Gençlerbirliği 1–2 Kasımpaşa | Super Lig | 13 September 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic late turnaround saw Kasımpaşa snatch all three points at Gençlerbirliği's expense on Sunday afternoon. Ousmane Diabate's opener looked set to earn the hosts a hard-fought victory, only for Adrian Benedyczak to level matters in the 79th minute before Güven Yalçın broke Gençlerbirliği hearts with a stoppage-time winner in the 90+4th minute. Emre Belözoğlu's side showed commendable resilience, while coach Metin Diyadin will be left to rue a lead that slipped away in the final exchanges.

Match Analysis

Gençlerbirliği made the brighter start in attacking terms, converting their pressure into the game's first goal when Dimitrios Goutas played in Ousmane Diabate, who finished coolly with his right foot in the 23rd minute. That strike proved that the hosts were well-organised and dangerous on the break despite operating with just 42% possession against Kasımpaşa's 58%.

Kasımpaşa's territorial dominance was reflected throughout the statistics — they registered 69 attacks to Gençlerbirliği's 60, with 52 dangerous attacks compared to 40 for the home side. Yet for large stretches, Gençlerbirliği's defensive shape appeared solid, with İrfan Can Eğribayat and the backline limiting the visitors to just 3 shots on target from 16 total attempts. Gençlerbirliği, meanwhile, converted more efficiently, managing 5 shots on target from 15, underlining that the hosts were clinical when the chances arrived.

The second half grew increasingly fractious. Elson Mendes Da Silva was booked for a foul in the 47th minute, and disciplinary issues mounted on both sides — Ousmane Diabate and Thalisson Kelven da Silva were both cautioned for Gençlerbirliği, while Tiago Maria Antunes Gouveia picked up a booking for dissent in the 82nd minute. The cumulative pressure of Belözoğlu's substitutions began to tell, with Güven Yalçın introduced in the 61st minute proving to be a pivotal decision.

The equaliser arrived in the 79th minute when Elson Mendes turned provider for Adrian Benedyczak, who levelled with a composed right-foot finish. With Gençlerbirliği visibly tiring and making a flurry of late changes, Kasımpaşa pressed for the winner — and it came in the fourth minute of stoppage time. Substitute Adem Arous, only on the pitch since the 90th minute, delivered an assist for Güven Yalçın, who fired home with his left foot to complete a stunning comeback. The yellow card Yalçın received immediately after in the 90+5th minute did nothing to dampen Kasımpaşa's celebrations.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–1 draw, with a home win probability of 42%, a draw at 28.5%, and an away win at 29.5% — reflected in a modest confidence rating of 54/100. The outcome proved our model incorrect, as Kasımpaşa found the decisive blow in the closing moments. Interestingly, the statistical picture for most of the contest aligned with a closely contested affair, and had Gençlerbirliği held on for ten more minutes, the draw prediction would have been validated. The model correctly identified the competitive nature of the fixture but underestimated Kasımpaşa's capacity to find a late winner through their substitutes.

Key Takeaways

• Kasımpaşa's substitutions were decisive — both the equaliser and the winner involved players introduced off the bench.
• Gençlerbirliği's 18 fouls compared to Kasımpaşa's 14 suggests the hosts struggled to manage the game's physical demands in the second half.
• Despite losing,