Konyaspor
Konyaspor
1 vs 2

Super Lig · Matchday

2026-08-29 16:00:00 · 00:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu

Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Konyaspor
KON
1 - 0
Kocaelispor
KOC
54%
Confidence
Low Confidence
45.5%Home
27.5%Draw
27.0%Away
46.8%Home
26.4%Draw
26.8%Away
**Konyaspor** enter this Super Lig clash as narrow favorites on home soil, bolstered by **Kocaelispor**'s defensive disruption — A. Yanık's red card suspension removes a key presence from their backline. The H2H record is tightly split, making Konyaspor's home advantage and Kocaelispor's enforced defensive reshuffle the decisive tactical edge to monitor. AI pick: Konyaspor Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredKON or Draw
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
52% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreBlaz KramerAlso: Enis Destan, Jackson Muleka

Goal Probability

KON KOC
0%
43%
0
62%
42%
1
38%
15%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

45%
46%
-0.8%
28%
28%
-0.3%
27%
26%
+1.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3652.003.303.60-9.0%-9.3%-2.8%
PinnacleVALUE2.053.383.74-6.7%-7.1%+1.0%
1xbetVALUE2.093.473.78-4.9%-4.6%+2.1%
WilliamHill2.053.253.40-6.7%-10.6%-8.2%
Betfair2.003.403.50-9.0%-6.5%-5.5%
bwin2.003.403.60-9.0%-6.5%-2.8%
Ladbrokes2.003.403.60-9.0%-6.5%-2.8%
CloudBet2.003.303.65-9.0%-9.3%-1.4%
MansionBet2.053.303.50-6.7%-9.3%-5.5%
MelBet2.043.403.70-7.2%-6.5%-0.1%
10Bet2.003.403.60-9.0%-6.5%-2.8%
DafabetVALUE2.023.453.75-8.1%-5.1%+1.3%
Marathonbet2.013.343.64-8.5%-8.2%-1.7%
BetVictor2.003.253.60-9.0%-10.6%-2.8%
Coral2.003.403.70-9.0%-6.5%-0.1%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Konyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor | Super Lig | 29 August 2026

Result Summary

Kocaelispor claimed a statement away victory at Konya, defeating the hosts 2–1 in a match that turned significantly on a red card and a dominant statistical display from Selçuk İnan's side. Despite an own goal gifting Kocaelispor the opening advantage, it was the visitors who controlled the contest across all key metrics and ultimately deserved their three points.

Match Analysis

The first half was a relatively competitive affair, though Kocaelispor already showed signs of their superior attacking intent — a trend that would be confirmed by the final statistics. The deadlock was broken in somewhat fortuitous fashion in the 39th minute, when Banhie Zoukrou's own goal handed Kocaelispor the lead heading into the interval. Konyaspor had already lost Uğurcan Yazğılı to a substitution at the 41st minute, with Arthur Masuaku introduced in his place.

The second half proved decisive in shaping the outcome. Just moments after the restart, İlhan Palut brought on Enis Bardhi in search of renewed creative impetus — yet that move backfired dramatically when Bardhi was dismissed with a red card in the 48th minute for a foul, leaving Konyaspor to play the majority of the second half a man down. This proved to be a turning point that effectively handed the initiative entirely to the visitors.

Kocaelispor pressed their numerical advantage methodically. Massadio Haïdara doubled the lead in the 72nd minute with a header, assisted by Gonçalo Sousa, converting the kind of quality delivery that Kocaelispor consistently threatened from wide positions. Substitute Metehan Altunbaş, introduced at the 66th minute, then added a third — though technically credited as Kocaelispor's second match goal — four minutes from time with a right-foot finish assisted by Show, putting the result beyond any doubt.

The statistics paint a comprehensive picture of Kocaelispor's dominance. The visitors held 56% possession, registered 15 total shots compared to Konyaspor's 10, and — most strikingly — recorded 7 shots on target against Konyaspor's zero. Kocaelispor also mounted 108 attacks to the hosts' 71, and generated 47 dangerous attacks versus 28. The 87% successful pass rate for Kocaelispor against Konyaspor's 81% further underlines the visitors' technical superiority on the day. Konyaspor's 16 fouls compared to Kocaelispor's 12 also reflects a side increasingly under pressure and resorting to cynical disruption.

Discipline was a recurring issue for Kocaelispor in the first half, with Mahamadou Susoho, an unnamed player, Daniel Agyei, and Matej Maglica all booked before the hour mark. However, they managed the rest of the contest with composure, and those early cautions did not ultimately cost them.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–0 Konyaspor home win with 45.5% probability assigned to the hosts and only 27% to the away side. That prediction proved incorrect. In fairness, a home win was the statistically supported call given conventional home advantage, but the model did not account for the possibility of Konyaspor losing a player to a red card so early in the second half, fundamentally altering the contest's dynamics. With a confidence level of just 54/100, this was already flagged as an uncertain forecast.

Key Takeaways

  • Kocaelispor were the better side across virtually every statistical category, making this a well-earned victory under Selçuk İnan.
  • Enis Bardhi's red card in the 48th minute was the decisive moment that sealed Konyaspor's fate.
  • Metehan Altunbaş made an immediate impact from the bench, capping the win

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head

Last 4 meetings between Konyaspor and Kocaelispor: Konyaspor 2W · 0D · Kocaelispor 2W.

2

0

2

Sat, Mar 14, 2026Kocaelispor1-2Konyaspor
Sat, Oct 18, 2025Konyaspor2-3Kocaelispor
Sun, May 3, 2009Konyaspor2-0Kocaelispor
Sun, Nov 30, 2008Kocaelispor3-0Konyaspor

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

PredictNext's AI model favours Konyaspor with a 45% win probability — Konyaspor 45%, draw 28%, Kocaelispor 27%.

What is the predicted score for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor, generated with 54% model confidence.

Will Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor.

How accurate was the Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.

More Super Lig AI Predictions