Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
0 vs 2

Major League Soccer · Matchday

2026-09-13 01:30:00 · 09:30

New York City
New York City

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 0-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Real Salt Lake
REA
1 - 1
New York City
NEW
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
49.0%Home
26.0%Draw
25.0%Away
50.8%Home
24.8%Draw
24.5%Away
**Real Salt Lake** hold a slight edge on home soil at America First Field, where they've historically been difficult to break down. The key matchup to watch is how **New York City's** possession-based buildup fares against RSL's compact defensive shape — disrupting that rhythm early could prove decisive. AI pick: Real Salt Lake Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
75% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
52% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Real Salt Lake New York City
0%
34%
0
62%
52%
1
38%
13%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

49%
51%
-1.8%
26%
25%
+1.2%
25%
24%
+0.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

New York City Claim Convincing Away Win at Real Salt Lake

Final Score: Real Salt Lake 0–2 New York City FC MLS | September 13, 2026


Result Summary

New York City FC produced an efficient and disciplined away performance at Rio Tinto Stadium, defeating Real Salt Lake 2–0 to claim all three points. Goals from Nicolás Fernández Mercau in the 41st minute and Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos shortly after the break proved enough for Pascal Jansen's side, who were clinical against a home team that dominated in volume but not in quality.


Match Analysis

On paper, the statistics tell a story that should have favoured Real Salt Lake. Pablo Mastroeni's side generated 15 total shots compared to just 6 for New York City, held 53% ball possession, completed 84% of their passes, earned 10 corners to NYC's one, and recorded 53 dangerous attacks against 22. In virtually every attacking metric, RSL dominated — yet they were unable to turn that pressure into goals.

The decisive moment came just before half-time. Agustín Ojeda — instrumental throughout — provided the assist for Nicolás Fernández Mercau, who converted with a composed left-footed finish in the 41st minute. That goal gave New York City exactly the cushion they needed heading into the interval.

RSL pressed hard after the break in search of an equaliser, but New York City doubled their advantage in the 61st minute. Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos capitalised on another incisive assist from Agustín Ojeda, finishing crisply with his right foot to effectively end the contest. Ojeda's two assists were the defining creative contribution of the match, underlining his importance to NYC's attacking threat.

Real Salt Lake's response was to throw on fresh legs — Colin Guske and Kobi Henry entered at the 57th minute, followed by Aiden Hezarkhani and Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos in the 67th, and Taylor Booth in the 76th. Despite the changes, RSL's 6 shots on target from 15 total reflected a struggle to translate pressure into clear-cut chances against an organised NYC backline.

Discipline became an issue for the home side, with Alexandros Katranis (64') and Lineker Rodrigues dos Santos (69') both picking up yellow cards for fouls. New York City were not entirely clean either — Kevin O'Toole was booked in the 81st minute, and goalkeeper Freese Matthew received a yellow for time-wasting deep into stoppage time — but Jansen's team managed the game's closing stages without alarm.

NYC's ability to limit RSL to just 6 shots on target from 15 attempts, while restricting the home side to 1 offside and winning the foul battle 11 to 18 against, speaks to a well-organised and disciplined defensive structure.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast anticipated a 1–1 draw, assigning a home win probability of 49%, a draw at 26%, and an away win at 25%. With a confidence rating of just 55/100, uncertainty was acknowledged — but the away victory, and a clean sheet for NYC, was not the expected outcome. New York City's ruthless counter-attacking efficiency defied the territorial indicators that pointed toward an RSL advantage.


Key Takeaways

  • Agustín Ojeda was the match's standout contributor, registering two assists in a dominant display.
  • Real Salt Lake's statistical dominance went unrewarded — a reminder that efficiency matters more than volume.
  • New York City demonstrated the hallmarks of a well-drilled away side: disciplined, compact, and lethal on the break.
  • RSL's disciplinary record (18 fouls, 2 yellow cards) reflects mounting frustration as the game slipped from their grasp.

Real Salt Lake vs New York City — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs New York City?

PredictNext's AI model favours Real Salt Lake with a 49% win probability — Real Salt Lake 49%, draw 26%, New York City 25%.

What is the predicted score for Real Salt Lake vs New York City?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Real Salt Lake vs New York City, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will Real Salt Lake vs New York City have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Real Salt Lake vs New York City.

How accurate was the Real Salt Lake vs New York City prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 0-2. The winner call was incorrect.

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