2. Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-08-29 11:00:00 · 19:00 · Stadion der Freundschaft
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 3-4
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.45 | -8.1% | -5.6% | -9.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.64 | 2.57 | -2.1% | -7.2% | -4.9% |
| 1xbet | 2.49 | 3.74 | 2.48 | -6.6% | -4.6% | -8.2% |
| WilliamHill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | -6.3% | -13.3% | -7.5% |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.90 | 2.40 | -8.1% | -0.6% | -11.2% |
| bwin | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.55 | -6.3% | -4.4% | -5.7% |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.80 | 2.65 | -8.9% | -3.1% | -2.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.40 | -10.0% | -10.7% | -11.2% |
| Interwetten | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.50 | -4.4% | -3.1% | -7.5% |
| Sbo | 2.31 | 3.32 | 2.40 | -13.4% | -15.3% | -11.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.45 | -8.1% | -5.6% | -9.3% |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.55 | -4.4% | -5.6% | -5.7% |
| CloudBet | 2.50 | 3.55 | 2.55 | -6.3% | -9.5% | -5.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 3.74 | 2.48 | -6.6% | -4.6% | -8.2% |
| 10Bet | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.50 | -6.3% | -4.4% | -7.5% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Post-Match Analysis: Energie Cottbus 3–4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga | 29 August 2026
Result Summary
A breathless seven-goal affair at Cottbus ended with SpVgg Greuther Fürth claiming a dramatic 4–3 victory despite playing against a home side that dominated large portions of the contest. Energie Cottbus, under coach Claus-Dieter Wollitz, had every reason to believe they could take all three points, but Heiko Vogel's side demonstrated clinical efficiency when it mattered most, converting their chances with ruthless precision to leave Cottbus empty-handed.
Match Analysis
Cottbus set the tempo early. Lucas Copado Schrobenhauser opened the scoring in just the sixth minute, finishing from a Leonardo Bittencourt assist, and the home side's statistical dominance throughout the game reflects a team that genuinely controlled large spells of play. With 54% possession, 93 attacks to Fürth's 80, and an impressive 86% successful pass percentage, Cottbus consistently moved the ball through the lines. Their 21 key passes dwarfed Fürth's 11, and 10 corners to 6 further underscores their territorial superiority.
However, the scoreline tells the more uncomfortable truth: 23 total shots yielded only 6 on target, while Fürth converted from a far more measured 7 shots on target from 14 attempts. Efficiency, not dominance, decided this match.
The second half unravelled for Cottbus in the cruellest fashion. Within 90 seconds of the restart, Fousseny Doumbia turned the ball into his own net — an own goal that handed Fürth a foothold before Doumbia was substituted off at the break itself. Cottbus rallied superbly, with substitute Tolcay Cigerci — introduced at half-time — heading in a Bittencourt cross at the 70th minute to seemingly restore order. Bittencourt's influence was decisive, registering assists on both Cottbus goals in open play.
Yet Fürth responded immediately. Ole Pohlmann struck on 72 minutes, and Felix Klaus added a fourth with a right-foot finish on 80 minutes, assisted by substitute Omar Sillah — who had only entered the pitch at 66 minutes. Cottbus threw everything forward and substitute Dmytro Bohdanov headed in a consolation from a Justin Butler assist in the 90+4', but it was too late to change the outcome. A VAR review at 23 minutes had already wiped out a King Samuel Manu goal for offside, a moment that may loom large in the post-match debrief.
The disciplinary picture remained relatively minor — yellows for Jannis Heuer and Doni Arifi of Fürth, and Jannis Boziaris and King Samuel Manu for Cottbus — with no red cards to further disrupt either side.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast of 1–1 with a 25.5% draw probability proved wide of the mark. With home and away win probabilities essentially level at ~37.5% each, the model gave no meaningful edge to either side, and a low confidence score of 35/100 rightly flagged the uncertainty. The actual result — a seven-goal thriller decided in Fürth's favour — fell on the correct side of the away win probability but could not have been anticipated in terms of its dramatic, back-and-forth nature. The prediction is marked incorrect.
Key Takeaways
- Fürth's clinical edge was the defining factor: fewer shots, more goals, better conversion.
- Leonardo Bittencourt was Cottbus's standout contributor with two assists, though the team must address their shot-to-target ratio.
- Cottbus's substitutes shaped the narrative on both sides — Cigerci, Sillah, Butler, and Bohdanov all featured in goalscoring actions after coming on.
- Wollitz's side will be frustrated by a performance that statistically warranted more but delivered nothing in the standings.
Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Energie Cottbus and SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Energie Cottbus 1W · 1D · SpVgg Greuther Fürth 8W.
1
Energie Cottbus wins
1
Draws
8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
PredictNext's AI model favours Energie Cottbus with a 38% win probability — Energie Cottbus 38%, draw 25%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 37%.
What is the predicted score for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth, generated with 35% model confidence.
Will Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
How accurate was the Energie Cottbus vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 3-4. The winner call was incorrect.