
Super Lig · Matchday
2026-09-07 17:00:00 · 01:00

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AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 0-1
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Match Report
Rizespor 0–1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 7 September 2026
Result Summary
A deeply frustrating afternoon for Rizespor ended in a narrow but deserved defeat at home, as Alanyaspor claimed all three points courtesy of an unfortunate own goal from Zakaria Ariss on 70 minutes. Despite dominating the contest statistically, Recep Uçar's side were undone by their own inability to convert pressure into goals, handing Natanael Costa's Alanyaspor a smash-and-grab victory that will nonetheless feel thoroughly earned on the day.
Match Analysis
From the opening whistle, Rizespor dictated the tempo with authority. The hosts registered 65% possession, completed 86% of their passes successfully, and generated a remarkable 21 total shots compared to Alanyaspor's nine. With 55 dangerous attacks to the visitors' 32, and 15 key passes to Alanyaspor's eight, Rizespor created the lion's share of meaningful opportunities. On paper, this was one-way traffic. In reality, the scoreline told a very different story.
The first significant disciplinary moment arrived in the 31st minute, when Attila Mocsi was booked for a foul — a booking that would factor into his later withdrawal from the contest. Alanyaspor, sitting deep and looking to absorb pressure, were forced into an early tactical adjustment when Ianis Hagi departed at the 40-minute mark, replaced by Yusuf Özdemir. Whether through injury or tactical decision, losing Hagi before half-time represented an early setback for the visitors.
The second half saw Alanyaspor become more proactive. A double substitution on 58 minutes — Omar Ben Ali and Meschak Elia introduced for Arda Usluoğlu and Paolo Fernandes — injected fresh energy into the visitors' play. It was against this refreshed Alanyaspor unit that the decisive moment arrived. On 70 minutes, Zakaria Ariss turned the ball into his own net, gifting Alanyaspor the lead in cruel fashion. Despite Rizespor carrying five shots on target to Alanyaspor's two, the home side simply could not find a clean finish throughout.
Rizespor threw bodies forward in search of an equaliser, rotating heavily through their bench. Valentin Mihai Mihăilă, Albert Iustin Doicaru, Dal Varesanovic, Siaka Bakayoko, and Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude all entered the fray, with Ariss himself withdrawn after the own goal. Meschak Elia was cautioned in the 87th minute for a foul as Alanyaspor did what was necessary to protect their slender advantage. Further introductions of Ui-jo Hwang and Bedirhan Özyurt helped the visitors manage the closing stages with composure.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast backed Rizespor to win at home (48% probability), with a predicted scoreline of 1–0 in favour of the hosts and a confidence rating of 57/100. The rationale was reasonable given Rizespor's home form and statistical superiority, which the match itself appeared to validate in almost every category. However, football regularly punishes dominance that goes unconverted, and this proved to be a textbook case. The prediction was ultimately incorrect, with the final scoreline mirroring our forecast in score but reversing the winner entirely.
Key Takeaways
- Rizespor's profligacy is a serious concern — 21 shots and only one goal conceded, but zero scored, is a damning indictment of finishing.
- Alanyaspor's defensive organisation proved decisive; 15 fouls committed underscores their willingness to be physical and disrupt rhythm.
- The own goal on 70 minutes was the defining moment, but Alanyaspor's substitutions gave them the legs to protect it.
- Rizespor must find clinical edge if their possession-heavy approach is to translate into results going forward.
Rizespor vs Alanyaspor — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
PredictNext's AI model favours Rizespor with a 48% win probability — Rizespor 48%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 24%.
What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Alanyaspor?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Rizespor vs Alanyaspor, generated with 57% model confidence.
Will Rizespor vs Alanyaspor have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for under 2.5 goals in Rizespor vs Alanyaspor.
How accurate was the Rizespor vs Alanyaspor prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 0-1. The winner call was incorrect.