
Major League Soccer · Matchday
2026-07-23 02:30:00 · 10:30 · PayPal Park

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 0-4
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.97 | 4.93 | -5.1% | -0.6% | -11.3% |
| 1xbet | 1.57 | 4.99 | 5.15 | -2.7% | -0.2% | -7.3% |
| WilliamHill | 1.53 | 4.50 | 4.75 | -5.1% | -10.0% | -14.5% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.00 | -7.0% | -5.0% | -10.0% |
| bwin | 1.53 | 4.75 | 5.00 | -5.1% | -5.0% | -10.0% |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.75 | 5.40 | -7.6% | -5.0% | -2.8% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.50 | 4.50 | 4.60 | -7.0% | -10.0% | -17.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.80 | 4.95 | -6.4% | -4.0% | -10.9% |
| 10Bet | 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.30 | -7.0% | -8.0% | -4.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.25 | -7.0% | -5.0% | -5.5% |
| MelBet | 1.54 | 4.88 | 5.00 | -4.5% | -2.4% | -10.0% |
| Coral | 1.50 | 4.50 | 4.60 | -7.0% | -10.0% | -17.2% |
| CloudBet | 1.50 | 4.85 | 4.80 | -7.0% | -3.0% | -13.6% |
| Sbo | 1.45 | 4.38 | 4.83 | -10.1% | -12.4% | -13.1% |
| MansionBet | 1.54 | 4.50 | 4.85 | -4.5% | -10.0% | -12.7% |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 5.00 | 5.20 | -4.5% | 0.0% | -6.4% |
| Macauslot | 1.43 | 4.70 | 4.60 | -11.3% | -6.0% | -17.2% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Orlando City Deliver Dominant Away Display to Stun San Jose
Orlando City produced a stunning performance at San Jose's expense on Wednesday night, running out emphatic 4-0 winners to hand the Earthquakes a humiliating home defeat. Martín Perelman's side were clinical, ruthless, and utterly convincing across 90 minutes, while Bruce Arena's team struggled to convert a surprisingly active attacking output into anything resembling a threat on goal.
Match Analysis
The tone was set almost immediately. David Brekalo opened the scoring inside seven minutes, heading home from an Eduard Atuesta delivery to put Orlando firmly in the driver's seat. The Earthquakes, to their credit, continued to press forward — the statistics eventually showed San Jose edging possession at 52% to 48% and generating 109 attacks to Orlando's 93 — but the Lions were devastatingly effective on the counter.
Iván Angulo Cortés doubled the advantage in the 29th minute with a right-footed finish, again laid on by the influential Atuesta, who was everywhere in the first half and collected a deserved yellow card at the 36th minute for his physical approach. San Jose went into the break two goals down despite 81% pass success and eight shots on target across 45 minutes — a damning indictment of their finishing and final-third decision-making.
The second half brought no relief for the hosts. Antoine Griezmann made it three just three minutes after the restart, finishing coolly with his left foot from a Justin Ellis assist, effectively killing the contest. The Earthquakes were visibly rattled, with Ronaldo Vieira and Preston Judd both picking up yellow cards in quick succession during a fractious midfield battle. Braian Ojeda Rodríguez completed the rout with a 72nd-minute header off another Atuesta delivery — his third assist of the night before he was withdrawn in the 79th minute.
Despite the scoreline, San Jose's 7 shots on target compared to Orlando's 8 suggests the raw numbers were closer than the scoreline implies, though 13 key passes for Orlando City against just 8 for the Earthquakes tells a truer story of where the quality resided. The Earthquakes also frustrated themselves with seven offsides and committed 20 fouls — double Orlando's total of 10 — pointing to a side increasingly desperate and disorganized as the match progressed.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis had forecast a 2-1 home victory for the Earthquakes, with a 62% probability assigned to a San Jose win — a prediction that proved entirely wide of the mark. The model identified San Jose's home advantage and attacking potential as decisive factors, but Orlando's efficiency in front of goal and Atuesta's creative dominance simply could not have been anticipated at that level of confidence. The 4-0 scoreline was a sharp reminder that possession statistics and attack counts alone cannot predict clinical finishing, and that Orlando City's quality on the day — particularly in transition — was thoroughly underestimated.
Takeaways
- Eduard Atuesta was the game's standout performer, registering three assists before being substituted late on.
- Bruce Arena's Earthquakes face serious questions about their defensive structure and ability to convert territorial dominance into goals.
- Orlando's four different scorers demonstrated a commendable collective threat, not reliance on any single attacker.
- San Jose's 20 fouls and 4 yellow cards reflected a growing desperation that only compounded their evening.
- Martín Perelman will take enormous satisfaction from an away performance of this quality, keeping his side firmly in Eastern Conference contention.
SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between SJ Earthquakes and Orlando City: SJ Earthquakes 1W · 3D · Orlando City 3W.
1
SJ Earthquakes wins
3
Draws
3
Orlando City wins
SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City?
PredictNext's AI model favours SJ Earthquakes with a 62% win probability — SJ Earthquakes 62%, draw 20%, Orlando City 18%.
What is the predicted score for SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City?
The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City, generated with 69% model confidence.
Will SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City.
How accurate was the SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 0-4. The winner call was incorrect.