Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-08-30 15:30:00 · 23:30 · WWK Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 3-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.90 | -3.4% | -6.4% | -7.2% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.31 | 3.55 | 3.20 | -3.0% | -7.7% | +2.4% |
| 1xbet | 2.30 | 3.69 | 3.07 | -3.4% | -4.1% | -1.8% |
| WilliamHill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -7.6% | -14.2% | -0.8% |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -9.7% | -14.2% | -0.8% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.90 | -5.5% | -11.6% | -7.2% |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 | -7.6% | -9.0% | -4.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 | -5.5% | -9.0% | -7.2% |
| CloudBet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -5.5% | -14.2% | -0.8% |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.55 | 3.10 | -3.8% | -7.7% | -0.8% |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -7.6% | -14.2% | -0.8% |
| 10Bet | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.05 | -8.4% | -9.0% | -2.4% |
| Interwetten | 2.35 | 3.55 | 2.95 | -1.3% | -7.7% | -5.6% |
| MansionBet | 2.33 | 3.60 | 2.92 | -2.1% | -6.4% | -6.6% |
| MelBetVALUE | 2.17 | 3.48 | 3.26 | -8.9% | -9.5% | +4.3% |
| Betsson | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.92 | -7.6% | -11.6% | -6.6% |
| Coral | 2.30 | 3.60 | 3.00 | -3.4% | -6.4% | -4.0% |
| Macauslot | 2.22 | 3.61 | 2.60 | -6.8% | -6.1% | -16.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 | -5.5% | -11.6% | -0.8% |
| Sbo | 2.21 | 3.29 | 2.91 | -7.2% | -14.5% | -6.9% |
| CashpointVALUE | 2.17 | 3.65 | 3.22 | -8.9% | -5.1% | +3.0% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 2.29 | 3.54 | 3.20 | -3.8% | -8.0% | +2.4% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
FC Augsburg 3-0 Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | 30 August 2026
Result Summary
Manuel Baum's FC Augsburg delivered a commanding home performance at the WWK Arena, dismantling Schalke 04 with a convincing 3-0 victory. Goals from Michael Gregoritsch, Anton Kade, and late substitute Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiro ensured Augsburg took all three points in style, while Schalke's evening was compounded by a red card that left Miron Muslić's side chasing shadows for the final half-hour.
Match Analysis
Augsburg set the tone early. Michael Gregoritsch broke the deadlock in the 18th minute, finishing with his left foot from an Anton Kade assist to give the hosts a deserved lead. The goal reflected Augsburg's sharp intent — they would go on to register 24 total shots and 13 on target, compared to Schalke's 11 shots and just 5 on target. The corner count told a similar story: 11 corners for Augsburg against just 3 for Schalke.
Interestingly, Schalke actually shaded ball possession at 53% to 47%, and recorded marginally more total attacks (103 to 99). However, Augsburg proved far more clinical in dangerous areas, racking up 52 dangerous attacks to Schalke's 41 and accumulating 21 key passes compared to the visitors' 11. Possession without penetration ultimately counted for little.
The match's turning point arrived in the 62nd minute when Ron Schallenberg was dismissed for a professional foul as the last man — a red card that fundamentally altered the contest. Schalke attempted to restructure immediately, making three simultaneous substitutions, bringing on Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe, Robin Gosens, and Maximilian Wöber. Despite the reshuffle, the numerical disadvantage proved insurmountable.
Fabian Rieder had picked up a yellow card as early as the 22nd minute for a foul, but continued to influence the game productively — his assist set up Anton Kade to double Augsburg's lead in the 79th minute with a composed right-foot finish. Rieder was withdrawn safely in the 83rd minute, replaced by Yannik Keitel.
Deep into stoppage time, substitute Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiro — who had only entered the pitch in the 83rd minute — wrapped up proceedings at 90+2', converting from a Young-woo Seol assist to complete the rout. It was a poised finish that underlined Augsburg's depth and Schalke's inability to resist even late in the game.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast had projected a 1-1 draw, assigning FC Augsburg a 42% probability of victory, Schalke 32%, and a draw 26%. With a low confidence score of 47/100, uncertainty was acknowledged — but the outcome still diverged significantly from expectations. Schalke's possession statistics may have given surface-level credibility to a competitive match, yet Augsburg's shot efficiency, set-piece dominance, and the decisive red card made the result far more one-sided than our model anticipated. The prediction was incorrect.
Takeaways
- Augsburg's clinical edge was decisive: 13 shots on target from 24 total represents exceptional efficiency and far outweighed Schalke's possession advantage.
- Schallenberg's red card at 62' was a match-defining moment, stranding Schalke in an unwinnable position against a team already leading.
- Anton Kade was central to Augsburg's attacking play, both assisting the opener and scoring the second goal.
- Schalke's attack — despite involving Edin Džeko from the bench — never truly threatened Finn Dahmen's goal with any real consistency.
- Manuel Baum's Augsburg look like a well-organised, dangerous outfit at home as the 2026/27 Bundesliga season takes shape.
FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between FC Augsburg and Schalke 04: FC Augsburg 3W · 9D · Schalke 04 10W.
3
FC Augsburg wins
9
Draws
10
Schalke 04 wins
FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?
PredictNext's AI model favours FC Augsburg with a 42% win probability — FC Augsburg 42%, draw 26%, Schalke 04 32%.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04, generated with 47% model confidence.
Will FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04.
How accurate was the FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was correct.