Fenerbahçe 3–1 İstanbul Başakşehir | Super Lig | 3 May 2026

Result Summary

Fenerbahçe delivered a commanding home performance at Şükrü Saracoğlu, securing a 3–1 victory over İstanbul Başakşehir in a Super Lig fixture that ultimately proved more comfortable than the scoreline might suggest. The story of the evening belonged entirely to Anderson Souza Conceição, who produced a stunning hat-trick to hand Domenico Tedesco's side a comprehensive three points against a Başakşehir outfit managed by former Dortmund coach Nuri Sahin.

Match Analysis

Fenerbahçe set the tone early, and on 28 minutes Anderson Souza Conceição opened the scoring with a composed right-foot finish to give the hosts a deserved lead. The advantage was nearly doubled before Başakşehir responded — Amine Harit levelled matters on 36 minutes with a right-foot effort, assisted by Kazımcan Karataş, briefly offering the visitors hope heading into the break.

The half-time interval, however, was overshadowed by a flurry of disciplinary action. Jayden Oosterwolde was cautioned in added time for a foul, and Başakşehir's Jerome Opoku followed just a minute later, before fellow substitute Ousseynou Ba — who came on in place of Opoku at the restart — was himself booked almost immediately after the second half began.

Başakşehir's chaotic transition into the second period proved costly. On 57 minutes, Anderson Souza Conceição struck again, converting with his left foot from a Fred assist to restore Fenerbahçe's lead. The Brazilian completed his hat-trick on 72 minutes, once again finishing with his left foot from another incisive Fred delivery — a partnership that proved decisive on the night.

The statistics underline Fenerbahçe's dominance. Despite finishing with just 49% possession compared to Başakşehir's 51%, it was Tedesco's side that controlled the match where it mattered. 9 shots on target versus 4, 63 dangerous attacks compared to 35, and a commanding 10 corners to just 2 paint a picture of sustained pressure. Başakşehir's 8 shots off target also reflect a team struggling to convert territorial possession into genuine danger.

Fred deserves particular mention as the creative engine behind the victory, registering two assists before being replaced by Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquez in the 90th minute. N'Golo Kanté was yellow-carded on 82 minutes for a foul, a minor blemish on an otherwise controlled midfield showing.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Fenerbahçe win with a predicted confidence level of 62/100 and a 55.1% probability assigned to a home victory. The outcome prediction proved correct — Fenerbahçe did win, and the margin of victory exceeded expectations. The model correctly identified the home side as favourites and the match played out broadly in line with the anticipated competitive dynamic, though the final scoreline of 3–1 reflected a more decisive Fenerbahçe display than the 2–1 forecast suggested.

Key Takeaways

• Anderson Souza Conceição's hat-trick was the defining moment of this fixture — a match-winning individual display of the highest quality.
• Fred's two assists highlighted his importance as a creative force in Fenerbahçe's attack.
• Başakşehir's disciplinary issues at half-time disrupted their rhythm and contributed to their second-half collapse.
• Despite Harit's equaliser offering a temporary lifeline, the visitors lacked the consistency to sustain a challenge against a clinical Fenerbahçe side.