Premier League · Matchday
2026-09-05 14:00:00 · 22:00 · Craven Cottage
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 2-3
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -3.2% | -10.9% | -7.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.52 | 3.18 | -1.1% | -5.0% | -4.6% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.36 | 3.58 | 3.21 | +1.5% | -3.3% | -3.7% |
| WilliamHill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 | -3.2% | -10.9% | -10.0% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 | -1.1% | -10.9% | -10.0% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 | -3.2% | -8.2% | -7.0% |
| UnibetVALUE | 2.38 | 3.35 | 2.90 | +2.3% | -9.5% | -13.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 | -5.4% | -10.9% | -10.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -3.2% | -8.2% | -10.0% |
| Sbo | 2.14 | 3.16 | 2.89 | -8.0% | -14.7% | -13.3% |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.40 | 3.15 | -1.5% | -8.2% | -5.5% |
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.05 | -3.2% | -8.2% | -8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.32 | 3.52 | 3.16 | -0.2% | -5.0% | -5.2% |
| Coral | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 | -5.4% | -10.9% | -10.0% |
| MelBet | 2.27 | 3.44 | 3.09 | -2.4% | -7.1% | -7.3% |
| MansionBet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.94 | -3.2% | -8.2% | -11.8% |
| CloudBet | 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.10 | -3.2% | -6.8% | -7.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace | Premier League | 5 September 2026
Result Summary
Crystal Palace produced a resilient and tactically disciplined performance at Craven Cottage, coming from behind twice to claim a memorable 3–2 victory over Fulham. Tyrick Mitchell was the unlikely hero, scoring twice before being substituted, while Ben Chilwell sealed the win minutes after coming off the bench. Despite Fulham's overwhelming statistical dominance across almost every metric, Pierre Sage's side showed clinical efficiency when it mattered most.
Match Analysis
Fulham started brightly, with Joshua King opening the scoring in the 11th minute, finishing with his left foot from an assist by Oscar Bobb. The hosts looked comfortable in possession and Crystal Palace's early threat was curtailed by a VAR review involving Daichi Kamada at the 14th minute, though no further disciplinary action was recorded beyond the review itself.
Crystal Palace, however, refused to buckle. Against the run of play, Tyrick Mitchell levelled matters on 35 minutes, converting with his left foot from Eddie Nketiah's assist. Fulham responded quickly before half-time, with César Palacios Pérez restoring the lead on 42 minutes via a right-foot finish to make it 2–1 at the break.
The statistics tell a striking story of a match dominated by Fulham yet ultimately lost. The Cottagers held 65% possession, registered 25 total shots to Palace's 10, had 83 dangerous attacks compared to just 22 from the visitors, and completed 89% of their passes. Yet none of these advantages translated into the goals required. Their 6 shots on target versus Crystal Palace's 5 underlines how ruthlessly efficient the visitors were in front of goal.
Fulham's struggles were compounded in the second half. Mitchell struck again on 54 minutes with another left-foot finish, drawing Palace level for the second time. Pierre Sage's double substitution at the 74th minute proved inspired — Ben Chilwell, introduced from the bench alongside Will Hughes, delivered the decisive blow on 77 minutes, converting with his left foot from Daichi Kamada's assist to put Palace 3–2 ahead. Álvaro Arbeloa Coca responded with a flurry of changes — bringing on Hugo Larsson, Emile Smith Rowe, Kouassi Ryan Sessegnon, and Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho — but Fulham could not find an equaliser, with Palace's defensive discipline holding firm through a tense closing period.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–1 draw, with a home win probability of 43%, a draw at 27%, and a Crystal Palace win at 30%. The confidence level of 53/100 reflected genuine uncertainty, and in fairness, the match dynamics superficially resembled a tight contest. However, the prediction did not account for Palace's counter-attacking potency and their ability to be clinical despite limited possession and territory. The forecast was incorrect — Crystal Palace's away win was the least likely of our three projected outcomes, making this a notable upset in terms of our model.
Key Takeaways
- Crystal Palace's efficiency was extraordinary: 5 shots on target produced 3 goals, a conversion rate that defied Fulham's statistical superiority.
- Tyrick Mitchell's brace from left-back represents a standout individual performance, capping an excellent display down the flank.
- Ben Chilwell's impact from the bench was immediate and decisive — a substitution that changed the match within three minutes of his introduction.
- Fulham's 25 total shots and 7 corners suggest that on another day, the result could have been very different for Arbeloa Coca's side.
- Pierre Sage's Crystal Palace are proving that compactness and clinical finishing can overcome even the most dominant opponents.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Fulham and Crystal Palace: Fulham 4W · 6D · Crystal Palace 7W.
4
Fulham wins
6
Draws
7
Crystal Palace wins
Fulham vs Crystal Palace — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
PredictNext's AI model favours Fulham with a 43% win probability — Fulham 43%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 30%.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Fulham vs Crystal Palace, generated with 53% model confidence.
Will Fulham vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Crystal Palace.
How accurate was the Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 2-3. The winner call was incorrect.