Nashville SC
Nashville SC
3 vs 2

Major League Soccer · Matchday

2026-05-18 00:00:00 · 08:00 · GEODIS Park

Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Nashville SC
NSH
2 - 1
Los Angeles FC
LAF
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
45.0%Home
27.0%Draw
28.0%Away
42.1%Home
26.7%Draw
31.2%Away
**Nashville SC** enter as narrow home favorites against **Los Angeles FC**, bolstered by home advantage in a historically tight rivalry. LAFC are dealt a blow with **S. Palencia Hurtado ruled out through a groin injury**, weakening their attacking options. Nashville's ability to exploit a depleted LAFC lineup through midfield pressure could prove decisive in this close contest. AI pick: Nashville SC Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredNSH or LAF
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

NSH LAF
0%
43%
0
42%
44%
1
58%
13%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

45%
44%
+1.0%
27%
27%
+0.2%
28%
29%
-1.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Nashville SC 3-2 Los Angeles FC: Mukhtar's Hat-Trick Seals a Hard-Fought Home Win

Result Summary

Nashville SC secured a dramatic 3-2 victory over Los Angeles FC at home on May 18, 2026, in what proved to be a thrilling MLS encounter. The headline act was Hany Mukhtar, who delivered a commanding hat-trick to carry Brian Callaghan's side to three crucial points despite a persistent LAFC threat that made the result far from comfortable.

Match Analysis

Nashville struck early and with purpose. Mukhtar opened the scoring in the 13th minute, finishing with his right foot from a Warren Madrigal assist, before doubling the lead himself just eight minutes later with another right-footed effort. It looked as though the hosts were on course for a straightforward afternoon when the clock showed 2-0 after just 21 minutes.

Los Angeles FC, however, responded almost immediately. David Martínez pulled one back in the 22nd minute, assisted by Denis Bouanga, and the statistics tell the story of how much LAFC dominated in terms of volume and pressure throughout the afternoon. Marc Dos Santos's side registered 21 total shots to Nashville's 7, enjoyed 11 corners to Nashville's 3, and recorded 16 key passes compared to just 4 for the home side. Despite holding only 48% possession, LAFC generated 77 dangerous attacks against Nashville's 42 — a significant disparity that underlines how exposed Nashville were for large stretches of the contest.

Yet Nashville SC's clinical edge proved decisive. Mukhtar completed his hat-trick in the 59th minute, again via his right foot, extending the lead to 3-1 and seemingly putting the match to rest. LAFC refused to fold, however. Denis Bouanga reduced the deficit in the 67th minute, converting with a right-footed finish from a Heung-min Son assist, and the final phase of the game was laced with tension.

Ryan Porteous received a yellow card for LAFC in the 57th minute, while Nashville's Ahmed Qasem was booked in the 66th minute — the latter subsequently replaced by Alex Muyl at the 71st minute. LAFC made a double change at the 68th minute, bringing on Marky Delgado and Tyler Boyd to inject fresh legs in pursuit of an equaliser. Despite the late pressure, Nashville's backline held firm, with the hosts seeing out the result across an extended period of added time. Late cautions for Reed Baker-Whiting and Bryan Acosta Ramos reflected the intensity of Nashville's rearguard effort.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2-1 Nashville SC win with 45% probability, and while the scoreline ran a goal higher on both sides, the predicted outcome — a home victory — proved correct. The model's cautious confidence of 59/100 was well-placed given LAFC's attacking output, and the final margin accurately reflected Nashville's efficiency against the run of play.

Key Takeaways

  • Hany Mukhtar was unplayable in front of goal, converting three right-footed finishes in a man-of-the-match display that masked Nashville's underlying defensive vulnerability.
  • LAFC dominated the statistical battle in almost every attacking metric yet were undone by poor clinical execution — 9 shots on target yielding only 2 goals highlights a recurring issue for Marc Dos Santos's side.
  • Nashville's 89% successful pass rate, matching LAFC's figure, shows they were competitive in possession phases even as they absorbed pressure.
  • The Bouanga-Son combination showed genuine quality for LAFC and will be a weapon to monitor in future fixtures.
  • For Nashville, this result reinforces their home resilience under Brian Callaghan, even when the underlying performance leaves room for improvement.

Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Nashville SC and Los Angeles FC: Nashville SC 2W · 1D · Los Angeles FC 2W.

2

1

2

Mon, May 18, 2026Nashville SC3-2Los Angeles FC
Sun, Mar 24, 2024Los Angeles FC5-0Nashville SC
Sun, Apr 23, 2023Nashville SC1-1Los Angeles FC
Sun, Oct 9, 2022Los Angeles FC0-1Nashville SC
Mon, Jul 18, 2022Nashville SC1-2Los Angeles FC

Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC?

PredictNext's AI model favours Nashville SC with a 45% win probability — Nashville SC 45%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 28%.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC.

How accurate was the Nashville SC vs Los Angeles FC prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.

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