
2. Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-10-23 16:30:00 · 00:30 · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-0
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 | -16.1% | -2.8% | -6.5% |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 3.45 | 2.27 | -4.2% | -6.8% | -3.5% |
| 1xbet | 2.88 | 3.52 | 2.28 | -12.2% | -5.0% | -3.1% |
| WilliamHill | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.25 | -14.6% | -8.2% | -4.4% |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.20 | -12.2% | -0.1% | -6.5% |
| bwin | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 | -8.5% | -5.5% | -4.4% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.15 | -14.6% | -10.9% | -8.6% |
| Coral | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.15 | -14.6% | -10.9% | -8.6% |
| MelBet | 3.03 | 3.48 | 2.21 | -7.6% | -6.0% | -6.1% |
| MansionBet | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.14 | -5.4% | -6.8% | -9.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.20 | -12.2% | -5.5% | -6.5% |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.29 | -8.5% | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.52 | 2.26 | -12.2% | -5.0% | -4.0% |
| Macauslot | 2.58 | 3.65 | 2.15 | -21.3% | -1.4% | -8.6% |
| Sbo | 2.74 | 3.20 | 2.12 | -16.4% | -13.6% | -9.9% |
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Match Report
Darmstadt 98 0–0 St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga | 23 October 2026
Result Summary
A hard-fought, goalless draw at Darmstadt concluded with both sides sharing the spoils on a Friday afternoon in the 2. Bundesliga. Despite St. Pauli's clear statistical dominance throughout the 90 minutes, Florian Kohfeldt's Darmstadt side showed considerable resilience to deny Marcel Rapp's visiting outfit any reward for their considerable efforts.
Match Analysis
The statistics tell a compelling story of St. Pauli's dominance. The Hamburg-based club controlled 63% of possession, racked up 18 total shots compared to Darmstadt's 12, and generated 132 attacks against the hosts' 80. Their 12 key passes — double Darmstadt's six — and superior passing accuracy of 89% to 79% underlined just how much the visitors dictated the tempo.
Yet for all that pressure, St. Pauli could only muster 2 shots on target, while Darmstadt registered none. Marcel Schuhen, between the sticks for the hosts, was ultimately rarely tested in a meaningful way, and St. Pauli's inability to convert their territorial advantage into genuine goalscoring chances proved the defining frustration of their afternoon.
The match was not short of incident off the ball. A feisty spell around the 26th minute saw both Abdoulie Ceesay (St. Pauli) and Raoul Petretta (Darmstadt) booked for an argument, injecting a brief flash of tension into what was otherwise a controlled contest. Arkadiusz Pyrka had already been cautioned in the 7th minute for a foul, and a string of further yellows — Kai Klefisch (56'), Adam Dźwigała (65'), Eric Anders Smith (83'), and William Mikelbrencis (90+2') — reflected the physical, competitive edge that ran beneath the surface throughout.
Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half. St. Pauli made a triple substitution at the interval, bringing on Dźwigała, Martijn Kaars, and Samuel Klein, in a clear attempt to find a breakthrough. Darmstadt responded with the introductions of Ho-Jae Lee and Nicolas Verkooijen after the hour mark. Despite these changes, the tactical picture remained broadly unchanged — St. Pauli pressing for the win, Darmstadt defending with discipline and looking to hit on the counter, as their 3 offsides suggest.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a St. Pauli victory at 1–2, reflecting their status as slight favourites with a 42.5% probability. Darmstadt were given a 30.5% chance of winning, with the draw at 27%. The actual 0–0 outcome fell squarely into that remaining probability, and the prediction was ultimately incorrect. It is worth noting that the forecast carried a modest confidence rating of 54/100, acknowledging genuine uncertainty in the contest — and that uncertainty proved well-founded. St. Pauli's dominance in possession and volume of attacks aligned with our model's logic, but their lack of clinical finishing made the difference, neutralising what should have been a winning performance on paper.
Key Takeaways
- St. Pauli dominated but lacked clinical edge, generating 18 shots while failing to convert either of their 2 on-target efforts into goals.
- Darmstadt's defensive discipline under Kohfeldt was the standout narrative — absorbing pressure and keeping a clean sheet despite limited attacking output.
- Seven yellow cards across both sides reflected a combative fixture where physicality was a constant theme.
- The draw represents a missed opportunity for St. Pauli and a hard-earned point for a Darmstadt side that will take considerable confidence from their resilience.
Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Darmstadt 98 and St. Pauli: Darmstadt 98 9W · 2D · St. Pauli 3W.
9
Darmstadt 98 wins
2
Draws
3
St. Pauli wins
Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?
PredictNext's AI model favours St. Pauli with a 42% win probability — Darmstadt 98 31%, draw 27%, St. Pauli 42%.
What is the predicted score for Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli, generated with 54% model confidence.
Will Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli.
How accurate was the Darmstadt 98 vs St. Pauli prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.