad depth and attacking quality should prove decisive, with their forward line expected to exploit Casa Pia's defensive vulnerabilities on the counter. AI pick: Benfica Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
91% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Casa Pia Benfica
68%
0%
0
32%
36%
1
0%
47%
2
0%
17%
3+

Odds Comparison

9%
8%
+1.3%
17%
15%
+2.0%
74%
77%
-3.3%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica | Liga Portugal | 17 August 2026

Result Summary

Benfica delivered one of the most emphatic performances of the Liga Portugal season so far, dismantling Casa Pia with a stunning 7–0 victory at Estádio Municipal Pina Manique. From the opening minutes to the final whistle, this was a complete and utterly dominant display from Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva's side, leaving Casa Pia and coach Filipe Emanuel Curto Coelho with significant questions to answer heading into the new campaign.

Match Analysis

Benfica wasted no time establishing their authority. Gianluca Prestianni Gross struck with a right-foot shot as early as the 3rd minute, immediately setting the tone. Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva doubled the lead on 14 minutes, converting an assist from Vangelis Pavlidis to make it 2–0 at the interval.

The second half was even more punishing. Within four minutes of the restart, Pavlidis notched two rapid goals — first on 47 minutes from a Rafa Silva assist, then again on 49 minutes — effectively ending the contest as a competitive fixture. The Greek striker added a third on 54 minutes, assisted this time by Leandro Barreiro, completing a devastating hat-trick inside nine second-half minutes.

The statistics tell the full story of Benfica's supremacy. They enjoyed 64% ball possession, registered 20 total shots compared to Casa Pia's three, and produced 8 shots on target while Casa Pia managed zero. Benfica's 15 key passes versus none from the hosts underlines just how thoroughly they controlled the attacking third. With 139 attacks to Casa Pia's 59 and 66 dangerous attacks to their opponents' 26, there was simply no respite for the home side.

An unfortunate Lawrence Ofori own goal on 58 minutes extended the misery further before substitute Jhon Jáder Durán Palacio — introduced moments earlier — added a seventh on 61 minutes with a left-foot finish from Alexander Bah's assist, capping an extraordinary evening. Disciplinary issues compounded Casa Pia's woes, with Sebastián Pérez Cardona and Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira both picking up yellow cards, the latter receiving a second booking deep into stoppage time.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 0–2 Benfica victory, with a 74% probability assigned to an away win and a confidence rating of 67/100. The direction of the result was correct — Benfica win — earning a correct prediction outcome — though the scale of the victory far exceeded expectations. A seven-goal margin was well beyond what our model anticipated, reflecting how utterly outclassed Casa Pia were on the night. The statistics strongly validated the win probability; few models, however, could have foreseen such an extraordinary goal difference.

Key Takeaways

  • Vangelis Pavlidis was the standout performer, scoring a hat-trick in nine devastating second-half minutes before being substituted on 59 minutes — a statement of Benfica's attacking depth.
  • Casa Pia's defensive frailties were starkly exposed, with zero shots on target and zero key passes highlighting an inability to create any meaningful threat.
  • Benfica's 90% successful pass percentage versus Casa Pia's 79% illustrates the technical gulf between the sides.
  • The result sends an early title message from Benfica, who look formidable under Marco Alexandre Saraiva Da Silva heading into the 2026/27 season.

Casa Pia vs Benfica Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Casa Pia and Benfica: Casa Pia 1W · 3D · Benfica 4W.

1

3

4

Mon, Apr 6, 2026Casa Pia1-1Benfica
Sun, Nov 9, 2025Benfica2-2Casa Pia
Sat, Jan 25, 2025Casa Pia3-1Benfica
Sat, Aug 17, 2024Benfica3-0Casa Pia
Sun, Mar 17, 2024Casa Pia0-1Benfica

Casa Pia vs Benfica — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Casa Pia vs Benfica?

PredictNext's AI model favours Benfica with a 74% win probability — Casa Pia 9%, draw 17%, Benfica 74%.

What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs Benfica?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Casa Pia vs Benfica, generated with 67% model confidence.

Will Casa Pia vs Benfica have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Casa Pia vs Benfica.

How accurate was the Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-7. The winner call was correct.

More Liga Portugal AI Predictions