Cremonese 1–2 Lazio | Serie A | 4 May 2026

Result Summary

Lazio snatched all three points at the Giovanni Zini with a stoppage-time winner, edging out a resilient Cremonese side 2–1 in what proved to be a dramatic Sunday afternoon encounter. Federico Bonazzoli gave the hosts a first-half lead, but second-half substitutes proved decisive for Maurizio Sarri's side, with Tijjani Noslin's 90+2' strike ultimately settling the contest in Lazio's favour.

Match Analysis

Cremonese began brightly under Marco Giampaolo, and their industrious approach paid dividends in the 29th minute. Federico Bonazzoli converted via a left-foot finish, benefiting from a smart assist by Romano Floriani Mussolini, to send the home crowd into raptures. It was a reward for a Cremonese side that, despite being outpossessed — 42% to Lazio's 58% — showed genuine attacking intent, eventually registering 13 shots in total, more than Lazio's eight.

However, the statistics also revealed Lazio's structural dominance. The visitors recorded 108 attacks to Cremonese's 71 and completed passes at a 90% success rate, compared to the hosts' 84%. The pressure was always likely to tell.

Sarri made a decisive double change at the interval, introducing Tijjani Noslin and Nicolò Rovella, and the impact was almost immediate. Eight minutes into the second half, Gustav Tang Isaksen equalised in the 53rd minute, finishing neatly with his left foot from a Noslin assist — a fitting irony that the new arrival set up the leveller so quickly after entering the pitch.

From that point, the match became increasingly tense. Cremonese responded with a triple substitution on 61 minutes, bringing on Warren Bondo, Martín Payero, and Jamie Vardy in a clear attempt to inject fresh energy and intensity. Tommaso Barbieri entered later but picked up a yellow card in the 76th minute for a foul, one of 16 committed by Cremonese across the ninety minutes. Lazio also saw bookings for Oliver Provstgaard Nielsen (40') and Nuno Tavares (88').

As the clock wound down, it appeared Cremonese's defensive resolve would hold and earn a point. But Boulaye Dia, introduced on 81 minutes, provided the telling contribution — threading an assist for Noslin to convert with his right foot in the 90+2' minute, completing a remarkable turnaround and securing a crucial away victory.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Lazio win at 42.5% probability, with a moderate confidence level of 52/100, and a predicted scoreline of 0–1. The outcome — a Lazio victory — proved correct, validating the directional call. The predicted scoreline underestimated Cremonese's attacking threat, as Bonazzoli's goal and the hosts' 13 total shots reflected a more competitive home side than the forecast anticipated. Nevertheless, Lazio's superior possession and attacking volume ultimately proved the decisive factor, as the model suggested.

Key Takeaways

• Lazio's bench proved crucial: Noslin registered both an assist and the match-winning goal after entering at half-time, underlining the squad depth Sarri has at his disposal.
• Cremonese were competitive but fragile late on: Their shot total (13) and five shots on target showed ambition, but conceding in added time will be deeply frustrating.
• Late drama defined the afternoon: With the match seemingly heading toward a draw, Dia and Noslin combined to deny Cremonese a deserved point and hand Lazio a vital three points in Serie A.