Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
2 vs 1

Major League Soccer · Matchday

2026-05-17 01:30:00 · 09:30

Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 2-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Real Salt Lake
REA
2 - 1
Colorado Rapids
COL
61%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
59.0%Home
22.0%Draw
19.0%Away
57.4%Home
22.0%Draw
20.5%Away
**Real Salt Lake** enter this Rocky Mountain clash as narrow favorites, boosted by home advantage and Colorado's confirmed absences — with goalkeeper **Z. Steffen** ruled out through injury, the Rapids face a significant void between the sticks. The H2H is evenly contested, making **Real Salt Lake's** home form a key differentiator in what should be a tight affair. AI pick: Real Salt Lake Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
81% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Real Salt Lake Colorado Rapids
0%
42%
0
40%
46%
1
60%
12%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

59%
58%
+1.3%
22%
22%
-0.1%
19%
20%
-1.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids | MLS Post-Match Analysis

Real Salt Lake secured a vital home victory over the Colorado Rapids on Saturday evening, coming from behind to claim all three points in a closely contested Western Conference clash at America First Field. The result, while ultimately comfortable on the scoreboard, required a determined second-half performance from Pablo Mastroeni's side after Colorado threatened to take control of the contest.

Match Analysis

Colorado Rapids drew first blood in the seventh minute, as Wayne Frederick II converted with a right-foot shot, supplied by an assist from Paxten Aaronson, to give the visitors an early and somewhat deserved foothold in the game. The Rapids, who held 52% possession and generated 81 attacks across the ninety minutes, looked assured in the opening exchanges.

However, Real Salt Lake began to find their footing, and the contest changed in the 34th minute when Hamzat Ojediran picked up a yellow card for a foul, disrupting Colorado's rhythm at a critical juncture. Two minutes later, Zavier Gozo drew the hosts level in the 36th minute, finishing with a right-foot shot from an assist by Sergi Solans, restoring parity before the interval.

The second half saw Real Salt Lake take a stranglehold on the game despite seeing less of the ball. The statistics tell a compelling story — RSL produced 17 total shots and 8 on target compared to Colorado's 8 total and 4 on target, and their 44 dangerous attacks significantly outstripped the Rapids' 27. It was clear Mastroeni's side were making their offensive moments count with far greater efficiency.

The decisive moment arrived in the 68th minute. Sergi Solans Ormo headed home from a Juan Manuel Sanabria assist to put Real Salt Lake 2–1 ahead, a goal immediately preceded by a yellow card shown to Joshua Atencio in the 67th minute. Colorado's discipline began to fray — Reggie Cannon was also cautioned in the 73rd minute following a foul shortly after coming on as a substitute.

Real Salt Lake's triple substitution at the 64th minute — bringing on Dominik Marczuk, Samuel Junqua, and Morgan Guilavogui — injected fresh energy and helped the hosts manage the final quarter of the match. The Rapids made their own changes in search of an equaliser, but Real Salt Lake's backline, marshalled by Justen Glad and supported by Rafael Cabral Barbosa in goal, held firm. Late yellow cards for Zavier Gozo and DeAndre Yedlin for time-wasting in the closing stages illustrated the confidence with which the home side was seeing out the result.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a 2–1 Real Salt Lake victory with a 59% probability of a home win, and the result aligned precisely with that prediction — both in scoreline and outcome. With a confidence rating of 61/100, this was not an emphatic forecast, acknowledging Colorado's capacity to threaten. The Rapids' early goal and superior possession statistics showed those concerns were well-founded, but RSL's clinical finishing ultimately proved decisive.

Key Takeaways

  • Sergi Solans was the standout performer, contributing an assist and the winning goal across both halves.
  • Real Salt Lake's shot conversion efficiency (8 on target from 17 attempts, yielding 2 goals) was decisive despite playing without the majority of possession.
  • Colorado Rapids were undone by disciplinary issues, accumulating three yellow cards in the second half at critical moments.
  • Mastroeni's well-timed substitutions helped RSL control the closing stages effectively and protect the lead.

Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Real Salt Lake and Colorado Rapids: Real Salt Lake 30W · 13D · Colorado Rapids 18W.

30

13

18

Sun, Oct 5, 2025Real Salt Lake1-0Colorado Rapids
Sun, May 18, 2025Colorado Rapids1-0Real Salt Lake
Sun, Jul 21, 2024Colorado Rapids3-2Real Salt Lake
Sun, May 19, 2024Real Salt Lake5-3Colorado Rapids
Sun, Mar 10, 2024Real Salt Lake1-2Colorado Rapids

Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?

PredictNext's AI model favours Real Salt Lake with a 59% win probability — Real Salt Lake 59%, draw 22%, Colorado Rapids 19%.

What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids, generated with 61% model confidence.

Will Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids.

How accurate was the Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.

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