Copa Libertadores · Matchday
2026-05-26 22:00:00 · 06:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 4.20 | -3.0% | -3.9% | -13.9% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.05 | 2.83 | 4.99 | -0.6% | -12.3% | +2.3% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.09 | 3.06 | 4.07 | +1.4% | -5.1% | -16.6% |
| WilliamHill | 2.00 | 2.90 | 4.00 | -3.0% | -10.1% | -18.0% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 2.55 | 4.50 | -7.4% | -21.0% | -7.8% |
| bwin | 1.98 | 3.00 | 4.33 | -4.0% | -7.0% | -11.2% |
| Unibet | 1.92 | 3.00 | 4.75 | -6.9% | -7.0% | -2.6% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 | 2.87 | 4.00 | -7.4% | -11.0% | -18.0% |
| 10Bet | 1.86 | 3.05 | 4.85 | -9.8% | -5.5% | -0.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 2.80 | 4.45 | -1.1% | -13.2% | -8.8% |
| Sbo | 1.96 | 2.87 | 3.70 | -4.9% | -11.0% | -24.2% |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 2.90 | 4.00 | -3.0% | -10.1% | -18.0% |
| Coral | 1.91 | 2.87 | 4.00 | -7.4% | -11.0% | -18.0% |
| Macauslot | 1.94 | 3.00 | 3.60 | -5.9% | -7.0% | -26.2% |
| MansionBet | 1.89 | 3.15 | 4.30 | -8.3% | -2.4% | -11.9% |
| Interwetten | 2.05 | 3.00 | 4.10 | -0.6% | -7.0% | -16.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.20 | 4.50 | -6.4% | -0.8% | -7.8% |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.20 | 4.40 | -2.5% | -0.8% | -9.8% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 2.01 | 2.80 | 5.00 | -2.5% | -13.2% | +2.5% |
| Cashpoint | 1.95 | 3.05 | 4.46 | -5.4% | -5.5% | -8.6% |
| MelBet | 2.06 | 2.85 | 4.62 | -0.1% | -11.6% | -5.3% |
| BetssonVALUE | 1.78 | 3.25 | 4.95 | -13.7% | +0.8% | +1.5% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Lanús 1–0 Mirassol | Copa Libertadores | 26 May 2026
Result Summary
Lanús secured a hard-fought 1–0 victory over Brazilian side Mirassol in the Copa Libertadores, with Diego Agustín Medina's 22nd-minute strike proving to be the decisive moment of the night. Coached by Mauricio Pellegrino, the Argentine hosts were resolute and industrious throughout, holding firm despite Mirassol's attempts to find an equaliser in the second half. For Rafael Silva Guanaes and his Mirassol side, it was a frustrating continental night that ultimately yielded no reward.
Match Analysis
The opening stages set the tone for what would become a one-sided territorial battle. Lanús broke the deadlock early through Medina, who converted with a right-foot shot after a well-worked move involving Walter Bou, who registered the assist. The goal came just before the half-hour mark and handed the hosts the platform they needed to organise and defend.
The statistics tell a compelling story of Lanús's dominance in attacking intent. Lanús registered 22 total shots to Mirassol's 6, with 5 on target compared to just 1 for the visitors. The home side generated 10 corners to Mirassol's 1, accumulated 21 key passes against just 2 for the Brazilian outfit, and mounted 119 attacks to Mirassol's 98, including 54 dangerous attacks versus 33. Despite Mirassol shading possession at 52% to 48%, they were unable to convert that control into meaningful attacking threat.
The disciplinary record was relatively contained. Agustín Cardozo picked up a yellow card in the 34th minute for an argument, before Gonzalo Germán Pérez Corbalán was booked in first-half stoppage time for a foul. On the Mirassol side, Willian Estefani Machado was cautioned in the 83rd minute for a foul, but none of the bookings escalated into anything more serious.
Mirassol made five substitutions, bringing on André Luis Silva de Aguiar, Alesson dos Santos Batista, Daniel Fortunato Borges, Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de Souza, and Lucas Andrés Mugni in search of a reaction, particularly following the break. Lanús responded with measured changes of their own — introducing Lucas Agustín Besozzi, Bruno Cabrera, Matías Ignacio Sepúlveda Méndez, Felipe Peña Biafore, and Franco Nahuel Watson to manage the game and protect the lead. The high shot-off-target count for Lanús — 17 off target — suggests the home side were eager and direct but not always clinical, though ultimately one goal was enough.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called this one correctly — a 1–0 Lanús home win, which is precisely how the evening unfolded. With a confidence rating of 61/100 and Lanús assigned a 48.5% probability of victory, the model reflected the genuine uncertainty of a continental tie between sides at different levels of continental experience. The prediction outcome was validated, underlining the value of factoring in home advantage and attacking intent indicators when assessing Copa Libertadores fixtures.
Key Takeaways
- Medina's early goal was the defining moment — the match never truly escaped its shadow.
- Lanús were statistically dominant in attacking metrics despite not holding majority possession.
- Mirassol struggled to convert ball retention into genuine goalscoring opportunities, with only 1 shot on target all evening.
- Pellegrino's side managed the game intelligently, using their substitutions to wind down the clock and secure three crucial continental points.
Lanús vs Mirassol Head-to-Head
Last 2 meetings between Lanús and Mirassol: Lanús 1W · 0D · Mirassol 1W.
1
Lanús wins
0
Draws
1
Mirassol wins
Lanús vs Mirassol — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lanús vs Mirassol?
PredictNext's AI model favours Lanús (also known as Lanus) with a 49% win probability — Lanús 49%, draw 31%, Mirassol 20%.
What is the predicted score for Lanús vs Mirassol?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Lanús vs Mirassol, generated with 61% model confidence.
Will Lanús vs Mirassol have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for under 2.5 goals in Lanús vs Mirassol.
How accurate was the Lanús vs Mirassol prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-0. The winner call was correct.