SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
4 vs 1

Bundesliga · Matchday

2026-08-30 13:30:00 · 21:30 · Europa-Park Stadion

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 4-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

SC Freiburg
SCF
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
SVW
56%
Confidence
Low Confidence
48.0%Home
26.0%Draw
26.0%Away
47.3%Home
26.3%Draw
26.3%Away
**SC Freiburg** enter this Bundesliga clash as narrow favorites, bolstered by multiple players recently cleared from the sidelined list, giving coach Streich a fuller squad to work with. Their H2H dominance is striking — winning 4 of the last 5 meetings against **Werder Bremen** — and their disciplined defensive structure makes a tight, low-scoring contest likely. AI pick: SC Freiburg Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSCF or Draw
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

SCF SVW
14%
45%
0
48%
55%
1
38%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

48%
47%
+1.4%
26%
26%
-0.6%
26%
27%
-0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet365VALUE2.103.303.50+0.8%-14.2%-9.0%
Pinnacle2.023.683.73-3.0%-4.3%-3.0%
1xbet2.073.703.80-0.6%-3.8%-1.2%
WilliamHill2.003.403.50-4.0%-11.6%-9.0%
Betfair1.953.703.40-6.4%-3.8%-11.6%
bwin2.053.603.50-1.6%-6.4%-9.0%
Unibet1.943.553.60-6.9%-7.7%-6.4%
Ladbrokes2.053.603.40-1.6%-6.4%-11.6%
InterwettenVALUE2.103.503.55+0.8%-9.0%-7.7%
Coral2.053.603.50-1.6%-6.4%-9.0%
Dafabet2.073.503.55-0.6%-9.0%-7.7%
Marathonbet2.043.643.74-2.1%-5.4%-2.8%
MansionBet2.003.553.35-4.0%-7.7%-12.9%
MelBet2.003.563.66-4.0%-7.4%-4.8%
BetVictor1.933.503.40-7.4%-9.0%-11.6%
10Bet1.973.553.60-5.4%-7.7%-6.4%
Sbo1.983.213.21-5.0%-16.5%-16.5%
CloudBet1.983.603.65-5.0%-6.4%-5.1%
888Sport2.003.403.50-4.0%-11.6%-9.0%
Macauslot2.003.513.07-4.0%-8.7%-20.2%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen | Bundesliga | 30 August 2026

Result Summary

SC Freiburg delivered a dominant home performance at the Schwarzwald-Stadion, dismantling Werder Bremen 4–1 in commanding fashion. Yuito Suzuki was the standout performer, completing a hat-trick to headline an emphatic victory for Julian Schuster's side. The result was never truly in doubt after a clinical first half, with Bremen's consolation goal arriving far too late to alter the narrative.

Match Analysis

Freiburg set the tone early and were rewarded in the 29th minute when Yuito Suzuki met a Jan-Niklas Beste delivery with a precise header to open the scoring. The home side continued to press their advantage, and just before the break, Igor Matanovic doubled the lead on 45 minutes, converting a right-foot shot with an assist from Matthias Ginter — a goal that effectively ended Bremen's hopes of a positive result before the half-time whistle.

The second half began at a frantic pace. Within three minutes of the restart, Suzuki struck again on 48 minutes, this time with his left foot following a pass from Derry Scherhant, extending Freiburg's advantage to three. Bremen's frustration was evident almost immediately, with Ludovit Reis picking up a yellow card in the same minute for a foul. Any lingering hopes for the visitors were extinguished on 55 minutes, when Suzuki completed his hat-trick with another left-foot finish, assisted by Matanovic, to make it 4–0.

The statistics paint a clear picture of Freiburg's control throughout. The hosts registered 19 total shots to Bremen's 9, with 12 key passes compared to just 6 for the visitors. Freiburg's 89% successful pass rate (versus Bremen's 86%) and 93 attacks to Bremen's 72 underline how thoroughly they dominated proceedings. With 47 dangerous attacks to Bremen's 38, the pressure was relentless.

Bremen's only positive of the afternoon came in the 76th minute, when substitute Dariusz Stalmach — who had entered the field at half-time — headed home a Marco Grüll cross to secure a consolation. However, it was no more than a footnote on what was a difficult afternoon for Daniel Thioune's side. Bremen had introduced Cédric Itten and Salim Amani Musah at the hour mark in search of a response, but Freiburg's substitutions — including the introduction of Max Rosenfelder and Lucas Höler — were made comfortably from a position of strength.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a 1–0 Freiburg victory with a 48% probability assigned to a home win, earning a confidence score of 56/100. The prediction correctly identified Freiburg as the most likely winners, and the outcome validates that call — though the margin of victory significantly exceeded our conservative forecast. A 4–1 scoreline reflects a level of dominance that was not fully anticipated, particularly Suzuki's hat-trick contribution and the speed with which Freiburg put the game to bed.

Key Takeaways

  • Yuito Suzuki was unplayable, contributing three goals across both halves with both head and foot — a complete forward performance.
  • Freiburg's cohesion in transition was evident, with multiple players contributing assists across the four goals, showcasing impressive fluidity under Julian Schuster.
  • Werder Bremen struggled to impose themselves, generating just 9 shots with minimal cutting edge — a concerning return for Daniel Thioune to analyse ahead of upcoming fixtures.
  • Freiburg's efficiency (5 shots on target, 4 goals) was exceptional and marks them as early contenders to watch in this Bundesliga campaign.

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen: SC Freiburg 11W · 8D · Werder Bremen 11W.

11

8

11

Sat, Feb 7, 2026SC Freiburg1-0Werder Bremen
Sat, Sep 20, 2025Werder Bremen0-3SC Freiburg
Fri, Feb 21, 2025SC Freiburg5-0Werder Bremen
Sat, Oct 5, 2024Werder Bremen0-1SC Freiburg
Sat, Jan 27, 2024Werder Bremen3-1SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?

PredictNext's AI model favours SC Freiburg with a 48% win probability — SC Freiburg 48%, draw 26%, Werder Bremen 26%.

What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen, generated with 56% model confidence.

Will SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen.

How accurate was the SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 4-1. The winner call was correct.

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