DC United
DC United
4 vs 4

Major League Soccer · Matchday

2026-05-23 23:30:00 · 07:30

CF Montréal
CF Montréal

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 4-4

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

DC United
DC
1 - 0
CF Montréal
CF
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
46.0%Home
27.0%Draw
27.0%Away
50.8%Home
24.5%Draw
24.7%Away
**DC United** hold a narrow home advantage against **CF Montréal**, bolstered by Montréal's suspension of I. Losenko, which disrupts their defensive options heading into this fixture. The hosts' compact defensive shape could prove decisive in a tight, low-scoring contest — a 1-0 result aligns with the H2H trend showing five draws or close outcomes in recent meetings. AI pick: DC United Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

DC United CF Montréal
15%
57%
0
47%
43%
1
38%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

46%
49%
-2.6%
27%
25%
+1.5%
27%
26%
+1.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

DC United 4–4 CF Montréal | MLS Post-Match Analysis

Result Summary

A breathtaking eight-goal thriller at Audi Field produced one of the most dramatic finishes of the MLS season so far. DC United looked destined for three points after Lucas Bartlett's 87th-minute header put them ahead, only for Hennadiy Synchuk to equalise deep into stoppage time and deny René Weiler's side a crucial home victory. The 4–4 scoreline was a fair, if frenetic, reflection of an evening where defensive discipline repeatedly gave way to attacking ambition on both sides.

Match Analysis

DC United burst out of the blocks, with Louis Munteanu heading home in the 9th minute to set the tone for a compelling contest. Jared Stroud added a second via his left foot in the 28th minute, and the hosts appeared to be cruising into the break. However, CF Montréal refused to fold, and Prince-Osei Owusu pulled one back just before half-time with a composed left-foot finish in the 45+1st minute.

The second half belonged to Montréal early on, as Owusu completed his brace in the 61st minute, capitalising on an assist from Wikelman José Carmona Torres to level the match at 2–2. The statistics support Montréal's growing influence — Philippe Eullaffroy's side held 56% possession, completed passes at a 79% success rate, and generated 40 dangerous attacks compared to DC United's 37.

The match boiled over around the hour mark, with both Daniel Armando Ríos Calderón and Brandon Servania picking up bookings for an argument in the 62nd minute. VAR also played its part on multiple occasions — reviewing situations involving Lucas Bartlett (49'), Efraín Andrés Morales Badillo (76'), and Prince-Osei Owusu (90+2') — the latter decision particularly significant given the drama still to come.

When Bartlett powered home a header in the 87th minute, assisted by Keisuke Kurokawa, DC United seemed to have snatched what would have been a richly deserved winner. But Montréal, showing remarkable character, refused to accept defeat. Synchuk struck in the 90+6th minute, assisted by the evening's standout performer Prince Owusu, to level the score at 4–4 in stunning fashion. A flurry of late yellow cards — including one for Owusu himself — underlined just how intense the closing stages had become.

DC United's 10 shots on target versus Montréal's 8 showed the hosts were the more clinical side for much of the contest, yet ultimately could not hold onto their hard-earned advantage. With 19 fouls conceded, DC United were also the more physically combative side, though Montréal's 16 fouls were enough to disrupt the home team's rhythm at key moments.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast pointed to a DC United win at 46% probability, with a confidence rating of just 55/100. The low confidence level hinted at genuine uncertainty, and that proved well-founded — though the actual outcome of a high-scoring draw was not something the model anticipated. The prediction outcome was incorrect, with the match finishing all-square in extraordinary fashion rather than the narrow 1–0 home win we projected.

Takeaways

  • Prince-Osei Owusu was the decisive figure for Montréal — two goals and a pivotal assist in a man-of-the-match performance.
  • Lucas Bartlett made his mark at both ends of the pitch, heading a late goal before earning a booking in stoppage time.
  • Both sides will rue defensive lapses, but the shared points may ultimately flatter DC United, given Montréal's superior possession and attacking volume.
  • For René Weiler, preventing late collapses will be a key area for improvement heading into their next fixture.

DC United vs CF Montréal Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between DC United and CF Montréal: DC United 10W · 11D · CF Montréal 11W.

10

11

11

Sat, Aug 16, 2025CF Montréal1-1DC United
Sat, Mar 15, 2025DC United0-0CF Montréal
Wed, May 29, 2024CF Montréal4-2DC United
Sat, Mar 30, 2024DC United1-0CF Montréal
Wed, May 31, 2023DC United2-2CF Montréal

DC United vs CF Montréal — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win DC United vs CF Montréal?

PredictNext's AI model favours DC United with a 46% win probability — DC United 46%, draw 27%, CF Montréal 27%.

What is the predicted score for DC United vs CF Montréal?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for DC United vs CF Montréal, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will DC United vs CF Montréal have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in DC United vs CF Montréal.

How accurate was the DC United vs CF Montréal prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 4-4. The winner call was incorrect.

More Major League Soccer AI Predictions