2. Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-10-24 11:00:00 · 19:00 · Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 1-1
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.65 | 4.33 | 4.10 | -9.3% | -9.1% | -1.6% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.65 | 4.73 | 4.24 | -9.3% | -0.7% | +1.8% |
| 1xbet | 1.65 | 4.50 | 4.16 | -9.3% | -5.5% | -0.2% |
| WilliamHill | 1.65 | 4.33 | 4.00 | -9.3% | -9.1% | -4.0% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.62 | 4.50 | 4.20 | -10.9% | -5.5% | +0.8% |
| bwinVALUE | 1.68 | 4.50 | 4.20 | -7.6% | -5.5% | +0.8% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.61 | 4.20 | 3.90 | -11.4% | -11.8% | -6.4% |
| Coral | 1.61 | 4.20 | 3.90 | -11.4% | -11.8% | -6.4% |
| MelBet | 1.65 | 4.50 | 4.15 | -9.3% | -5.5% | -0.4% |
| Macauslot | 1.61 | 4.30 | 3.68 | -11.4% | -9.7% | -11.7% |
| MansionBet | 1.67 | 4.40 | 4.05 | -8.2% | -7.6% | -2.8% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.71 | 4.50 | 4.20 | -5.9% | -5.5% | +0.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.40 | 4.10 | -10.9% | -7.6% | -1.6% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.63 | 4.50 | 4.20 | -10.4% | -5.5% | +0.8% |
| Sbo | 1.60 | 4.01 | 3.67 | -12.0% | -15.8% | -11.9% |
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Match Report
FC Heidenheim 1–1 Energie Cottbus | 2. Bundesliga | 24 October 2026
Result Summary
A hard-fought stalemate at Heidenheim saw the points shared after a match that, statistically, the home side dominated almost entirely. Lucas Copado Schrobenhauser put Energie Cottbus ahead against the run of play just before half-time, only for Oualid Mhamdi to restore parity four minutes into the second half. Despite relentless pressure from Frank Schmidt's side, Cottbus held on for a point their goalkeeper and backline will treasure far more than their head coach might admit.
Match Analysis
Heidenheim controlled proceedings from the outset, finishing with 57% ball possession, 34 total shots compared to Cottbus's 7, and a staggering 15 corners to 2. Their 82 dangerous attacks to Cottbus's 22 further underlines just how one-sided the territorial contest was. And yet, the scoreline tells a very different story — a reminder that efficiency can outweigh dominance on any given afternoon.
It was Cottbus who drew first blood. On 40 minutes, Lucas Copado Schrobenhauser converted with a left-foot finish, assisted by Tolcay Cigerci, to give the visitors a half-time lead that felt entirely against the grain of the match. The goal came despite Cottbus generating little — their low block and disciplined shape frustrated Heidenheim's build-up play, with Fousseny Doumbia and Leon Guwara working hard defensively before being withdrawn in the second half.
Frank Schmidt responded at the break, introducing Marcel Costly for Julian Niehues, and the change had an immediate impact. Within four minutes of the restart, Oualid Mhamdi equalised, guiding home a right-foot shot assisted by Paul Hennrich on 49 minutes. Heidenheim pushed hard for a winner — their 8 shots on target and 18 key passes illustrate how persistently they sought a second goal — but Cottbus, marshalled by Claus-Dieter Wollitz, showed admirable resilience.
The card count was relatively contained: early bookings for Jan Schöppner (11') and Cottbus's Marcel Laurenz Lotka (16') set a competitive tone, with King Samuel Manu (37') and Michael Heule (69') also cautioned for fouls. Heule was eventually withdrawn in the 86th minute, with Leart Paqarada coming on to see out the game.
Both coaches made multiple changes in search of a decisive moment — Alessandro Vogt, Mathias Honsak, Ryan Malone, Jannis Boziaris, Hasan Jannis Zaydan, and Christian Kinsombi all featured from the bench — but neither side could find the breakthrough that the home fans craved.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast had Heidenheim winning 2–1, with a 55% probability assigned to a home victory and just 21% to a draw. With a modest confidence rating of 54/100, the model acknowledged uncertainty, though it still leaned clearly toward the hosts. The prediction was ultimately incorrect — the draw, our second most likely outcome, proved correct on the scoreline front, but Cottbus's resilience and clinical edge on the counter were underweighted. The sheer volume of Heidenheim's attacking output made a home win a reasonable expectation, yet football's unpredictability prevailed.
Key Takeaways
- Heidenheim's dominance went unrewarded — 34 shots and 15 corners yielded only a single goal, a frustrating return.
- Cottbus showed defensive discipline that their underlying numbers (only 3 shots on target, 2 corners) would not suggest they needed to produce.
- The half-time substitution of Costly for Niehues proved tactically significant, directly preceding Mhamdi's equaliser.
- A point each leaves this contest filed under "ones that got away" for Heidenheim.
FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus?
PredictNext's AI model favours FC Heidenheim with a 55% win probability — FC Heidenheim 55%, draw 21%, Energie Cottbus 24%.
What is the predicted score for FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus, generated with 54% model confidence.
Will FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for under 2.5 goals in FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus.
How accurate was the FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.