
Premiership · Matchday
2026-09-06 14:00:00 · 22:00

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-1
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Match Report
Hearts Snatch Dramatic Late Win Over Dundee
Result Summary
In one of the more extraordinary finishes seen at Tynecastle this season, Hearts came from behind to defeat Dundee 2-1 in a Premiership clash on 6 September 2026. Trailing from the 17th minute and unable to find a breakthrough for the vast majority of the game, Wouter Vrancken's side eventually earned their reward deep into stoppage time, with substitute Sabah Kerjota producing a stunning left-foot finish in the 90+6th minute to seal all three points and spark dramatic scenes.
Match Analysis
The statistics tell a story of near-total Hearts domination — 72% possession, 27 shots to Dundee's 4, 87 dangerous attacks to Dundee's 16, and 14 corners compared to just 2 — yet for much of the afternoon, none of it mattered. Bradley Fink, who was withdrawn at the 65-minute mark, had given Dundee the lead with a composed left-foot finish in the 17th minute, assisted by Imari Samuels. It was a rare moment of quality from Steven Pressley's side, who then set about defending resolutely in the face of relentless Hearts pressure.
Despite their statistical superiority, Hearts were profligate in front of goal. Seven shots on target from 27 attempts underlines the efficiency problem that plagued them throughout, and it looked as though Dundee might hold on for a remarkable away point. Hearts' frustration was evident on the pitch, with Joshua McPake picking up a yellow card in the 35th minute for a foul, though it was McPake who would ultimately play a key role in the decisive moment.
Vrancken made attacking changes as the game wore on — Christian Dahle Borchgrevink and Kerjota both came on in the 60th minute — and a VAR review at 82 minutes, involving Borchgrevink, added further intrigue to the closing stages. Dundee's discipline deteriorated in the final stretch: Ethan Hamilton and Imari Samuels had already been carded, and then substitute Žan Bešir, who entered the pitch in the 76th minute, received a red card following a VAR review at 90 minutes for a foul, leaving Dundee with ten men in the death. McPake delivered the assist, and Kerjota — with his very first notable contribution — swept home left-footed to complete the turnaround and send Tynecastle into raptures. Kerjota's subsequent yellow card for unsportsmanlike conduct in the celebrations did little to dampen Hearts' spirits.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-0 Hearts win, with a 60% probability assigned to a home victory. The prediction proved correct in terms of outcome — Hearts did win — though the dramatic fashion of the victory, with the decisive goal arriving in the 96th minute after a goal conceded early, was far from the controlled performance the numbers suggested. A confidence rating of 65/100 reflected reasonable certainty, and the underlying statistical dominance Hearts displayed fully justified favouring them, even if the final scoreline took until the very last seconds to materialise.
Key Takeaways
- Hearts deserved the win on every statistical metric, but were badly let down by their finishing for long stretches.
- Dundee's defensive resilience was admirable but ultimately undone by Bešir's red card, which created the opening Hearts needed.
- Sabah Kerjota will remember his cameo for some time — a match-winning goal in the 96th minute is the definition of an impact substitute.
- For Steven Pressley, the manner of the late collapse — particularly the red card — will be the most painful aspect of an otherwise disciplined away display.
Hearts vs Dundee — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Hearts vs Dundee?
PredictNext's AI model favours Hearts with a 60% win probability — Hearts 60%, draw 23%, Dundee 17%.
What is the predicted score for Hearts vs Dundee?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Hearts vs Dundee, generated with 65% model confidence.
Will Hearts vs Dundee have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Hearts vs Dundee.
How accurate was the Hearts vs Dundee prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.