Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98
0 vs 0

2. Bundesliga · Matchday

2026-10-23 16:30:00 · 00:30 · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

St. Pauli
St. Pauli

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Darmstadt 98
SVD
1 - 2
St. Pauli
PAU
54%
Confidence
Low Confidence
30.5%Home
27.0%Draw
42.5%Away
32.7%Home
24.3%Draw
43.0%Away
**St. Pauli** enter as favorites against **Darmstadt 98**, backed by a stronger away win probability and overall squad quality in 2. Bundesliga. The key tactical battle lies in St. Pauli's pressing intensity disrupting Darmstadt's buildup play — a matchup that has consistently troubled the hosts this season. AI pick: St. Pauli Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSVD or PAU
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
54% both teams score
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreTaichi HaraAlso: Martijn Kaars, Milan Smit

Goal Probability

SVD PAU
39%
15%
0
61%
43%
1
0%
42%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

31%
32%
-1.4%
27%
26%
+0.6%
42%
42%
+0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3652.753.602.20-16.1%-2.8%-6.5%
Pinnacle3.143.452.27-4.2%-6.8%-3.5%
1xbet2.883.522.28-12.2%-5.0%-3.1%
WilliamHill2.803.402.25-14.6%-8.2%-4.4%
Betfair2.883.702.20-12.2%-0.1%-6.5%
bwin3.003.502.25-8.5%-5.5%-4.4%
Ladbrokes2.803.302.15-14.6%-10.9%-8.6%
Coral2.803.302.15-14.6%-10.9%-8.6%
MelBet3.033.482.21-7.6%-6.0%-6.1%
MansionBet3.103.452.14-5.4%-6.8%-9.1%
BetVictor2.883.502.20-12.2%-5.5%-6.5%
Dafabet3.003.602.29-8.5%-2.8%-2.7%
Marathonbet2.883.522.26-12.2%-5.0%-4.0%
Macauslot2.583.652.15-21.3%-1.4%-8.6%
Sbo2.743.202.12-16.4%-13.6%-9.9%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Darmstadt 98 0–0 St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga | 23 October 2026

Result Summary

A hard-fought, goalless draw at Darmstadt concluded with both sides sharing the spoils on a Friday afternoon in the 2. Bundesliga. Despite St. Pauli's clear statistical dominance throughout the 90 minutes, Florian Kohfeldt's Darmstadt side showed considerable resilience to deny Marcel Rapp's visiting outfit any reward for their considerable efforts.

Match Analysis

The statistics tell a compelling story of St. Pauli's dominance. The Hamburg-based club controlled 63% of possession, racked up 18 total shots compared to Darmstadt's 12, and generated 132 attacks against the hosts' 80. Their 12 key passes — double Darmstadt's six — and superior passing accuracy of 89% to 79% underlined just how much the visitors dictated the tempo.

Yet for all that pressure, St. Pauli could only muster 2 shots on target, while Darmstadt registered none. Marcel Schuhen, between the sticks for the hosts, was ultimately rarely tested in a meaningful way, and St. Pauli's inability to convert their territorial advantage into genuine goalscoring chances proved the defining frustration of their afternoon.

The match was not short of incident off the ball. A feisty spell around the 26th minute saw both Abdoulie Ceesay (St. Pauli) and Raoul Petretta (Darmstadt) booked for an argument, injecting a brief flash of tension into what was otherwise a controlled contest. Arkadiusz Pyrka had already been cautioned in the 7th minute for a foul, and a string of further yellows — Kai Klefisch (56'), Adam Dźwigała (65'), Eric Anders Smith (83'), and William Mikelbrencis (90+2') — reflected the physical, competitive edge that ran beneath the surface throughout.

Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half. St. Pauli made a triple substitution at the interval, bringing on Dźwigała, Martijn Kaars, and Samuel Klein, in a clear attempt to find a breakthrough. Darmstadt responded with the introductions of Ho-Jae Lee and Nicolas Verkooijen after the hour mark. Despite these changes, the tactical picture remained broadly unchanged — St. Pauli pressing for the win, Darmstadt defending with discipline and looking to hit on the counter, as their 3 offsides suggest.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a St. Pauli victory at 1–2, reflecting their status as slight favourites with a 42.5% probability. Darmstadt were given a 30.5% chance of winning, with the draw at 27%. The actual 0–0 outcome fell squarely into that remaining probability, and the prediction was ultimately incorrect. It is worth noting that the forecast carried a modest confidence rating of 54/100, acknowledging genuine uncertainty in the contest — and that uncertainty proved well-founded. St. Pauli's dominance in possession and volume of attacks aligned with our model's logic, but their lack of clinical finishing made the difference, neutralising what should have been a winning performance on paper.

Key Takeaways

  • St. Pauli dominated but lacked clinical edge, generating 18 shots while failing to convert either of their 2 on-target efforts into goals.
  • Darmstadt's defensive discipline under Kohfeldt was the standout narrative — absorbing pressure and keeping a clean sheet despite limited attacking output.
  • Seven yellow cards across both sides reflected a combative fixture where physicality was a constant theme.
  • The draw represents a missed opportunity for St. Pauli and a hard-earned point for a Darmstadt side that will take considerable confidence from their resilience.

Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Darmstadt 98 and St. Pauli: Darmstadt 98 9W · 2D · St. Pauli 3W.

9

2

3

Sat, May 6, 2023Darmstadt 980-3St. Pauli
Sat, Oct 29, 2022St. Pauli1-1Darmstadt 98
Sat, Apr 23, 2022St. Pauli1-2Darmstadt 98
Sat, Nov 20, 2021Darmstadt 984-0St. Pauli
Sat, Feb 20, 2021St. Pauli3-2Darmstadt 98

Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?

PredictNext's AI model favours St. Pauli with a 42% win probability — Darmstadt 98 31%, draw 27%, St. Pauli 42%.

What is the predicted score for Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli, generated with 54% model confidence.

Will Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli.

How accurate was the Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.

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